Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
88 Furman 0.0%   21 - 12 12 - 6 21 - 12 12 - 6 +6.3      +6.5 29 -0.2 178 64.1 292 +3.2 122 +3.0 2
94 Chattanooga 100.0%   13   25 - 7 14 - 4 25 - 7 14 - 4 +5.9      +3.9 76 +2.0 120 63.1 317 +7.9 70 +6.4 1
131 Wofford 0.0%   17 - 13 10 - 8 17 - 13 10 - 8 +2.3      +1.5 132 +0.8 149 62.6 320 +1.4 146 +0.5 4
180 VMI 0.0%   13 - 15 9 - 9 13 - 15 9 - 9 -0.7      +4.8 56 -5.4 319 70.7 103 -1.6 198 -0.5 6
182 UNC Greensboro 0.0%   16 - 14 9 - 9 16 - 14 9 - 9 -0.8      -2.0 229 +1.2 133 59.2 348 -0.1 175 -0.5 5
192 Samford 0.0%   18 - 11 10 - 8 18 - 11 10 - 8 -1.4      +1.1 144 -2.5 248 73.0 60 +2.6 130 +1.0 3
194 East Tennessee St. 0.0%   13 - 17 7 - 11 13 - 17 7 - 11 -1.6      +3.2 91 -4.7 305 64.5 274 -1.4 196 -3.3 8
199 Mercer 0.0%   14 - 17 8 - 10 14 - 17 8 - 10 -1.8      +1.6 129 -3.3 269 63.9 301 -1.3 192 -1.8 7
255 The Citadel 0.0%   10 - 18 6 - 12 10 - 18 6 - 12 -5.2      -1.7 225 -3.5 274 75.0 35 -4.9 247 -4.3 9
301 Western Carolina 0.0%   10 - 21 5 - 13 10 - 21 5 - 13 -8.3      -3.1 260 -5.3 317 71.2 94 -5.3 255 -5.5 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Furman 2.0 100.0
Chattanooga 1.0 100.0
Wofford 3.0 100.0
VMI 5.0 100.0
UNC Greensboro 5.0 100.0
Samford 3.0 100.0
East Tennessee St. 8.0 100.0
Mercer 7.0 100.0
The Citadel 9.0 100.0
Western Carolina 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Furman 12 - 6 100.0
Chattanooga 14 - 4 100.0
Wofford 10 - 8 100.0
VMI 9 - 9 100.0
UNC Greensboro 9 - 9 100.0
Samford 10 - 8 100.0
East Tennessee St. 7 - 11 100.0
Mercer 8 - 10 100.0
The Citadel 6 - 12 100.0
Western Carolina 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Furman
Chattanooga 100.0% 100.0
Wofford
VMI
UNC Greensboro
Samford
East Tennessee St.
Mercer
The Citadel
Western Carolina


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chattanooga 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 0.4 37.6 61.9 0.0
Wofford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chattanooga 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 20.5% 5.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Wofford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 20.5% 0.2 79.5 20.5
Sweet Sixteen 5.3% 0.1 94.7 5.3
Elite Eight 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0