Pre-tourney Rankings
Colonial Athletic
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
89 Towson 0.0%   25 - 8 15 - 3 25 - 8 15 - 3 +6.3      +4.0 72 +2.2 113 63.4 312 +5.6 99 +7.3 2
138 Hofstra 0.0%   19 - 11 13 - 5 19 - 11 13 - 5 +2.0      +3.7 81 -1.7 225 71.6 81 +4.0 110 +4.2 3
147 Delaware 100.0%   14   21 - 12 10 - 8 21 - 12 10 - 8 +1.2      +2.2 114 -1.1 209 67.2 201 +2.2 137 -0.3 5
157 College of Charleston 0.0%   17 - 15 8 - 10 17 - 15 8 - 10 +0.5      +0.8 157 -0.3 182 82.8 1 +0.2 169 -3.1 6
162 Drexel 0.0%   14 - 14 10 - 8 14 - 14 10 - 8 +0.2      +1.0 148 -0.8 202 66.3 227 -0.7 185 -0.2 4
177 UNC Wilmington 0.0%   21 - 9 15 - 3 21 - 9 15 - 3 -0.5      -0.1 182 -0.5 189 64.6 270 +3.2 119 +8.5 1
233 James Madison 0.0%   13 - 14 6 - 12 13 - 14 6 - 12 -3.7      -0.1 183 -3.6 276 72.1 75 -1.0 189 -5.7 8
246 Elon 0.0%   8 - 22 7 - 11 8 - 22 7 - 11 -4.7      -2.3 240 -2.4 244 65.2 258 -5.7 261 -4.0 7
253 Northeastern 0.0%   9 - 22 2 - 16 9 - 22 2 - 16 -5.1      -3.9 278 -1.1 210 63.1 318 -6.4 269 -14.2 10
338 William & Mary 0.0%   4 - 27 4 - 14 4 - 27 4 - 14 -11.7      -8.7 351 -3.0 261 71.3 91 -13.1 343 -7.9 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Towson 1.0 100.0
Hofstra 3.0 100.0
Delaware 4.0 100.0
College of Charleston 6.0 100.0
Drexel 4.0 100.0
UNC Wilmington 1.0 100.0
James Madison 8.0 100.0
Elon 7.0 100.0
Northeastern 10.0 100.0
William & Mary 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Towson 15 - 3 100.0
Hofstra 13 - 5 100.0
Delaware 10 - 8 100.0
College of Charleston 8 - 10 100.0
Drexel 10 - 8 100.0
UNC Wilmington 15 - 3 100.0
James Madison 6 - 12 100.0
Elon 7 - 11 100.0
Northeastern 2 - 16 100.0
William & Mary 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Towson 100.0% 100.0
Hofstra
Delaware
College of Charleston
Drexel
UNC Wilmington 100.0% 100.0
James Madison
Elon
Northeastern
William & Mary


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Delaware 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   11.1 66.8 22.1 0.1
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 6.6% 0.1 93.4 6.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0