Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Colorado
Big Sky
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#211
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#184
Pace72.9#61
Improvement-1.0#214

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#94
First Shot+4.8#50
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#305
Layup/Dunks+0.8#139
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#258
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.9#11
Freethrows-1.4#298
Improvement-0.1#193

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#323
First Shot-5.9#340
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#149
Layups/Dunks-2.5#276
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#340
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#254
Freethrows+1.0#101
Improvement-0.9#234
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 35 - 25 - 7
Quad 413 - 718 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 277   Pacific W 67-65 65%     1 - 0 -4.6 -6.7 +2.2
  Nov 11, 2021 164   @ Hawaii W 81-78 32%     2 - 0 +5.3 +6.7 -1.6
  Nov 17, 2021 18   @ Texas L 49-62 5%     2 - 1 +3.2 -8.7 +10.1
  Nov 21, 2021 226   @ California Baptist L 70-74 44%     2 - 2 -5.1 -1.3 -3.8
  Nov 23, 2021 275   @ San Jose St. L 74-75 57%     2 - 3 -5.3 +4.3 -9.7
  Nov 27, 2021 44   @ Colorado St. L 79-88 9%     2 - 4 +3.7 +16.3 -13.3
  Dec 02, 2021 140   Montana St. W 77-75 OT 41%     3 - 4 1 - 0 +1.7 -5.3 +6.8
  Dec 04, 2021 236   Montana W 78-75 64%     4 - 4 2 - 0 -3.1 +1.6 -4.7
  Dec 07, 2021 202   South Dakota W 74-69 56%     5 - 4 +0.9 -2.1 +3.1
  Dec 15, 2021 2   @ Arizona L 76-101 2%     5 - 5 -2.9 +3.7 -3.9
  Dec 18, 2021 51   @ Washington St. L 56-82 10%     5 - 6 -14.2 -10.7 -3.2
  Jan 01, 2022 167   @ Southern Utah W 91-81 33%     6 - 6 3 - 0 +12.2 +9.3 +2.0
  Jan 08, 2022 303   Sacramento St. L 71-85 78%     6 - 7 3 - 1 -24.8 -8.3 -16.1
  Jan 20, 2022 321   @ Idaho W 87-70 70%     7 - 7 4 - 1 +9.1 +7.4 +1.6
  Jan 22, 2022 219   @ Eastern Washington W 87-83 43%     8 - 7 5 - 1 +3.4 +8.1 -4.9
  Jan 27, 2022 170   Weber St. L 76-85 50%     8 - 8 5 - 2 -11.5 -3.6 -7.3
  Jan 31, 2022 244   @ Portland St. L 76-79 50%     8 - 9 5 - 3 -5.4 +1.2 -6.5
  Feb 03, 2022 244   Portland St. L 99-106 66%     8 - 10 5 - 4 -13.9 +11.8 -24.7
  Feb 05, 2022 330   @ Northern Arizona W 74-71 72%     9 - 10 6 - 4 -5.6 -2.3 -3.2
  Feb 07, 2022 330   Northern Arizona W 82-60 84%     10 - 10 7 - 4 +9.0 +11.8 -0.2
  Feb 10, 2022 303   @ Sacramento St. W 79-61 65%     11 - 10 8 - 4 +11.7 +8.1 +4.6
  Feb 14, 2022 167   Southern Utah W 100-95 49%     12 - 10 9 - 4 +2.7 +17.0 -14.6
  Feb 17, 2022 327   @ Idaho St. L 58-61 71%     12 - 11 9 - 5 -11.3 -12.2 +0.5
  Feb 19, 2022 170   @ Weber St. W 83-79 OT 33%     13 - 11 10 - 5 +5.9 -1.4 +6.8
  Feb 21, 2022 327   Idaho St. W 77-70 83%     14 - 11 11 - 5 -5.8 +2.4 -7.7
  Feb 24, 2022 219   Eastern Washington L 76-85 60%     14 - 12 11 - 6 -14.1 -1.3 -12.7
  Feb 26, 2022 321   Idaho W 98-94 82%     15 - 12 12 - 6 -8.3 +13.3 -21.8
  Mar 03, 2022 236   @ Montana W 75-66 47%     16 - 12 13 - 6 +7.3 +6.6 +1.4
  Mar 05, 2022 140   @ Montana St. L 85-87 26%     16 - 13 13 - 7 +2.2 +5.9 -3.5
  Mar 10, 2022 219   Eastern Washington W 68-67 51%     17 - 13 -1.8 -5.6 +3.8
  Mar 11, 2022 244   Portland St. W 86-79 58%     18 - 13 +2.4 +0.1 +1.2
  Mar 12, 2022 140   Montana St. L 66-87 33%     18 - 14 -19.1 -7.4 -11.1
Projected Record 18 - 14 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 100.0
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%