Pre-tourney Rankings
BYU
West Coast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.9#61
Expected Predictive Rating+10.1#52
Pace69.8#121
Improvement-6.4#349

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#58
First Shot+4.2#59
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#137
Layup/Dunks-0.5#182
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#66
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#104
Freethrows+0.5#127
Improvement-2.9#309

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#66
First Shot+3.1#81
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#80
Layups/Dunks+2.6#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#61
Freethrows+0.6#123
Improvement-3.5#318
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 41.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 41.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four28.7% n/a n/a
First Round25.9% n/a n/a
Second Round9.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 24 - 6
Quad 23 - 37 - 9
Quad 33 - 010 - 9
Quad 410 - 120 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 190   Cleveland St. W 69-59 87%     1 - 0 +6.5 +0.1 +7.4
  Nov 12, 2021 26   San Diego St. W 66-60 46%     2 - 0 +15.8 +6.7 +9.5
  Nov 16, 2021 70   Oregon W 81-49 53%     3 - 0 +40.2 +16.8 +25.6
  Nov 24, 2021 209   Texas Southern W 81-64 89%     4 - 0 +12.4 +6.5 +5.4
  Nov 27, 2021 114   @ Utah W 75-64 62%     5 - 0 +16.8 +9.8 +7.9
  Dec 01, 2021 133   @ Utah Valley L 65-72 OT 67%     5 - 1 -2.6 -12.1 +10.4
  Dec 04, 2021 75   @ Missouri St. W 74-68 45%     6 - 1 +16.1 +3.2 +12.9
  Dec 08, 2021 58   Utah St. W 82-71 57%     7 - 1 +18.0 +10.6 +7.1
  Dec 11, 2021 43   Creighton L 71-83 44%     7 - 2 -1.5 +6.3 -7.7
  Dec 18, 2021 170   @ Weber St. W 89-71 75%     8 - 2 +19.9 +10.4 +8.3
  Dec 22, 2021 231   South Florida W 54-39 87%     9 - 2 +11.4 -5.6 +19.5
  Dec 23, 2021 60   Vanderbilt L 67-69 50%     9 - 3 +7.0 -0.6 +7.6
  Dec 25, 2021 136   Liberty W 80-75 74%     10 - 3 +7.0 +11.0 -3.8
  Jan 06, 2022 277   Pacific W 73-51 94%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +13.2 +0.1 +13.9
  Jan 08, 2022 20   St. Mary's W 52-43 41%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +20.2 -8.1 +29.1
  Jan 13, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 84-110 6%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +0.1 +14.6 -11.9
  Jan 15, 2022 21   @ San Francisco W 71-69 28%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +17.0 +3.8 +13.1
  Jan 20, 2022 208   San Diego W 79-71 89%     14 - 4 4 - 1 +3.5 +8.9 -5.3
  Jan 22, 2022 169   Portland W 78-65 85%     15 - 4 5 - 1 +10.5 +7.8 +3.4
  Jan 27, 2022 71   @ Santa Clara L 76-77 44%     15 - 5 5 - 2 +9.4 -0.8 +10.3
  Jan 29, 2022 277   @ Pacific L 73-76 89%     15 - 6 5 - 3 -7.4 -4.9 -2.2
  Feb 03, 2022 21   San Francisco L 59-73 43%     15 - 7 5 - 4 -3.4 -8.3 +5.1
  Feb 05, 2022 1   Gonzaga L 57-90 12%     15 - 8 5 - 5 -11.3 -14.6 +8.1
  Feb 10, 2022 183   @ Loyola Marymount W 83-82 OT 77%     16 - 8 6 - 5 +2.3 +12.9 -10.5
  Feb 12, 2022 265   @ Pepperdine W 91-85 88%     17 - 8 7 - 5 +2.2 +18.3 -16.0
  Feb 19, 2022 20   @ St. Mary's L 64-69 26%     17 - 9 7 - 6 +10.6 +4.2 +6.1
  Feb 24, 2022 183   Loyola Marymount W 79-59 87%     18 - 9 8 - 6 +16.8 +8.5 +10.1
  Feb 26, 2022 265   Pepperdine W 75-59 93%     19 - 9 9 - 6 +7.8 +1.5 +6.9
  Mar 04, 2022 183   Loyola Marymount W 85-60 82%     20 - 9 +24.0 +8.4 +15.5
  Mar 05, 2022 21   San Francisco L 63-75 35%     20 - 10 +0.8 -3.0 +3.9
Projected Record 20 - 10 9 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 41.4% 41.4% 11.2 0.0 0.3 3.3 25.5 12.3 0.1 58.6 41.4%
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 41.4% 0.0% 41.4% 11.2 0.0 0.3 3.3 25.5 12.3 0.1 58.6 41.4%