Pre-tourney Rankings
Mid-American
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
80 Toledo 0.1%   25 - 7 17 - 3 25 - 7 17 - 3 +7.1      +6.0 36 +1.1 138 71.5 87 +6.6 86 +7.2 1
121 Buffalo 0.0%   17 - 11 13 - 6 17 - 11 13 - 6 +3.1      +2.9 100 +0.2 166 76.6 20 +2.0 139 +1.6 4
123 Ohio 0.0%   23 - 9 14 - 6 23 - 9 14 - 6 +2.9      +1.3 138 +1.7 127 68.7 159 +3.8 112 +2.3 3
128 Akron 100.0%   14   22 - 9 14 - 6 22 - 9 14 - 6 +2.5      +2.4 112 +0.1 172 58.9 352 +3.2 120 +1.4 5
135 Kent St. 0.0%   21 - 10 16 - 4 21 - 10 16 - 4 +2.1      -0.7 193 +2.7 108 65.5 250 +3.4 113 +6.6 2
248 Miami (OH) 0.0%   11 - 18 8 - 12 11 - 18 8 - 12 -4.7      +0.8 158 -5.5 321 68.8 156 -5.7 259 -5.5 7
254 Ball St. 0.0%   13 - 17 9 - 10 13 - 17 9 - 10 -5.1      -1.1 203 -4.0 281 74.1 46 -4.6 242 -3.4 6
273 Bowling Green 0.0%   11 - 18 6 - 14 11 - 18 6 - 14 -6.4      +0.3 168 -6.7 338 79.9 5 -6.2 267 -7.5 10
282 Northern Illinois 0.0%   9 - 21 6 - 14 9 - 21 6 - 14 -7.3      -6.3 331 -1.0 206 67.9 189 -7.2 283 -7.3 9
299 Central Michigan 0.0%   7 - 23 6 - 12 7 - 23 6 - 12 -8.2      -4.0 279 -4.2 289 69.1 143 -8.9 303 -6.4 8
304 Eastern Michigan 0.0%   9 - 21 5 - 15 9 - 21 5 - 15 -8.6      -5.9 327 -2.7 256 72.7 65 -7.1 280 -9.5 11
309 Western Michigan 0.0%   6 - 22 4 - 16 6 - 22 4 - 16 -9.3      -3.8 276 -5.6 322 62.6 322 -9.7 313 -11.3 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Toledo 1.0 100.0
Buffalo 5.0 100.0
Ohio 3.0 100.0
Akron 3.0 100.0
Kent St. 2.0 100.0
Miami (OH) 7.0 100.0
Ball St. 6.0 100.0
Bowling Green 8.0 100.0
Northern Illinois 8.0 100.0
Central Michigan 8.0 100.0
Eastern Michigan 11.0 100.0
Western Michigan 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Toledo 17 - 3 100.0
Buffalo 13 - 7 100.0
Ohio 14 - 6 100.0
Akron 14 - 6 100.0
Kent St. 16 - 4 100.0
Miami (OH) 8 - 12 100.0
Ball St. 9 - 11 100.0
Bowling Green 6 - 14 100.0
Northern Illinois 6 - 14 100.0
Central Michigan 6 - 14 100.0
Eastern Michigan 5 - 15 100.0
Western Michigan 4 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Toledo 100.0% 100.0
Buffalo
Ohio
Akron
Kent St.
Miami (OH)
Ball St.
Bowling Green
Northern Illinois
Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan
Western Michigan


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Toledo 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Akron 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   20.2 68.3 11.4 0.0
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Toledo 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Akron 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 9.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.9 0.1
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
2nd Round 9.3% 0.1 90.7 9.3
Sweet Sixteen 1.5% 0.0 98.5 1.5
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0