Pre-tourney Rankings
Summit League
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
79 South Dakota St. 100.0%   13   28 - 4 18 - 0 28 - 4 18 - 0 +7.3      +9.2 14 -1.9 231 73.7 52 +11.3 42 +15.5 1
149 North Dakota St. 0.0%   21 - 10 13 - 5 21 - 10 13 - 5 +1.1      0.0 177 +1.0 140 66.4 224 +2.4 134 +1.6 2
160 Oral Roberts 0.0%   16 - 12 12 - 6 16 - 12 12 - 6 +0.3      +4.6 61 -4.3 291 74.8 38 -0.8 186 -0.2 4
202 South Dakota 0.0%   17 - 12 11 - 7 17 - 12 11 - 7 -1.9      +1.5 131 -3.4 271 65.6 249 -1.3 193 -1.6 5
217 UMKC 0.0%   15 - 12 12 - 6 15 - 12 12 - 6 -2.7      -2.0 230 -0.7 200 67.8 192 -1.4 194 +0.3 3
242 Western Illinois 0.0%   14 - 15 7 - 11 14 - 15 7 - 11 -4.5      -1.5 218 -3.0 263 75.1 32 -4.3 235 -7.7 7
295 Denver 0.0%   10 - 20 7 - 11 10 - 20 7 - 11 -7.9      -2.2 235 -5.8 324 66.8 211 -8.5 294 -7.2 6
312 St. Thomas 0.0%   7 - 20 4 - 14 7 - 20 4 - 14 -9.6      +1.5 134 -11.1 357 64.9 263 -10.3 322 -12.5 9
345 North Dakota 0.0%   4 - 25 2 - 16 4 - 25 2 - 16 -13.0      -4.5 289 -8.5 352 68.0 185 -15.5 346 -17.0 10
346 Nebraska Omaha 0.0%   4 - 25 4 - 14 4 - 25 4 - 14 -13.0      -3.8 277 -9.2 353 73.9 48 -14.2 345 -11.9 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
South Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
North Dakota St. 2.0 100.0
Oral Roberts 3.0 100.0
South Dakota 5.0 100.0
UMKC 3.0 100.0
Western Illinois 6.0 100.0
Denver 6.0 100.0
St. Thomas 8.0 100.0
North Dakota 10.0 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
South Dakota St. 18 - 0 100.0
North Dakota St. 13 - 5 100.0
Oral Roberts 12 - 6 100.0
South Dakota 11 - 7 100.0
UMKC 12 - 6 100.0
Western Illinois 7 - 11 100.0
Denver 7 - 11 100.0
St. Thomas 4 - 14 100.0
North Dakota 2 - 16 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
South Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
North Dakota St.
Oral Roberts
South Dakota
UMKC
Western Illinois
Denver
St. Thomas
North Dakota
Nebraska Omaha


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
South Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 0.1 1.5 26.1 72.3 0.0
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Thomas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
South Dakota St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 24.2% 7.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Thomas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 24.2% 0.2 75.8 24.2
Sweet Sixteen 7.6% 0.1 92.4 7.6
Elite Eight 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.3
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0