Pre-tourney Rankings
UT Rio Grande Valley
Western Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.7#305
Expected Predictive Rating-10.6#324
Pace77.8#13
Improvement-3.9#315

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#251
First Shot-2.1#247
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#231
Layup/Dunks+2.7#76
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#343
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#259
Freethrows+1.1#90
Improvement-3.4#326

Defense
Total Defense-6.1#332
First Shot-3.9#295
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#332
Layups/Dunks-1.0#218
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#134
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#259
Freethrows-1.8#300
Improvement-0.5#216
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 31 - 91 - 16
Quad 45 - 76 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 2   @ Arizona L 50-104 1%     0 - 1 -31.9 -20.3 -4.8
  Nov 20, 2021 330   Northern Arizona L 87-89 66%     0 - 2 -15.0 -1.6 -13.2
  Nov 22, 2021 330   @ Northern Arizona W 82-80 49%     1 - 2 -6.6 +6.9 -13.4
  Nov 23, 2021 151   Cal St. Fullerton W 72-67 18%     2 - 2 +6.0 -4.1 +9.8
  Nov 26, 2021 15   @ Illinois L 85-94 2%     2 - 3 +7.8 +17.4 -9.4
  Dec 01, 2021 259   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 77-83 47%     2 - 4 -13.9 -7.4 -5.7
  Dec 03, 2021 18   @ Texas L 58-88 2%     2 - 5 -13.8 -5.7 -8.2
  Dec 08, 2021 259   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-75 30%     2 - 6 -9.4 -8.1 -0.9
  Dec 14, 2021 209   Texas Southern L 60-70 34%     2 - 7 -14.6 -10.3 -4.6
  Dec 17, 2021 293   @ Texas San Antonio W 68-50 39%     3 - 7 +12.3 -9.5 +20.9
  Jan 03, 2022 145   @ Sam Houston St. L 78-86 13%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -4.5 +4.1 -8.1
  Jan 06, 2022 103   Grand Canyon L 70-84 14%     3 - 9 0 - 2 -11.2 +0.4 -11.7
  Jan 08, 2022 85   New Mexico St. L 73-85 11%     3 - 10 0 - 3 -7.4 +2.1 -9.5
  Jan 11, 2022 117   @ Stephen F. Austin L 75-86 10%     3 - 11 0 - 4 -5.6 +1.2 -6.0
  Jan 13, 2022 340   Chicago St. W 85-63 71%     4 - 11 1 - 4 +7.6 -1.6 +7.6
  Jan 20, 2022 133   @ Utah Valley L 56-66 11%     4 - 12 1 - 5 -5.6 -9.1 +2.8
  Jan 22, 2022 280   @ Dixie St. L 74-85 35%     4 - 13 1 - 6 -15.7 -2.1 -13.2
  Jan 26, 2022 132   Abilene Christian L 85-87 20%     4 - 14 1 - 7 -1.9 +3.0 -4.6
  Jan 29, 2022 216   Tarleton St. L 64-79 35%     4 - 15 1 - 8 -19.8 -3.9 -17.3
  Feb 02, 2022 347   Lamar W 93-79 75%     5 - 15 2 - 8 -1.7 +5.4 -8.3
  Feb 05, 2022 132   @ Abilene Christian L 66-83 11%     5 - 16 2 - 9 -12.5 -9.2 -1.9
  Feb 10, 2022 141   @ Seattle L 59-67 12%     5 - 17 2 - 10 -3.8 -14.3 +11.2
  Feb 12, 2022 226   @ California Baptist L 72-80 23%     5 - 18 2 - 11 -9.1 -2.7 -6.1
  Feb 16, 2022 141   Seattle L 62-102 21%     5 - 19 2 - 12 -40.3 -13.3 -23.4
  Feb 19, 2022 145   Sam Houston St. L 61-67 23%     5 - 20 2 - 13 -6.9 -9.1 +2.1
  Feb 24, 2022 216   @ Tarleton St. L 62-75 21%     5 - 21 2 - 14 -13.4 +1.0 -16.7
  Mar 02, 2022 347   @ Lamar W 67-63 60%     6 - 21 3 - 14 -7.3 -12.8 +5.3
  Mar 05, 2022 117   Stephen F. Austin L 63-93 18%     6 - 22 3 - 15 -29.0 -10.0 -18.1
  Mar 08, 2022 226   California Baptist L 80-81 30%     6 - 23 -4.3 +2.3 -6.5
Projected Record 6 - 23 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%