Pre-tourney Rankings
Kentucky
Southeastern
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+18.7#3
Expected Predictive Rating+17.8#7
Pace69.0#151
Improvement-1.9#249

Offense
Total Offense+11.9#5
First Shot+9.7#6
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#36
Layup/Dunks+4.9#30
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.8#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#249
Freethrows+0.1#160
Improvement-0.3#201

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#25
First Shot+5.0#38
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#35
Layups/Dunks+3.2#55
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#51
Freethrows+2.1#41
Improvement-1.6#268
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 5.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 37.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 91.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round96.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen74.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight48.7% n/a n/a
Final Four27.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game14.6% n/a n/a
National Champion7.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b6 - 19 - 7
Quad 25 - 014 - 7
Quad 34 - 018 - 7
Quad 48 - 026 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 13   Duke L 71-79 59%     0 - 1 +8.5 +0.1 +8.7
  Nov 12, 2021 311   Robert Morris W 100-60 99%     1 - 1 +28.2 +16.7 +10.6
  Nov 16, 2021 250   Mount St. Mary's W 80-55 98%     2 - 1 +17.9 +10.7 +8.6
  Nov 19, 2021 123   Ohio W 77-59 94%     3 - 1 +18.7 +11.5 +8.8
  Nov 22, 2021 285   Albany W 86-61 99%     4 - 1 +15.3 +8.3 +6.0
  Nov 26, 2021 266   North Florida W 86-52 99%     5 - 1 +25.8 +0.6 +21.4
  Nov 29, 2021 299   Central Michigan W 85-57 99%     6 - 1 +17.6 +8.9 +9.4
  Dec 07, 2021 239   Southern W 76-64 98%     7 - 1 +5.6 +6.9 -0.7
  Dec 11, 2021 48   @ Notre Dame L 62-66 74%     7 - 2 +8.1 +1.6 +6.0
  Dec 18, 2021 28   North Carolina W 98-69 75%     8 - 2 +40.8 +26.7 +13.3
  Dec 22, 2021 115   Western Kentucky W 95-60 94%     9 - 2 +36.3 +15.9 +18.3
  Dec 29, 2021 113   Missouri W 83-56 94%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +28.4 +4.4 +21.9
  Dec 31, 2021 252   High Point W 92-48 98%     11 - 2 +36.8 +13.6 +21.7
  Jan 04, 2022 19   @ LSU L 60-65 61%     11 - 3 1 - 1 +10.8 -3.2 +14.1
  Jan 08, 2022 203   Georgia W 92-77 97%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +10.9 +11.4 -0.8
  Jan 11, 2022 60   @ Vanderbilt W 78-66 77%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +23.2 +19.3 +4.9
  Jan 15, 2022 7   Tennessee W 107-79 63%     14 - 3 4 - 1 +43.3 +40.2 +2.0
  Jan 19, 2022 42   @ Texas A&M W 64-58 72%     15 - 3 5 - 1 +18.8 -2.9 +21.5
  Jan 22, 2022 11   @ Auburn L 71-80 47%     15 - 4 5 - 2 +10.4 +17.3 -7.9
  Jan 25, 2022 46   Mississippi St. W 82-74 OT 85%     16 - 4 6 - 2 +15.8 +4.3 +10.7
  Jan 29, 2022 4   @ Kansas W 80-62 44%     17 - 4 +38.3 +19.1 +20.1
  Feb 02, 2022 60   Vanderbilt W 77-70 87%     18 - 4 7 - 2 +13.8 +4.1 +9.2
  Feb 05, 2022 23   @ Alabama W 66-55 66%     19 - 4 8 - 2 +25.5 -6.2 +31.0
  Feb 08, 2022 93   @ South Carolina W 86-76 84%     20 - 4 9 - 2 +18.1 +12.4 +4.7
  Feb 12, 2022 47   Florida W 78-57 85%     21 - 4 10 - 2 +28.8 +23.1 +9.8
  Feb 15, 2022 7   @ Tennessee L 63-76 46%     21 - 5 10 - 3 +6.8 +4.5 +1.9
  Feb 19, 2022 23   Alabama W 90-81 80%     22 - 5 11 - 3 +19.1 +28.3 -8.4
  Feb 23, 2022 19   LSU W 71-66 76%     23 - 5 12 - 3 +16.4 +12.9 +4.0
  Feb 26, 2022 16   @ Arkansas L 73-75 58%     23 - 6 12 - 4 +14.6 +10.8 +3.8
  Mar 01, 2022 99   Mississippi W 83-72 92%     24 - 6 13 - 4 +14.1 +21.3 -6.0
  Mar 05, 2022 47   @ Florida W 71-63 74%     25 - 6 14 - 4 +20.2 +6.7 +13.9
  Mar 11, 2022 60   Vanderbilt W 77-71 82%     26 - 6 +15.0 +11.9 +3.2
  Mar 12, 2022 7   Tennessee L 62-69 55%     26 - 7 +10.6 +2.1 +8.4
Projected Record 26 - 7 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.7 37.4 54.5 7.9 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.7 37.4 54.5 7.9 0.1 0.0 100.0%