Pre-tourney Rankings
UCLA
Pac-12
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.4#8
Expected Predictive Rating+16.2#15
Pace65.2#260
Improvement-2.0#258

Offense
Total Offense+9.4#13
First Shot+6.7#20
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#19
Layup/Dunks+1.1#118
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#6
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#255
Freethrows+1.1#91
Improvement-1.0#232

Defense
Total Defense+8.0#14
First Shot+4.7#42
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#5
Layups/Dunks+1.6#117
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#129
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#170
Freethrows+2.2#37
Improvement-1.0#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 1.1% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 9.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 91.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round90.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen62.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight33.2% n/a n/a
Final Four17.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game8.5% n/a n/a
National Champion3.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 42 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 05 - 4
Quad 28 - 213 - 6
Quad 38 - 121 - 7
Quad 44 - 025 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 263   Cal St. Bakersfield W 95-58 98%     1 - 0 +28.9 +10.1 +15.7
  Nov 12, 2021 12   Villanova W 86-77 OT 61%     2 - 0 +23.4 +15.0 +8.0
  Nov 15, 2021 148   Long Beach St. W 100-79 95%     3 - 0 +19.9 +14.8 +2.6
  Nov 17, 2021 266   North Florida W 98-63 98%     4 - 0 +26.8 +17.6 +7.6
  Nov 22, 2021 198   Bellarmine W 75-62 95%     5 - 0 +11.2 -3.2 +14.4
  Nov 23, 2021 1   Gonzaga L 63-83 26%     5 - 1 +3.9 +0.1 +4.0
  Nov 27, 2021 86   @ UNLV W 73-51 80%     6 - 1 +30.7 +15.1 +18.8
  Dec 01, 2021 57   Colorado W 73-61 83%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +19.2 +8.9 +10.9
  Dec 11, 2021 40   @ Marquette W 67-56 67%     8 - 1 +23.9 +4.1 +20.3
  Jan 06, 2022 148   Long Beach St. W 96-78 95%     9 - 1 +16.9 +17.6 -1.7
  Jan 08, 2022 122   @ California W 60-52 87%     10 - 1 2 - 0 +13.2 +0.8 +13.5
  Jan 13, 2022 70   Oregon L 81-84 OT 85%     10 - 2 2 - 1 +3.0 -1.8 +5.3
  Jan 15, 2022 204   Oregon St. W 81-65 97%     11 - 2 3 - 1 +11.9 +8.1 +4.9
  Jan 20, 2022 114   @ Utah W 63-58 86%     12 - 2 4 - 1 +10.8 +5.6 +6.3
  Jan 22, 2022 57   @ Colorado W 71-65 71%     13 - 2 5 - 1 +17.6 +9.6 +8.4
  Jan 25, 2022 2   Arizona W 75-59 49%     14 - 2 6 - 1 +33.7 +6.8 +26.4
  Jan 27, 2022 122   California W 81-57 93%     15 - 2 7 - 1 +24.8 +16.5 +9.8
  Jan 29, 2022 97   Stanford W 66-43 90%     16 - 2 8 - 1 +26.4 -5.7 +31.7
  Feb 03, 2022 2   @ Arizona L 66-76 32%     16 - 3 8 - 2 +12.1 -0.3 +12.7
  Feb 05, 2022 83   @ Arizona St. L 84-87 3OT 78%     16 - 4 8 - 3 +6.1 +6.2 +0.4
  Feb 08, 2022 97   @ Stanford W 79-70 82%     17 - 4 9 - 3 +16.8 +23.1 -4.9
  Feb 12, 2022 41   @ USC L 64-67 67%     17 - 5 9 - 4 +9.8 +1.4 +8.3
  Feb 17, 2022 51   Washington St. W 76-56 83%     18 - 5 10 - 4 +27.4 +10.0 +18.0
  Feb 19, 2022 101   Washington W 76-50 90%     19 - 5 11 - 4 +28.9 +11.7 +19.4
  Feb 21, 2022 83   Arizona St. W 66-52 88%     20 - 5 12 - 4 +18.7 +7.7 +12.7
  Feb 24, 2022 70   @ Oregon L 63-68 75%     20 - 6 12 - 5 +5.4 -4.1 +9.4
  Feb 26, 2022 204   @ Oregon St. W 94-55 93%     21 - 6 13 - 5 +39.3 +30.9 +13.8
  Feb 28, 2022 101   @ Washington W 77-66 83%     22 - 6 14 - 5 +18.4 +12.7 +6.3
  Mar 05, 2022 41   USC W 75-68 80%     23 - 6 15 - 5 +15.4 +10.9 +5.0
  Mar 10, 2022 51   Washington St. W 75-65 77%     24 - 6 +19.6 +11.9 +8.3
  Mar 11, 2022 41   USC W 69-59 74%     25 - 6 +20.6 +11.9 +10.3
  Mar 12, 2022 2   Arizona L 76-84 40%     25 - 7 +11.9 +11.7 +0.1
Projected Record 25 - 7 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.4 1.1 8.8 44.3 37.8 7.6 0.4 0.0 100.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.4 1.1 8.8 44.3 37.8 7.6 0.4 0.0 100.0%