Pre-tourney Rankings
Big West
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
130 UC Santa Barbara 0.0%   15 - 11 9 - 6 15 - 11 9 - 6 +2.4      +1.9 123 +0.5 158 64.5 278 -0.9 188 +0.4 5
139 UC Irvine 0.0%   13 - 10 10 - 5 13 - 10 10 - 5 +2.0      -2.2 238 +4.2 64 64.0 295 +2.2 135 +2.4 4
148 Long Beach St. 0.0%   18 - 12 14 - 3 18 - 12 14 - 3 +1.2      +0.4 167 +0.8 148 76.5 21 +3.1 123 +6.6 1
151 Cal St. Fullerton 100.0%   15   19 - 10 12 - 5 19 - 10 12 - 5 +1.0      +0.9 150 0.0 174 66.0 238 +2.5 132 +3.2 2
164 Hawaii 0.0%   15 - 11 12 - 5 15 - 11 12 - 5 +0.1      -0.8 200 +0.9 143 64.2 287 -0.2 178 +2.9 3
173 UC Riverside 0.0%   14 - 12 10 - 7 14 - 12 10 - 7 -0.3      -1.2 208 +0.9 144 64.6 272 -0.2 177 -1.3 6
213 UC Davis 0.0%   12 - 10 6 - 6 12 - 10 6 - 6 -2.5      -3.2 263 +0.7 152 68.2 177 -2.1 206 -3.2 7
256 UC San Diego 0.0%   11 - 16 7 - 11 11 - 16 7 - 11 -5.2      -0.7 194 -4.5 299 69.8 120 -4.6 243 -4.9 8
263 Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0%   6 - 19 2 - 14 6 - 19 2 - 14 -5.9      -3.0 258 -2.9 259 62.3 330 -9.1 306 -13.9 11
297 Cal Poly 0.0%   6 - 21 4 - 12 6 - 21 4 - 12 -8.1      -6.6 333 -1.5 218 63.4 310 -9.7 312 -9.1 9
322 Cal St. Northridge 0.0%   6 - 22 3 - 15 6 - 22 3 - 15 -10.1      -4.9 299 -5.2 315 64.0 296 -8.9 302 -10.9 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
UC Santa Barbara 6.0 100.0
UC Irvine 4.0 100.0
Long Beach St. 1.0 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 2.0 100.0
Hawaii 2.0 100.0
UC Riverside 4.0 100.0
UC Davis 8.0 100.0
UC San Diego 7.0 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 11.0 100.0
Cal Poly 9.0 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
UC Santa Barbara 9 - 11 100.0
UC Irvine 10 - 10 100.0
Long Beach St. 14 - 6 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 12 - 8 100.0
Hawaii 12 - 8 100.0
UC Riverside 10 - 10 100.0
UC Davis 6 - 14 100.0
UC San Diego 7 - 13 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 2 - 18 100.0
Cal Poly 4 - 16 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 3 - 17 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UC Santa Barbara
UC Irvine
Long Beach St. 100.0% 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton
Hawaii
UC Riverside
UC Davis
UC San Diego
Cal St. Bakersfield
Cal Poly
Cal St. Northridge


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.8 22.7 68.8 7.7
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 100.0% 0.2% 99.9% 5.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 99.9% 1.0 0.1 99.9
2nd Round 5.1% 0.1 94.9 5.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0