Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#178
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#224
Pace69.5#129
Improvement+0.9#146

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#137
First Shot+1.6#127
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#207
Layup/Dunks-2.8#293
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#175
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#93
Freethrows+2.0#39
Improvement-2.6#302

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#234
First Shot-0.5#195
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#298
Layups/Dunks-1.5#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#52
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#137
Freethrows-1.6#296
Improvement+3.5#40
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 21 - 61 - 11
Quad 31 - 62 - 17
Quad 49 - 311 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 177   UNC Wilmington W 68-63 58%     1 - 0 +2.3 -5.5 +7.8
  Nov 12, 2021 304   @ Eastern Michigan L 98-103 2OT 71%     1 - 1 -11.4 -2.1 -8.0
  Nov 16, 2021 56   Murray St. L 65-77 23%     1 - 2 -4.8 -2.9 -2.2
  Nov 20, 2021 336   Bucknell W 105-100 OT 88%     2 - 2 -8.7 -1.8 -8.0
  Nov 23, 2021 67   Saint Louis L 76-82 20%     2 - 3 +2.3 +4.4 -2.0
  Nov 24, 2021 121   Buffalo L 90-106 36%     2 - 4 -12.9 +9.1 -20.5
  Dec 01, 2021 75   Missouri St. W 79-74 OT 27%     3 - 4 1 - 0 +10.7 -1.1 +11.3
  Dec 04, 2021 292   Jackson St. L 55-61 81%     3 - 5 -16.1 -16.5 +0.1
  Dec 11, 2021 340   @ Chicago St. W 80-71 81%     4 - 5 -1.0 +7.5 -7.8
  Dec 18, 2021 254   Ball St. W 85-64 74%     5 - 5 +13.7 +6.5 +7.0
  Dec 21, 2021 293   Texas San Antonio W 81-64 82%     6 - 5 +6.9 +5.8 +1.4
  Dec 29, 2021 30   @ Wisconsin L 85-89 OT 9%     6 - 6 +9.9 +19.2 -9.3
  Jan 02, 2022 185   @ Valparaiso L 76-81 OT 43%     6 - 7 1 - 1 -3.8 -3.1 -0.3
  Jan 12, 2022 87   @ Drake L 75-86 19%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -2.4 +11.0 -14.1
  Jan 16, 2022 98   Bradley W 74-65 35%     7 - 8 2 - 2 +12.3 +8.6 +4.3
  Jan 19, 2022 75   @ Missouri St. L 63-88 16%     7 - 9 2 - 3 -14.9 -5.7 -10.0
  Jan 21, 2022 302   Evansville W 94-56 83%     8 - 9 3 - 3 +27.3 +32.3 +0.9
  Jan 23, 2022 302   @ Evansville L 53-56 71%     8 - 10 3 - 4 -9.3 -21.8 +12.6
  Jan 26, 2022 87   Drake L 88-89 OT 32%     8 - 11 3 - 5 +3.2 +4.9 -1.6
  Jan 29, 2022 95   @ Northern Iowa L 64-79 21%     8 - 12 3 - 6 -7.1 -3.4 -4.6
  Feb 02, 2022 31   @ Loyola Chicago L 64-78 9%     8 - 13 3 - 7 -0.2 +1.1 -1.7
  Feb 05, 2022 124   Southern Illinois L 69-75 45%     8 - 14 3 - 8 -5.3 -0.5 -5.0
  Feb 09, 2022 185   Valparaiso W 78-75 OT 60%     9 - 14 4 - 8 -0.2 -3.2 +2.7
  Feb 12, 2022 223   @ Indiana St. L 57-60 51%     9 - 15 4 - 9 -3.8 -12.9 +9.0
  Feb 15, 2022 95   Northern Iowa L 70-72 34%     9 - 16 4 - 10 +1.5 +4.9 -3.7
  Feb 19, 2022 98   @ Bradley L 64-72 21%     9 - 17 4 - 11 -0.3 +2.0 -3.0
  Feb 21, 2022 31   Loyola Chicago L 50-59 17%     9 - 18 4 - 12 +0.4 -15.4 +15.6
  Feb 23, 2022 124   @ Southern Illinois L 69-90 29%     9 - 19 4 - 13 -15.9 +6.2 -24.0
  Feb 26, 2022 223   Indiana St. W 86-66 67%     10 - 19 5 - 13 +14.7 +10.5 +3.8
  Mar 03, 2022 223   Indiana St. W 58-53 59%     11 - 19 +2.0 -9.5 +11.9
  Mar 04, 2022 95   Northern Iowa L 65-78 27%     11 - 20 -7.3 -2.6 -5.6
Projected Record 11 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%