Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#95
Expected Predictive Rating+6.4#90
Pace68.4#167
Improvement+3.9#51

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#48
First Shot+6.2#29
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#267
Layup/Dunks+1.1#119
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#292
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#45
Freethrows+3.1#9
Improvement+4.3#21

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#155
First Shot-0.2#185
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#97
Layups/Dunks+2.8#66
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#144
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#351
Freethrows+2.1#42
Improvement-0.4#209
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b2 - 12 - 4
Quad 24 - 26 - 6
Quad 35 - 411 - 10
Quad 47 - 118 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 224   Nicholls St. L 58-62 85%     0 - 1 -9.4 -14.3 +4.7
  Nov 11, 2021 68   Vermont L 57-71 49%     0 - 2 -7.9 -14.0 +6.2
  Nov 17, 2021 16   @ Arkansas L 80-93 15%     0 - 3 +3.6 +11.0 -6.4
  Nov 27, 2021 82   @ St. Bonaventure W 90-80 37%     1 - 3 +19.1 +18.7 +0.1
  Dec 01, 2021 98   @ Bradley L 69-71 42%     1 - 4 0 - 1 +5.7 +2.9 +2.7
  Dec 05, 2021 81   Richmond L 52-60 54%     1 - 5 -3.3 -16.0 +12.3
  Dec 14, 2021 292   Jackson St. W 66-56 92%     2 - 5 -0.1 +2.4 -0.8
  Dec 18, 2021 232   @ Marshall W 75-60 75%     3 - 5 +13.6 +1.8 +11.9
  Dec 22, 2021 136   Liberty L 74-76 64%     3 - 6 +0.0 +5.9 -6.0
  Dec 23, 2021 74   Wyoming L 69-71 41%     3 - 7 +6.1 -5.9 +12.1
  Jan 02, 2022 302   Evansville W 83-61 93%     4 - 7 1 - 1 +11.3 +10.5 +1.8
  Jan 05, 2022 185   Valparaiso W 92-65 80%     5 - 7 2 - 1 +23.8 +17.6 +6.4
  Jan 08, 2022 75   @ Missouri St. W 85-84 33%     6 - 7 3 - 1 +11.1 +21.3 -10.0
  Jan 11, 2022 223   Indiana St. W 80-74 OT 85%     7 - 7 4 - 1 +0.7 -1.8 +1.9
  Jan 15, 2022 124   @ Southern Illinois W 69-68 53%     8 - 7 5 - 1 +6.1 +8.2 -2.0
  Jan 19, 2022 185   @ Valparaiso L 80-83 OT 67%     8 - 8 5 - 2 -1.8 +1.2 -2.8
  Jan 22, 2022 87   Drake L 74-82 OT 56%     8 - 9 5 - 3 -3.8 -2.9 -0.3
  Jan 26, 2022 302   @ Evansville W 64-59 87%     9 - 9 6 - 3 -1.3 -2.1 +1.5
  Jan 29, 2022 178   Illinois St. W 79-64 79%     10 - 9 7 - 3 +12.2 +7.7 +5.3
  Feb 02, 2022 98   Bradley W 78-65 59%     11 - 9 8 - 3 +16.3 +8.4 +8.0
  Feb 05, 2022 87   @ Drake W 74-69 OT 39%     12 - 9 9 - 3 +13.6 -2.6 +15.6
  Feb 09, 2022 124   Southern Illinois W 53-44 69%     13 - 9 10 - 3 +9.7 -12.8 +23.3
  Feb 13, 2022 31   @ Loyola Chicago L 58-85 22%     13 - 10 10 - 4 -13.2 -1.1 -14.7
  Feb 15, 2022 178   @ Illinois St. W 72-70 66%     14 - 10 11 - 4 +3.6 +6.8 -3.0
  Feb 20, 2022 75   Missouri St. W 95-75 50%     15 - 10 12 - 4 +25.7 +23.4 +2.6
  Feb 23, 2022 223   @ Indiana St. W 88-82 74%     16 - 10 13 - 4 +5.2 +19.9 -14.5
  Feb 26, 2022 31   Loyola Chicago W 102-96 OT 36%     17 - 10 14 - 4 +15.4 +23.3 -8.5
  Mar 04, 2022 178   Illinois St. W 78-65 73%     18 - 10 +12.4 +8.8 +4.5
  Mar 05, 2022 31   Loyola Chicago L 43-66 28%     18 - 11 -11.4 -19.9 +7.0
Projected Record 18 - 11 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%