Pre-tourney Rankings
Ohio St.
Big Ten
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.0#27
Expected Predictive Rating+11.9#35
Pace64.4#281
Improvement-2.3#272

Offense
Total Offense+9.9#10
First Shot+8.0#15
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#49
Layup/Dunks-0.9#201
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#48
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#35
Freethrows+2.0#38
Improvement-0.8#216

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#119
First Shot+2.7#87
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#248
Layups/Dunks+0.8#157
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#271
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#66
Freethrows+0.4#149
Improvement-1.5#263
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 7.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 96.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 96.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round96.1% n/a n/a
Second Round51.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen14.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.8% n/a n/a
Final Four2.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 53 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 05 - 5
Quad 25 - 510 - 10
Quad 36 - 116 - 11
Quad 43 - 019 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 128   Akron W 67-66 86%     1 - 0 +1.3 +2.9 -1.5
  Nov 12, 2021 201   Niagara W 84-74 92%     2 - 0 +6.0 +11.1 -5.0
  Nov 15, 2021 273   Bowling Green W 89-58 96%     3 - 0 +22.4 +5.8 +15.7
  Nov 18, 2021 50   @ Xavier L 65-71 50%     3 - 1 +6.0 -1.5 +7.4
  Nov 22, 2021 34   Seton Hall W 79-76 53%     4 - 1 +14.2 +15.7 -1.4
  Nov 24, 2021 47   Florida L 68-71 58%     4 - 2 +7.0 -0.2 +7.1
  Nov 30, 2021 13   Duke W 71-66 41%     5 - 2 +19.3 +2.0 +17.3
  Dec 05, 2021 73   @ Penn St. W 76-64 56%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +22.4 +13.5 +9.5
  Dec 08, 2021 89   Towson W 85-74 77%     7 - 2 +15.1 +20.6 -4.6
  Dec 11, 2021 30   Wisconsin W 73-55 60%     8 - 2 2 - 0 +27.4 +4.1 +23.0
  Jan 02, 2022 116   @ Nebraska W 87-79 OT 73%     9 - 2 3 - 0 +13.4 +12.6 +0.5
  Jan 06, 2022 33   @ Indiana L 51-67 44%     9 - 3 3 - 1 -2.4 -11.4 +8.4
  Jan 09, 2022 78   Northwestern W 95-87 74%     10 - 3 4 - 1 +13.3 +23.8 -10.6
  Jan 13, 2022 30   @ Wisconsin L 68-78 43%     10 - 4 4 - 2 +3.9 +3.5 +0.3
  Jan 16, 2022 73   Penn St. W 61-56 72%     11 - 4 5 - 2 +11.0 +0.7 +10.9
  Jan 18, 2022 358   IUPUI W 83-37 99%     12 - 4 +24.3 +19.2 +13.3
  Jan 27, 2022 105   @ Minnesota W 75-64 68%     13 - 4 6 - 2 +18.0 +22.7 -2.1
  Jan 30, 2022 14   @ Purdue L 78-81 27%     13 - 5 6 - 3 +15.4 +15.4 -0.2
  Feb 06, 2022 64   Maryland W 82-67 70%     14 - 5 7 - 3 +21.4 +15.8 +6.4
  Feb 09, 2022 59   @ Rutgers L 64-66 52%     14 - 6 7 - 4 +9.4 +12.9 -3.9
  Feb 12, 2022 24   @ Michigan W 68-57 41%     15 - 6 8 - 4 +25.4 +8.5 +18.2
  Feb 15, 2022 105   Minnesota W 70-45 81%     16 - 6 9 - 4 +27.6 +4.4 +25.7
  Feb 19, 2022 10   Iowa L 62-75 38%     16 - 7 9 - 5 +2.1 +0.5 -0.2
  Feb 21, 2022 33   Indiana W 80-69 OT 61%     17 - 7 10 - 5 +20.2 +10.8 +9.0
  Feb 24, 2022 15   @ Illinois W 86-83 32%     18 - 7 11 - 5 +19.8 +19.0 +0.8
  Feb 27, 2022 64   @ Maryland L 60-75 54%     18 - 8 11 - 6 -4.2 -1.1 -4.9
  Mar 01, 2022 116   Nebraska L 70-78 85%     18 - 9 11 - 7 -7.0 +4.6 -12.4
  Mar 03, 2022 32   Michigan St. W 80-69 60%     19 - 9 12 - 7 +20.3 +17.5 +3.7
  Mar 06, 2022 24   Michigan L 69-75 58%     19 - 10 12 - 8 +3.9 +3.6 -0.1
  Mar 10, 2022 73   Penn St. L 68-71 64%     19 - 11 +5.2 +8.7 -3.8
Projected Record 19 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 96.1% 96.1% 7.9 0.0 0.8 6.8 24.6 35.9 21.3 6.2 0.6 0.0 3.9 96.1%
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 96.1% 0.0% 96.1% 7.9 0.0 0.8 6.8 24.6 35.9 21.3 6.2 0.6 0.0 3.9 96.1%