Pre-tourney Rankings
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
104 Iona 0.1%   25 - 7 17 - 3 25 - 7 17 - 3 +5.0      +2.8 101 +2.2 115 72.3 70 +7.1 79 +6.9 1
129 St. Peter's 100.0%   14   18 - 11 14 - 6 18 - 11 14 - 6 +2.4      -3.0 259 +5.4 43 66.0 239 +1.2 148 +2.2 2
175 Monmouth 0.0%   21 - 13 11 - 9 21 - 13 11 - 9 -0.5      -0.8 195 +0.3 162 66.7 214 +2.4 133 -1.3 4
201 Niagara 0.0%   13 - 16 9 - 11 13 - 16 9 - 11 -1.8      -2.1 231 +0.2 164 62.6 321 -3.4 222 -3.6 6
222 Fairfield 0.0%   14 - 18 8 - 12 14 - 18 8 - 12 -3.0      -2.4 243 -0.6 196 62.3 329 -4.5 240 -4.7 9
225 Marist 0.0%   14 - 16 9 - 11 14 - 16 9 - 11 -3.2      -2.2 236 -1.0 205 65.9 241 -3.9 229 -3.4 5
229 Rider 0.0%   13 - 19 8 - 12 13 - 19 8 - 12 -3.5      -2.5 247 -1.0 204 68.1 179 -4.7 246 -4.6 8
237 Siena 0.0%   15 - 14 12 - 8 15 - 14 12 - 8 -3.9      -3.2 262 -0.7 201 66.0 236 -2.0 204 +0.3 3
240 Quinnipiac 0.0%   13 - 17 7 - 13 13 - 17 7 - 13 -4.3      -0.3 185 -4.0 285 71.8 78 -4.6 244 -5.8 11
261 Canisius 0.0%   10 - 21 7 - 13 10 - 21 7 - 13 -5.8      -4.0 283 -1.7 228 70.7 102 -5.9 263 -5.7 10
269 Manhattan 0.0%   14 - 15 8 - 12 14 - 15 8 - 12 -6.1      -2.2 237 -3.9 278 70.5 106 -2.9 217 -4.4 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Iona 1.0 100.0
St. Peter's 2.0 100.0
Monmouth 4.0 100.0
Niagara 5.0 100.0
Fairfield 7.0 100.0
Marist 5.0 100.0
Rider 7.0 100.0
Siena 3.0 100.0
Quinnipiac 10.0 100.0
Canisius 10.0 100.0
Manhattan 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Iona 17 - 3 100.0
St. Peter's 14 - 6 100.0
Monmouth 11 - 9 100.0
Niagara 9 - 11 100.0
Fairfield 8 - 12 100.0
Marist 9 - 11 100.0
Rider 8 - 12 100.0
Siena 12 - 8 100.0
Quinnipiac 7 - 13 100.0
Canisius 7 - 13 100.0
Manhattan 8 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Iona 100.0% 100.0
St. Peter's
Monmouth
Niagara
Fairfield
Marist
Rider
Siena
Quinnipiac
Canisius
Manhattan


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Iona 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%
St. Peter's 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   7.6 61.6 30.5 0.3
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Iona 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 8.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.9 0.1
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
2nd Round 8.1% 0.1 91.9 8.1 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 1.4% 0.0 98.6 1.4
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0