Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Arkansas
Atlantic Sun
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.9#316
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#273
Pace78.4#10
Improvement+5.0#33

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#257
First Shot-1.6#234
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#284
Layup/Dunks+1.9#98
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#270
Freethrows-1.7#308
Improvement+2.4#67

Defense
Total Defense-7.1#343
First Shot-6.1#344
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#270
Layups/Dunks-8.4#357
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#48
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#118
Freethrows-0.8#258
Improvement+2.6#61
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 32 - 82 - 14
Quad 47 - 69 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 67   @ Saint Louis L 61-96 4%     0 - 1 -24.5 -13.0 -8.2
  Nov 12, 2021 108   @ Butler L 53-85 7%     0 - 2 -25.1 -11.7 -15.4
  Nov 17, 2021 6   @ Baylor L 47-92 1%     0 - 3 -25.0 -25.0 +7.4
  Nov 20, 2021 160   Oral Roberts W 70-67 22%     1 - 3 +1.1 -11.1 +12.1
  Nov 24, 2021 274   @ New Orleans L 63-90 29%     1 - 4 -31.3 -17.6 -10.9
  Nov 25, 2021 180   VMI L 67-73 19%     1 - 5 -6.7 -11.1 +4.4
  Nov 26, 2021 279   Presbyterian L 66-75 38%     1 - 6 -15.7 -2.8 -13.6
  Dec 01, 2021 16   @ Arkansas L 60-97 2%     1 - 7 -20.4 -12.6 -1.9
  Dec 04, 2021 191   @ Arkansas St. L 82-95 16%     1 - 8 -12.2 +9.4 -21.2
  Dec 18, 2021 75   @ Missouri St. L 70-106 4%     1 - 9 -25.9 +0.0 -26.2
  Dec 29, 2021 42   @ Texas A&M L 59-85 3%     1 - 10 -13.2 -5.7 -8.0
  Jan 04, 2022 262   @ Eastern Kentucky W 79-72 27%     2 - 10 1 - 0 +3.4 -1.0 +4.0
  Jan 09, 2022 268   Lipscomb W 93-88 44%     3 - 10 2 - 0 -3.3 +8.6 -12.2
  Jan 11, 2022 198   @ Bellarmine L 63-85 17%     3 - 11 2 - 1 -21.6 -11.8 -10.6
  Jan 15, 2022 320   North Alabama W 89-88 OT 59%     4 - 11 3 - 1 -11.3 -5.5 -6.0
  Jan 18, 2022 153   Jacksonville St. L 81-86 21%     4 - 12 3 - 2 -6.4 +3.5 -9.7
  Jan 27, 2022 266   @ North Florida L 74-93 28%     4 - 13 3 - 3 -22.8 -4.9 -16.5
  Jan 29, 2022 184   @ Jacksonville L 59-79 15%     4 - 14 3 - 4 -18.8 -10.3 -9.1
  Feb 03, 2022 205   Florida Gulf Coast L 93-95 OT 30%     4 - 15 3 - 5 -6.4 +2.9 -9.0
  Feb 05, 2022 294   Stetson W 79-75 51%     5 - 15 4 - 5 -6.1 -4.1 -2.3
  Feb 09, 2022 230   @ Kennesaw St. L 72-83 21%     5 - 16 4 - 6 -12.3 -4.7 -7.6
  Feb 12, 2022 153   @ Jacksonville St. W 72-62 12%     6 - 16 5 - 6 +13.0 -4.3 +16.7
  Feb 16, 2022 198   Bellarmine L 69-79 28%     6 - 17 5 - 7 -14.0 -8.5 -5.8
  Feb 19, 2022 262   Eastern Kentucky W 83-76 43%     7 - 17 6 - 7 -1.0 -6.6 +4.6
  Feb 21, 2022 136   Liberty L 66-85 18%     7 - 18 6 - 8 -19.2 -11.7 -6.0
  Feb 23, 2022 320   @ North Alabama W 81-72 42%     8 - 18 7 - 8 +1.1 +5.9 -5.0
  Feb 26, 2022 268   @ Lipscomb L 66-81 28%     8 - 19 7 - 9 -18.9 -13.8 -4.4
  Mar 01, 2022 294   Stetson W 74-73 51%     9 - 19 -9.1 -0.8 -8.3
  Mar 03, 2022 184   @ Jacksonville L 69-79 15%     9 - 20 -8.8 +4.3 -13.9
Projected Record 9 - 20 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%