Pre-tourney Rankings
Conference USA
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
53 UAB 100.0%   12   25 - 7 14 - 4 25 - 7 14 - 4 +9.6      +6.5 30 +3.1 94 71.6 84 +8.7 64 +7.7 2
72 North Texas 23.8%   22 - 6 16 - 2 22 - 6 16 - 2 +8.2      +1.1 142 +7.1 21 53.9 358 +10.0 55 +13.3 1
102 Louisiana Tech 0.0%   21 - 10 12 - 6 21 - 10 12 - 6 +5.1      +1.7 126 +3.4 87 70.6 104 +6.1 92 +4.2 4
109 Middle Tennessee 0.0%   21 - 10 13 - 5 21 - 10 13 - 5 +4.0      +1.6 130 +2.4 112 69.0 150 +5.0 106 +5.8 3
115 Western Kentucky 0.0%   17 - 13 11 - 7 17 - 13 11 - 7 +3.5      +2.9 99 +0.7 153 71.0 100 +1.9 141 +2.4 7
126 Florida Atlantic 0.0%   16 - 14 11 - 7 16 - 14 11 - 7 +2.7      +2.1 116 +0.6 156 68.3 171 -0.5 181 +2.9 6
158 UTEP 0.0%   17 - 13 11 - 7 17 - 13 11 - 7 +0.4      -1.2 206 +1.6 128 67.0 210 +2.0 138 +3.4 5
181 Old Dominion 0.0%   12 - 19 8 - 10 12 - 19 8 - 10 -0.7      -1.2 204 +0.4 159 62.6 324 -2.7 214 -0.7 9
189 Charlotte 0.0%   17 - 14 10 - 8 17 - 14 10 - 8 -1.2      +1.0 146 -2.2 240 64.8 265 +1.1 150 +1.0 8
207 Rice 0.0%   14 - 16 7 - 11 14 - 16 7 - 11 -2.2      +2.6 104 -4.8 307 69.6 127 -2.2 210 -2.9 10
232 Marshall 0.0%   10 - 21 4 - 14 10 - 21 4 - 14 -3.6      -1.2 205 -2.4 243 79.1 9 -4.5 239 -7.0 12
264 Florida International 0.0%   13 - 17 5 - 13 13 - 17 5 - 13 -5.9      -3.4 266 -2.5 249 67.2 202 -4.2 232 -5.9 11
293 Texas San Antonio 0.0%   7 - 21 3 - 15 7 - 21 3 - 15 -7.9      -5.2 313 -2.7 255 71.5 86 -9.9 317 -9.8 13
335 Southern Miss 0.0%   5 - 26 1 - 17 5 - 26 1 - 17 -11.4      -5.4 318 -6.0 331 67.6 196 -10.6 325 -16.4 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
UAB 2.0 100.0
North Texas 1.0 100.0
Louisiana Tech 4.0 100.0
Middle Tennessee 3.0 100.0
Western Kentucky 5.0 100.0
Florida Atlantic 5.0 100.0
UTEP 5.0 100.0
Old Dominion 9.0 100.0
Charlotte 8.0 100.0
Rice 10.0 100.0
Marshall 12.0 100.0
Florida International 11.0 100.0
Texas San Antonio 13.0 100.0
Southern Miss 14.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
UAB 14 - 4 100.0
North Texas 16 - 2 100.0
Louisiana Tech 12 - 6 100.0
Middle Tennessee 13 - 5 100.0
Western Kentucky 11 - 7 100.0
Florida Atlantic 11 - 7 100.0
UTEP 11 - 7 100.0
Old Dominion 8 - 10 100.0
Charlotte 10 - 8 100.0
Rice 7 - 11 100.0
Marshall 4 - 14 100.0
Florida International 5 - 13 100.0
Texas San Antonio 3 - 15 100.0
Southern Miss 1 - 17 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UAB
North Texas 100.0% 100.0
Louisiana Tech
Middle Tennessee
Western Kentucky
Florida Atlantic
UTEP
Old Dominion
Charlotte
Rice
Marshall
Florida International
Texas San Antonio
Southern Miss


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UAB 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.8 12.7 78.2 8.1
North Texas 23.8% 0.0% 23.8% 0.0 0.1 0.9 8.7 13.8 0.4 76.2 23.8%
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Middle Tennessee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Atlantic 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UTEP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Charlotte 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rice 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida International 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UAB 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 35.2% 12.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
North Texas 23.8% 20.1% 12.4% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Middle Tennessee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Atlantic 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UTEP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rice 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida International 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.2 76.2 23.8
1st Round 100.0% 1.1 87.6 12.4
2nd Round 37.7% 0.4 62.3 36.4 1.3
Sweet Sixteen 13.3% 0.1 86.7 13.2 0.1
Elite Eight 3.0% 0.0 97.0 3.0
Final Four 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.8
Final Game 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0