Pre-tourney Rankings
Northwestern
Big Ten
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#78
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#87
Pace69.2#141
Improvement-4.9#328

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#98
First Shot+1.9#114
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#95
Layup/Dunks-0.6#190
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#208
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#76
Freethrows+0.3#145
Improvement-5.3#354

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#56
First Shot+0.8#148
After Offensive Rebounds+3.8#2
Layups/Dunks+4.7#28
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#295
Freethrows-1.1#270
Improvement+0.4#159
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 11
Quad 22 - 33 - 14
Quad 35 - 28 - 16
Quad 46 - 014 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 355   Eastern Illinois W 80-56 99%     1 - 0 +4.6 +0.5 +3.6
  Nov 12, 2021 252   High Point W 95-60 91%     2 - 0 +27.8 +24.2 +5.3
  Nov 16, 2021 274   New Orleans W 83-67 93%     3 - 0 +7.3 +8.6 -1.0
  Nov 18, 2021 349   Fairleigh Dickinson W 82-46 98%     4 - 0 +20.0 -3.2 +21.9
  Nov 22, 2021 38   Providence L 72-77 37%     4 - 1 +5.9 +7.9 -2.4
  Nov 23, 2021 203   Georgia W 78-62 81%     5 - 1 +14.1 -1.6 +15.3
  Nov 30, 2021 35   @ Wake Forest L 73-77 OT 29%     5 - 2 +9.3 +2.3 +7.2
  Dec 05, 2021 64   @ Maryland W 67-61 38%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +16.8 -5.0 +21.5
  Dec 12, 2021 341   NJIT W 70-52 97%     7 - 2 +3.5 -4.5 +8.6
  Jan 02, 2022 32   Michigan St. L 67-73 43%     7 - 3 1 - 1 +3.3 -4.7 +8.3
  Jan 05, 2022 73   Penn St. L 70-74 56%     7 - 4 1 - 2 +2.0 +5.5 -3.8
  Jan 09, 2022 27   @ Ohio St. L 87-95 26%     7 - 5 1 - 3 +6.2 +15.6 -9.2
  Jan 12, 2022 64   Maryland L 87-94 2OT 54%     7 - 6 1 - 4 -0.6 +2.9 -2.4
  Jan 15, 2022 32   @ Michigan St. W 64-62 28%     8 - 6 2 - 4 +15.7 +0.7 +15.2
  Jan 18, 2022 30   Wisconsin L 76-82 43%     8 - 7 2 - 5 +3.4 +7.8 -4.3
  Jan 23, 2022 14   @ Purdue L 60-80 15%     8 - 8 2 - 6 -1.6 +1.8 -6.6
  Jan 26, 2022 24   @ Michigan L 70-72 26%     8 - 9 2 - 7 +12.4 +8.1 +4.0
  Jan 29, 2022 15   Illinois L 56-59 32%     8 - 10 2 - 8 +9.4 -6.9 +16.0
  Feb 01, 2022 59   Rutgers W 79-78 OT 52%     9 - 10 3 - 8 +8.0 +4.8 +3.1
  Feb 05, 2022 116   @ Nebraska W 87-63 58%     10 - 10 4 - 8 +29.4 +13.1 +15.5
  Feb 08, 2022 33   Indiana W 59-51 44%     11 - 10 5 - 8 +17.2 -1.0 +19.0
  Feb 13, 2022 15   @ Illinois L 66-73 19%     11 - 11 5 - 9 +9.8 -5.3 +15.7
  Feb 16, 2022 14   Purdue L 64-70 27%     11 - 12 5 - 10 +8.0 -5.9 +13.9
  Feb 19, 2022 105   @ Minnesota L 60-77 52%     11 - 13 5 - 11 -10.0 -8.5 -2.1
  Feb 22, 2022 116   Nebraska W 77-65 73%     12 - 13 6 - 11 +13.0 +6.3 +7.1
  Feb 25, 2022 73   @ Penn St. L 60-67 39%     12 - 14 6 - 12 +3.4 +2.0 +0.4
  Feb 28, 2022 10   @ Iowa L 61-82 13%     12 - 15 6 - 13 -1.5 -8.4 +7.4
  Mar 06, 2022 105   Minnesota W 75-62 69%     13 - 15 7 - 13 +15.6 +0.8 +14.5
  Mar 09, 2022 116   Nebraska W 71-69 66%     14 - 15 +5.2 -1.3 +6.6
  Mar 10, 2022 10   Iowa L 76-112 18%     14 - 16 -18.7 +3.7 -20.7
Projected Record 14 - 16 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 100.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%