Pre-tourney Rankings
Cincinnati
American Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#100
Expected Predictive Rating+3.9#111
Pace69.7#125
Improvement-5.8#342

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#136
First Shot-1.5#229
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#17
Layup/Dunks-1.1#210
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#155
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#188
Freethrows-0.6#234
Improvement-0.7#212

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#74
First Shot+4.4#53
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#230
Layups/Dunks-0.7#213
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#27
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#56
Freethrows+0.2#170
Improvement-5.1#344
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 7
Quad 22 - 33 - 10
Quad 33 - 46 - 14
Quad 411 - 117 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 302   Evansville W 65-43 92%     1 - 0 +11.3 -9.3 +21.3
  Nov 13, 2021 203   Georgia W 73-68 81%     2 - 0 +0.9 -4.6 +5.5
  Nov 16, 2021 332   Alabama A&M W 89-66 95%     3 - 0 +9.9 +12.3 -3.3
  Nov 18, 2021 279   Presbyterian W 79-45 90%     4 - 0 +25.1 +5.1 +20.8
  Nov 22, 2021 15   Illinois W 71-51 19%     5 - 0 +34.6 +8.9 +26.9
  Nov 23, 2021 16   Arkansas L 67-73 19%     5 - 1 +8.4 -0.5 +9.3
  Nov 27, 2021 175   Monmouth L 59-61 77%     5 - 2 -4.7 -8.2 +3.3
  Dec 01, 2021 248   @ Miami (OH) W 59-58 77%     6 - 2 -1.5 -8.3 +7.0
  Dec 05, 2021 187   Bryant W 73-58 79%     7 - 2 +11.7 -4.0 +15.5
  Dec 11, 2021 50   @ Xavier L 63-83 26%     7 - 3 -8.0 -0.8 -8.4
  Dec 14, 2021 314   Florida A&M W 77-50 94%     8 - 3 +14.9 +2.2 +13.9
  Dec 21, 2021 272   Tennessee Tech W 86-75 90%     9 - 3 +2.5 -0.3 +1.7
  Jan 01, 2022 96   Tulane L 60-68 57%     9 - 4 0 - 1 -4.5 -12.0 +7.4
  Jan 06, 2022 49   SMU W 77-60 40%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +24.7 +10.5 +14.7
  Jan 09, 2022 25   @ Memphis L 80-87 20%     10 - 5 1 - 2 +7.3 +15.3 -8.1
  Jan 12, 2022 168   East Carolina W 79-71 77%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +5.6 +0.7 +4.5
  Jan 16, 2022 92   @ Wichita St. W 61-57 39%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +12.2 +4.0 +8.8
  Jan 20, 2022 154   Tulsa W 90-69 74%     13 - 5 4 - 2 +19.6 +5.1 +11.9
  Jan 25, 2022 111   @ Temple L 58-61 47%     13 - 6 4 - 3 +3.1 -12.1 +15.3
  Jan 30, 2022 168   @ East Carolina W 60-59 62%     14 - 6 5 - 3 +3.0 -10.9 +13.9
  Feb 06, 2022 5   Houston L 59-83 16%     14 - 7 5 - 4 -8.1 -6.9 -1.2
  Feb 09, 2022 231   @ South Florida W 70-59 74%     15 - 7 6 - 4 +9.6 +4.9 +5.1
  Feb 12, 2022 154   @ Tulsa L 77-83 59%     15 - 8 6 - 5 -3.0 -0.8 -1.7
  Feb 15, 2022 25   Memphis L 74-81 33%     15 - 9 6 - 6 +2.8 +4.2 -1.2
  Feb 17, 2022 92   Wichita St. W 85-76 56%     16 - 9 7 - 6 +12.8 +16.1 -3.4
  Feb 20, 2022 111   Temple L 71-75 63%     16 - 10 7 - 7 -2.3 +1.9 -4.2
  Feb 23, 2022 107   @ Central Florida L 61-75 43%     16 - 11 7 - 8 -7.1 -5.7 -2.0
  Feb 26, 2022 231   South Florida L 54-56 85%     16 - 12 7 - 9 -7.8 -9.8 +1.8
  Mar 01, 2022 5   @ Houston L 53-71 9%     16 - 13 7 - 10 +2.3 -5.4 +6.0
  Mar 03, 2022 49   @ SMU L 71-76 25%     16 - 14 7 - 11 +7.1 +3.7 +3.4
  Mar 10, 2022 168   East Carolina W 74-63 70%     17 - 14 +10.8 +4.7 +6.6
  Mar 11, 2022 5   Houston L 56-69 12%     17 - 15 +5.1 +1.2 +1.7
Projected Record 17 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%