Pre-tourney Rankings
George Mason
Atlantic 10
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#118
Expected Predictive Rating+1.0#152
Pace64.2#290
Improvement-2.7#286

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#122
First Shot+2.6#97
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#244
Layup/Dunks-1.1#213
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#277
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#18
Freethrows-0.1#188
Improvement-2.2#286

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#131
First Shot-0.9#209
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#29
Layups/Dunks+4.2#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#258
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#342
Freethrows+0.3#155
Improvement-0.4#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 35 - 77 - 14
Quad 47 - 214 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 243   Stony Brook W 74-52 83%     1 - 0 +15.2 -5.6 +20.8
  Nov 12, 2021 210   Penn W 87-66 77%     2 - 0 +16.4 +3.1 +12.0
  Nov 14, 2021 306   Morgan St. W 90-53 90%     3 - 0 +26.0 +9.4 +15.1
  Nov 17, 2021 64   @ Maryland W 71-66 23%     4 - 0 +15.8 +10.4 +5.9
  Nov 19, 2021 233   @ James Madison L 64-67 67%     4 - 1 -4.5 -13.8 +9.5
  Nov 22, 2021 101   Washington L 74-77 42%     4 - 2 +2.2 +6.9 -4.8
  Nov 23, 2021 110   Nevada L 69-88 47%     4 - 3 -15.1 -5.9 -8.4
  Nov 24, 2021 79   South Dakota St. L 76-80 34%     4 - 4 +3.3 +5.5 -2.4
  Dec 04, 2021 181   Old Dominion L 50-60 72%     4 - 5 -13.0 -19.0 +5.1
  Dec 07, 2021 197   Navy W 71-65 75%     5 - 5 +2.1 +7.5 -4.9
  Dec 18, 2021 203   @ Georgia W 80-67 61%     6 - 5 +13.3 +2.8 +10.3
  Dec 21, 2021 328   American W 67-44 92%     7 - 5 +10.1 +2.1 +12.8
  Jan 01, 2022 4   @ Kansas L 67-76 6%     7 - 6 +11.3 +3.5 +7.6
  Jan 17, 2022 212   @ George Washington L 76-77 63%     7 - 7 0 - 1 -1.3 +6.3 -7.7
  Jan 22, 2022 63   Dayton W 50-49 37%     8 - 7 1 - 1 +7.5 -11.7 +19.4
  Jan 24, 2022 161   Saint Joseph's W 77-71 69%     9 - 7 2 - 1 +4.1 +12.7 -8.0
  Jan 26, 2022 82   St. Bonaventure W 75-66 44%     10 - 7 3 - 1 +13.7 +14.0 +0.9
  Jan 30, 2022 171   @ Massachusetts W 72-62 55%     11 - 7 4 - 1 +11.9 +1.7 +11.3
  Feb 02, 2022 67   Saint Louis L 90-92 2OT 39%     11 - 8 4 - 2 +4.1 +2.5 +1.9
  Feb 05, 2022 214   @ La Salle L 78-83 63%     11 - 9 4 - 3 -5.4 +10.4 -16.1
  Feb 07, 2022 81   @ Richmond L 59-62 28%     11 - 10 4 - 4 +6.1 -3.9 +9.7
  Feb 09, 2022 81   Richmond W 87-84 OT 44%     12 - 10 5 - 4 +7.7 +10.2 -2.7
  Feb 12, 2022 66   Virginia Commonwealth L 70-85 38%     12 - 11 5 - 5 -8.7 +5.8 -14.5
  Feb 16, 2022 161   @ Saint Joseph's W 75-70 OT 52%     13 - 11 6 - 5 +7.5 +1.7 +5.6
  Feb 20, 2022 176   @ Fordham L 47-50 56%     13 - 12 6 - 6 -1.3 -12.8 +11.0
  Feb 23, 2022 66   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 66-72 24%     13 - 13 6 - 7 +4.7 +5.0 -0.3
  Feb 27, 2022 212   George Washington W 69-62 77%     14 - 13 7 - 7 +2.3 -2.3 +4.9
  Mar 02, 2022 52   @ Davidson L 62-73 21%     14 - 14 7 - 8 +0.8 -3.2 +3.0
  Mar 05, 2022 171   Massachusetts L 80-83 OT 71%     14 - 15 7 - 9 -5.5 -2.8 -2.6
  Mar 10, 2022 176   Fordham L 49-54 64%     14 - 16 -5.5 -14.0 +8.1
Projected Record 14 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%