Pre-tourney Rankings
Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#283
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#225
Pace68.9#153
Improvement-1.4#231

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#294
First Shot-5.0#313
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#147
Layup/Dunks-1.7#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#45
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#343
Freethrows+0.2#149
Improvement-1.7#265

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#258
First Shot-3.5#284
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#101
Layups/Dunks-1.2#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#90
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#210
Freethrows-2.8#334
Improvement+0.3#171
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 40 - 9
Quad 31 - 31 - 12
Quad 416 - 417 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 51   @ Washington St. L 67-85 5%     0 - 1 -6.2 +1.8 -8.2
  Nov 10, 2021 141   @ Seattle L 66-69 14%     0 - 2 +1.2 -3.0 +4.2
  Nov 13, 2021 169   @ Portland L 58-62 19%     0 - 3 -2.1 -14.2 +12.1
  Nov 15, 2021 1   @ Gonzaga L 57-84 1%     0 - 4 -0.9 -5.4 +5.1
  Nov 26, 2021 124   @ Southern Illinois L 59-62 12%     0 - 5 +2.1 +1.7 -0.2
  Nov 28, 2021 329   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 61-57 55%     1 - 5 -4.6 -12.7 +8.2
  Dec 04, 2021 96   @ Tulane L 64-85 8%     1 - 6 -13.1 -4.6 -9.0
  Dec 06, 2021 5   @ Houston L 45-77 1%     1 - 7 -11.7 -17.2 +4.7
  Dec 14, 2021 92   @ Wichita St. L 63-82 8%     1 - 8 -10.8 -3.3 -7.7
  Dec 16, 2021 154   @ Tulsa L 62-83 17%     1 - 9 -18.0 -7.7 -11.0
  Dec 20, 2021 6   @ Baylor L 57-94 1%     1 - 10 -17.0 -7.7 -9.0
  Dec 22, 2021 29   @ Oklahoma L 48-72 3%     1 - 11 -10.0 -13.8 +1.9
  Jan 05, 2022 292   @ Jackson St. W 65-50 43%     2 - 11 1 - 0 +9.3 -0.1 +11.1
  Jan 08, 2022 332   @ Alabama A&M W 78-71 55%     3 - 11 2 - 0 -1.6 +2.5 -4.5
  Jan 10, 2022 333   @ Alabama St. W 70-60 55%     4 - 11 3 - 0 +1.3 -6.1 +7.7
  Jan 15, 2022 209   Texas Southern W 73-72 39%     5 - 11 4 - 0 -3.6 +6.6 -10.1
  Jan 17, 2022 300   Prairie View L 73-74 62%     5 - 12 4 - 1 -11.4 -2.5 -8.9
  Jan 22, 2022 314   @ Florida A&M L 68-70 51%     5 - 13 4 - 2 -9.6 +0.8 -10.7
  Jan 24, 2022 343   @ Bethune-Cookman W 70-67 61%     6 - 13 5 - 2 -7.3 -2.9 -4.2
  Jan 29, 2022 239   Southern W 68-64 46%     7 - 13 6 - 2 -2.4 -1.5 -0.7
  Jan 31, 2022 318   Grambling St. L 73-80 68%     7 - 14 6 - 3 -19.2 -8.0 -10.8
  Feb 05, 2022 354   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 70-64 75%     8 - 14 7 - 3 -8.4 -13.2 +4.9
  Feb 07, 2022 356   @ Mississippi Valley W 79-71 78%     9 - 14 8 - 3 -7.4 -4.1 -3.5
  Feb 12, 2022 343   Bethune-Cookman L 63-71 OT 76%     9 - 15 8 - 4 -22.7 -14.7 -8.2
  Feb 14, 2022 314   Florida A&M W 68-56 67%     10 - 15 9 - 4 -0.1 -4.8 +5.7
  Feb 19, 2022 292   Jackson St. W 61-60 60%     11 - 15 10 - 4 -9.1 -6.5 -2.4
  Feb 26, 2022 300   @ Prairie View W 72-69 45%     12 - 15 11 - 4 -3.0 -4.3 +1.2
  Feb 28, 2022 209   @ Texas Southern W 75-72 24%     13 - 15 12 - 4 +2.8 +1.9 +0.8
  Mar 03, 2022 356   Mississippi Valley W 72-69 87%     14 - 15 13 - 4 -16.8 -19.8 +2.6
  Mar 05, 2022 354   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 100-77 86%     15 - 15 14 - 4 +4.2 +5.0 -2.9
  Mar 09, 2022 300   Prairie View W 64-63 OT 53%     16 - 15 -7.2 -20.3 +12.9
  Mar 11, 2022 332   Alabama A&M W 69-64 63%     17 - 15 -5.8 -4.2 -1.7
  Mar 12, 2022 209   Texas Southern L 62-87 31%     17 - 16 -27.4 -12.4 -13.6
Projected Record 17 - 16 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%