Pre-tourney Rankings
East Carolina
American Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#168
Expected Predictive Rating+1.7#142
Pace69.3#136
Improvement-2.9#294

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#184
First Shot+0.4#165
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#243
Layup/Dunks-0.3#175
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#218
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#202
Freethrows+1.8#50
Improvement-3.5#327

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#173
First Shot-0.7#199
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#110
Layups/Dunks-1.2#231
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#303
Freethrows-0.5#229
Improvement+0.6#151
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 71 - 11
Quad 32 - 43 - 15
Quad 412 - 015 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 324   South Carolina St. W 70-62 88%     1 - 0 -4.7 -14.4 +8.8
  Nov 12, 2021 261   Canisius W 83-71 77%     2 - 0 +4.0 -0.1 +3.0
  Nov 14, 2021 301   Western Carolina W 95-79 83%     3 - 0 +5.5 +9.7 -5.3
  Nov 18, 2021 29   Oklahoma L 74-79 13%     3 - 1 +6.8 +10.0 -3.3
  Nov 19, 2021 181   Old Dominion W 73-60 52%     4 - 1 +12.3 +11.5 +2.7
  Nov 21, 2021 52   Davidson L 67-76 18%     4 - 2 +0.6 -1.9 +2.0
  Nov 27, 2021 319   Coppin St. W 70-68 87%     5 - 2 -10.2 -1.1 -9.0
  Nov 30, 2021 181   Old Dominion W 63-62 61%     6 - 2 -2.0 -4.4 +2.6
  Dec 04, 2021 195   Gardner-Webb W 62-52 64%     7 - 2 +6.2 -8.1 +14.3
  Dec 07, 2021 298   N.C. A&T W 82-71 83%     8 - 2 +0.7 +2.8 -2.4
  Dec 17, 2021 136   Liberty L 64-74 41%     8 - 3 -8.0 -8.9 +1.1
  Dec 21, 2021 335   Southern Miss W 68-67 89%     9 - 3 -12.6 -7.7 -4.9
  Jan 05, 2022 96   Tulane W 88-80 OT 36%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +11.5 +5.9 +4.7
  Jan 08, 2022 111   @ Temple L 75-78 27%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +3.1 +11.2 -8.3
  Jan 12, 2022 100   @ Cincinnati L 71-79 23%     10 - 5 1 - 2 -0.6 -0.9 +0.8
  Jan 15, 2022 25   Memphis W 72-71 17%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +10.8 +3.4 +7.5
  Jan 18, 2022 107   Central Florida L 85-92 OT 40%     11 - 6 2 - 3 -4.5 +2.2 -5.8
  Jan 22, 2022 5   @ Houston L 36-79 4%     11 - 7 2 - 4 -22.7 -23.8 -3.1
  Jan 27, 2022 25   @ Memphis L 54-71 9%     11 - 8 2 - 5 -2.7 -13.3 +11.2
  Jan 30, 2022 100   Cincinnati L 59-60 38%     11 - 9 2 - 6 +2.0 -10.4 +12.4
  Feb 02, 2022 111   Temple L 63-71 43%     11 - 10 2 - 7 -6.3 -7.7 +1.6
  Feb 05, 2022 96   @ Tulane L 66-86 22%     11 - 11 2 - 8 -12.1 -0.5 -12.7
  Feb 08, 2022 154   @ Tulsa W 73-71 38%     12 - 11 3 - 8 +5.0 +3.7 +1.3
  Feb 12, 2022 49   SMU L 66-80 23%     12 - 12 3 - 9 -6.3 -2.7 -3.6
  Feb 17, 2022 231   @ South Florida W 65-57 55%     13 - 12 4 - 9 +6.6 +1.9 +5.3
  Feb 20, 2022 107   @ Central Florida L 66-69 25%     13 - 13 4 - 10 +3.9 +6.5 -3.1
  Feb 23, 2022 231   South Florida W 64-60 71%     14 - 13 5 - 10 -1.8 -4.9 +3.1
  Feb 26, 2022 154   Tulsa W 64-59 55%     15 - 13 6 - 10 +3.6 -4.0 +8.0
  Mar 05, 2022 92   @ Wichita St. L 62-70 21%     15 - 14 6 - 11 +0.2 -3.9 +3.9
  Mar 10, 2022 100   Cincinnati L 63-74 30%     15 - 15 -5.8 -3.0 -3.3
Projected Record 15 - 15 6 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%