Pre-tourney Rankings
Horizon
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
166 Wright St. 100.0%   16   20 - 13 15 - 7 20 - 13 15 - 7 0.0      +2.5 109 -2.5 247 71.5 85 -1.4 195 -1.2 4
179 Northern Kentucky 0.0%   18 - 12 14 - 6 18 - 12 14 - 6 -0.6      -0.8 197 +0.2 169 62.4 325 -1.9 201 0.0 3
186 Oakland 0.0%   18 - 12 12 - 7 18 - 12 12 - 7 -1.0      0.0 178 -1.1 208 69.3 139 +0.8 154 -2.0 6
190 Cleveland St. 0.0%   18 - 10 15 - 6 18 - 10 15 - 6 -1.3      +0.7 161 -1.9 236 68.8 158 -0.9 187 +0.1 2
220 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0%   19 - 11 15 - 6 19 - 11 15 - 6 -2.9      -2.5 248 -0.4 184 70.4 111 -1.6 199 +0.8 1
221 Detroit Mercy 0.0%   13 - 15 10 - 7 13 - 15 10 - 7 -3.0      +2.1 117 -5.1 312 63.9 298 -3.4 221 -2.0 5
251 Youngstown St. 0.0%   16 - 14 12 - 9 16 - 14 12 - 9 -5.0      +0.1 175 -5.0 311 66.7 215 -5.1 250 -4.1 7
276 Illinois-Chicago 0.0%   13 - 16 9 - 10 13 - 16 9 - 10 -6.5      -2.2 233 -4.4 294 71.6 80 -5.5 257 -6.8 8
311 Robert Morris 0.0%   7 - 24 5 - 16 7 - 24 5 - 16 -9.6      -2.6 249 -7.0 342 67.4 198 -12.1 336 -13.5 10
329 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0%   9 - 22 8 - 14 9 - 22 8 - 14 -10.8      -7.1 335 -3.7 277 67.9 191 -10.8 327 -8.9 9
337 Green Bay 0.0%   4 - 25 4 - 16 4 - 25 4 - 16 -11.5      -7.3 337 -4.3 290 63.2 315 -16.1 351 -15.1 11
358 IUPUI 0.0%   1 - 26 1 - 16 1 - 26 1 - 16 -19.5      -14.7 358 -4.7 304 59.5 346 -24.2 356 -22.1 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Wright St. 1.0 100.0
Northern Kentucky 4.0 100.0
Oakland 5.0 100.0
Cleveland St. 1.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 1.0 100.0
Detroit Mercy 7.0 100.0
Youngstown St. 5.0 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 8.0 100.0
Robert Morris 10.0 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 9.0 100.0
Green Bay 11.0 100.0
IUPUI 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0
Wright St. 15 - 7 100.0
Northern Kentucky 14 - 8 100.0
Oakland 12 - 10 100.0
Cleveland St. 15 - 7 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 15 - 7 100.0
Detroit Mercy 10 - 12 100.0
Youngstown St. 12 - 10 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 9 - 13 100.0
Robert Morris 5 - 17 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8 - 14 100.0
Green Bay 4 - 18 100.0
IUPUI 1 - 21 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wright St. 100.0% 100.0
Northern Kentucky
Oakland
Cleveland St. 100.0% 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 100.0% 100.0
Detroit Mercy
Youngstown St.
Illinois-Chicago
Robert Morris
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Green Bay
IUPUI


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wright St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.1 4.1 95.8
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wright St. 100.0% 80.0% 64.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 64.7% 0.6 35.3 64.7
2nd Round 1.8% 0.0 98.3 1.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0