Pre-tourney Rankings
Auburn
Southeastern
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.2#11
Expected Predictive Rating+18.1#6
Pace74.6#41
Improvement-2.2#266

Offense
Total Offense+7.4#23
First Shot+4.9#49
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#27
Layup/Dunks+3.9#50
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#160
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#161
Freethrows+0.5#129
Improvement-2.9#308

Defense
Total Defense+9.8#7
First Shot+8.8#7
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#86
Layups/Dunks+5.2#18
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#50
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#77
Freethrows-0.3#215
Improvement+0.7#146
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 1.2% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 15.6% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 73.4% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round94.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen67.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight39.5% n/a n/a
Final Four19.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game9.2% n/a n/a
National Champion4.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 33 - 3
Quad 1b5 - 28 - 5
Quad 27 - 015 - 5
Quad 38 - 023 - 5
Quad 44 - 027 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 134   Morehead St. W 77-54 94%     1 - 0 +22.9 +6.3 +16.9
  Nov 12, 2021 270   Louisiana Monroe W 93-65 98%     2 - 0 +19.7 +8.1 +9.6
  Nov 19, 2021 231   @ South Florida W 58-52 95%     3 - 0 +4.6 -4.7 +9.8
  Nov 24, 2021 17   Connecticut L 109-115 2OT 62%     3 - 1 +8.1 +12.6 -2.9
  Nov 25, 2021 31   Loyola Chicago W 62-53 70%     4 - 1 +20.6 +3.2 +18.5
  Nov 26, 2021 65   Syracuse W 89-68 79%     5 - 1 +29.5 +16.3 +13.3
  Dec 01, 2021 107   Central Florida W 85-68 91%     6 - 1 +19.5 +4.0 +13.7
  Dec 04, 2021 143   Yale W 86-64 94%     7 - 1 +21.3 +10.4 +9.8
  Dec 11, 2021 116   Nebraska W 99-68 90%     8 - 1 +34.2 +20.1 +12.0
  Dec 14, 2021 320   North Alabama W 70-44 99%     9 - 1 +13.7 -6.0 +19.5
  Dec 18, 2021 67   @ Saint Louis W 74-70 74%     10 - 1 +14.5 +6.1 +8.5
  Dec 22, 2021 56   Murray St. W 71-58 83%     11 - 1 +20.2 +2.2 +18.2
  Dec 29, 2021 19   LSU W 70-55 71%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +26.4 +1.1 +24.3
  Jan 04, 2022 93   @ South Carolina W 81-66 81%     13 - 1 2 - 0 +23.1 +11.1 +11.1
  Jan 08, 2022 47   Florida W 85-73 81%     14 - 1 3 - 0 +19.8 +11.5 +7.8
  Jan 11, 2022 23   @ Alabama W 81-77 61%     15 - 1 4 - 0 +18.5 +1.9 +16.0
  Jan 15, 2022 99   @ Mississippi W 80-71 82%     16 - 1 5 - 0 +16.5 +17.5 -0.3
  Jan 19, 2022 203   Georgia W 83-60 97%     17 - 1 6 - 0 +18.9 +6.4 +13.0
  Jan 22, 2022 3   Kentucky W 80-71 53%     18 - 1 7 - 0 +25.5 +22.1 +4.4
  Jan 25, 2022 113   @ Missouri W 55-54 86%     19 - 1 8 - 0 +6.8 -6.1 +13.1
  Jan 29, 2022 29   Oklahoma W 86-68 77%     20 - 1 +27.6 +16.9 +10.3
  Feb 01, 2022 23   Alabama W 100-81 75%     21 - 1 9 - 0 +29.1 +16.9 +9.8
  Feb 05, 2022 203   @ Georgia W 74-72 93%     22 - 1 10 - 0 +2.3 -4.5 +6.8
  Feb 08, 2022 16   @ Arkansas L 76-80 OT 52%     22 - 2 10 - 1 +12.6 +1.3 +11.9
  Feb 12, 2022 42   Texas A&M W 75-58 80%     23 - 2 11 - 1 +25.4 +2.9 +21.5
  Feb 16, 2022 60   Vanderbilt W 94-80 84%     24 - 2 12 - 1 +20.8 +16.6 +2.7
  Feb 19, 2022 47   @ Florida L 62-63 69%     24 - 3 12 - 2 +11.2 -0.4 +11.5
  Feb 23, 2022 99   Mississippi W 77-64 90%     25 - 3 13 - 2 +16.1 +6.2 +9.9
  Feb 26, 2022 7   @ Tennessee L 62-67 40%     25 - 4 13 - 3 +14.8 +0.2 +14.7
  Mar 02, 2022 46   @ Mississippi St. W 81-68 OT 68%     26 - 4 14 - 3 +25.3 +7.0 +17.0
  Mar 05, 2022 93   South Carolina W 82-71 89%     27 - 4 15 - 3 +14.7 +5.8 +7.8
  Mar 11, 2022 42   Texas A&M L 62-67 74%     27 - 5 +5.6 -3.8 +9.3
Projected Record 27 - 5 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.1 15.6 57.8 25.0 1.6 0.0 100.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.1 15.6 57.8 25.0 1.6 0.0 100.0%