Pre-tourney Rankings
Drake
Missouri Valley
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.4#87
Expected Predictive Rating+7.5#76
Pace65.7#247
Improvement+0.6#157

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#85
First Shot+3.0#84
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#140
Layup/Dunks-1.1#211
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#27
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#175
Freethrows+0.4#137
Improvement-1.1#237

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#103
First Shot+2.5#95
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#143
Layups/Dunks+1.0#143
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#30
Freethrows-1.2#274
Improvement+1.7#96
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% n/a n/a
First Round0.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 4
Quad 23 - 45 - 8
Quad 36 - 211 - 10
Quad 411 - 022 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2021 202   South Dakota W 99-50 84%     1 - 0 +44.9 +19.2 +24.5
  Nov 20, 2021 81   Richmond W 73-70 56%     2 - 0 +7.7 +2.5 +5.2
  Nov 25, 2021 91   Belmont L 69-74 51%     2 - 1 +1.2 -2.9 +4.2
  Nov 26, 2021 23   Alabama L 71-80 29%     2 - 2 +3.3 -2.2 +5.9
  Nov 28, 2021 72   North Texas L 54-57 43%     2 - 3 +5.2 +3.4 +1.0
  Dec 02, 2021 185   Valparaiso W 73-66 82%     3 - 3 1 - 0 +3.8 +5.7 -1.1
  Dec 05, 2021 312   St. Thomas W 74-64 95%     4 - 3 -1.9 -3.9 +3.0
  Dec 08, 2021 346   @ Nebraska Omaha W 78-70 94%     5 - 3 -2.8 -3.3 +0.4
  Dec 11, 2021 76   Clemson L 80-90 OT 45%     5 - 4 -2.2 +9.4 -11.5
  Dec 16, 2021 292   Jackson St. W 70-65 OT 93%     6 - 4 -5.1 -3.9 -1.1
  Dec 19, 2021 313   Tennessee Martin W 80-54 95%     7 - 4 +14.1 +1.2 +12.7
  Dec 22, 2021 340   Chicago St. W 87-50 96%     8 - 4 +22.6 +18.9 +9.1
  Jan 02, 2022 75   @ Missouri St. L 56-61 36%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +5.1 -9.0 +13.6
  Jan 08, 2022 302   @ Evansville W 60-59 88%     9 - 5 2 - 1 -5.3 -7.0 +1.8
  Jan 12, 2022 178   Illinois St. W 86-75 81%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +8.2 +15.7 -6.8
  Jan 17, 2022 124   @ Southern Illinois W 60-59 55%     11 - 5 4 - 1 +6.1 -0.5 +6.8
  Jan 19, 2022 98   Bradley L 71-83 62%     11 - 6 4 - 2 -8.7 +4.0 -13.2
  Jan 22, 2022 95   @ Northern Iowa W 82-74 OT 44%     12 - 6 5 - 2 +15.9 +4.5 +10.9
  Jan 26, 2022 178   @ Illinois St. W 89-88 OT 68%     13 - 6 6 - 2 +2.6 +3.2 -0.7
  Jan 30, 2022 31   Loyola Chicago W 77-68 38%     14 - 6 7 - 2 +18.4 +10.1 +8.3
  Feb 02, 2022 223   @ Indiana St. W 85-67 75%     15 - 6 8 - 2 +17.2 +15.9 +1.7
  Feb 05, 2022 95   Northern Iowa L 69-74 OT 61%     15 - 7 8 - 3 -1.5 -11.5 +10.6
  Feb 09, 2022 75   Missouri St. L 62-66 53%     15 - 8 8 - 4 +1.7 -6.4 +7.9
  Feb 12, 2022 98   @ Bradley L 59-68 45%     15 - 9 8 - 5 -1.3 -6.0 +4.3
  Feb 16, 2022 302   Evansville W 73-51 93%     16 - 9 9 - 5 +11.3 +4.3 +9.3
  Feb 19, 2022 31   @ Loyola Chicago W 83-76 24%     17 - 9 10 - 5 +20.8 +17.1 +3.6
  Feb 21, 2022 223   Indiana St. W 74-58 86%     18 - 9 11 - 5 +10.7 +4.1 +7.5
  Feb 23, 2022 185   @ Valparaiso W 71-65 69%     19 - 9 12 - 5 +7.2 +7.8 +0.2
  Feb 26, 2022 124   Southern Illinois W 62-60 71%     20 - 9 13 - 5 +2.7 +3.8 -0.7
  Mar 04, 2022 124   Southern Illinois W 65-52 63%     21 - 9 +15.9 +4.2 +13.5
  Mar 05, 2022 75   Missouri St. W 79-78 OT 44%     22 - 9 +8.9 +5.3 +3.6
  Mar 06, 2022 31   Loyola Chicago L 58-64 31%     22 - 10 +5.6 -7.3 +12.9
Projected Record 22 - 10 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 0.2% 0.2% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 99.8 0.2%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 99.8 0.2%