Pre-tourney Rankings
Southland
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
224 Nicholls St. 0.0%   17 - 11 13 - 4 17 - 11 13 - 4 -3.1      -1.5 215 -1.7 222 73.6 54 -2.9 215 -2.9 2
259 TX A&M Corpus Christi 100.0%   16   19 - 11 9 - 8 19 - 11 9 - 8 -5.6      -5.0 302 -0.7 198 71.9 76 -4.5 238 -8.8 4
274 New Orleans 0.0%   15 - 13 12 - 5 15 - 13 12 - 5 -6.5      -4.4 287 -2.1 238 77.9 12 -6.1 264 -4.7 3
286 SE Louisiana 0.0%   15 - 14 13 - 4 15 - 14 13 - 4 -7.5      -0.6 192 -6.8 340 74.5 42 -4.5 241 -2.1 1
326 McNeese St. 0.0%   7 - 22 5 - 12 7 - 22 5 - 12 -10.5      -3.7 273 -6.8 339 73.0 59 -12.7 340 -13.8 7
339 Northwestern St. 0.0%   6 - 23 6 - 11 6 - 23 6 - 11 -11.9      -3.7 274 -8.1 349 76.4 22 -13.9 344 -12.6 5
342 Houston Baptist 0.0%   7 - 18 6 - 11 7 - 18 6 - 11 -12.4      -4.7 296 -7.7 348 71.0 95 -13.1 342 -12.6 6
353 Incarnate Word 0.0%   5 - 24 4 - 13 5 - 24 4 - 13 -15.9      -6.1 329 -9.8 356 64.0 297 -15.7 347 -15.4 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Nicholls St. 1.0 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 4.0 100.0
New Orleans 3.0 100.0
SE Louisiana 1.0 100.0
McNeese St. 7.0 100.0
Northwestern St. 5.0 100.0
Houston Baptist 5.0 100.0
Incarnate Word 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Nicholls St. 13 - 1 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 9 - 5 100.0
New Orleans 12 - 2 100.0
SE Louisiana 13 - 1 100.0
McNeese St. 5 - 9 100.0
Northwestern St. 6 - 8 100.0
Houston Baptist 6 - 8 100.0
Incarnate Word 4 - 10 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Nicholls St. 100.0% 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi
New Orleans
SE Louisiana 100.0% 100.0
McNeese St.
Northwestern St.
Houston Baptist
Incarnate Word


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   100.0
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Houston Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 100.0% 100.0% 36.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Houston Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 36.5% 0.4 63.5 36.5
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0