Pre-tourney Rankings
San Francisco
West Coast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.8#21
Expected Predictive Rating+11.7#37
Pace71.0#96
Improvement+0.4#163

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#44
First Shot+5.8#34
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#208
Layup/Dunks+4.0#46
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#274
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#38
Freethrows-0.7#243
Improvement+1.2#119

Defense
Total Defense+7.3#19
First Shot+5.9#26
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#64
Layups/Dunks-0.3#199
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#280
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.9#1
Freethrows-0.5#228
Improvement-0.8#232
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 5.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round97.2% n/a n/a
Second Round55.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen16.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight7.1% n/a n/a
Final Four2.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.8% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 14 - 6
Quad 25 - 29 - 8
Quad 35 - 014 - 8
Quad 49 - 123 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 241   LIU Brooklyn W 98-64 95%     1 - 0 +27.3 +20.8 +6.0
  Nov 11, 2021 300   Prairie View W 92-76 97%     2 - 0 +5.6 +7.0 -2.8
  Nov 13, 2021 52   Davidson W 65-60 62%     3 - 0 +14.6 -7.1 +21.8
  Nov 15, 2021 192   Samford W 77-55 93%     4 - 0 +18.4 -3.3 +20.6
  Nov 18, 2021 110   Nevada W 73-70 85%     5 - 0 +4.7 +2.2 +2.6
  Nov 22, 2021 306   Morgan St. W 83-67 98%     6 - 0 +5.0 -0.6 +4.3
  Nov 25, 2021 89   Towson W 71-61 74%     7 - 0 +16.3 +10.0 +7.6
  Nov 26, 2021 53   UAB W 63-61 62%     8 - 0 +11.6 -5.1 +16.8
  Dec 04, 2021 86   UNLV W 83-62 79%     9 - 0 +25.3 +12.4 +12.8
  Dec 08, 2021 84   Fresno St. W 71-63 78%     10 - 0 +12.6 +9.5 +3.8
  Dec 18, 2021 103   Grand Canyon L 48-49 77%     10 - 1 +4.0 -14.8 +18.6
  Dec 19, 2021 83   @ Arizona St. W 66-65 64%     11 - 1 +10.1 -0.6 +10.6
  Dec 22, 2021 124   Southern Illinois W 64-52 87%     12 - 1 +12.7 -3.0 +16.5
  Jan 06, 2022 31   Loyola Chicago L 74-79 55%     12 - 2 +6.6 +13.5 -7.2
  Jan 08, 2022 208   San Diego W 88-73 94%     13 - 2 1 - 0 +10.5 +14.9 -4.6
  Jan 13, 2022 183   Loyola Marymount W 97-73 92%     14 - 2 2 - 0 +20.8 +8.0 +10.0
  Jan 15, 2022 61   BYU L 69-71 72%     14 - 3 2 - 1 +4.7 -3.5 +8.2
  Jan 20, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 62-78 11%     14 - 4 2 - 2 +10.1 -0.1 +10.4
  Jan 22, 2022 265   @ Pepperdine W 71-45 93%     15 - 4 3 - 2 +22.2 +0.1 +23.3
  Jan 27, 2022 20   St. Mary's L 70-72 56%     15 - 5 3 - 3 +9.2 +10.9 -1.9
  Jan 29, 2022 71   Santa Clara W 88-85 74%     16 - 5 4 - 3 +9.0 +8.9 -0.1
  Feb 03, 2022 61   @ BYU W 73-59 57%     17 - 5 5 - 3 +25.1 +4.5 +20.4
  Feb 05, 2022 169   @ Portland W 74-71 85%     18 - 5 6 - 3 +4.9 +2.8 +2.2
  Feb 08, 2022 169   Portland L 68-69 92%     18 - 6 6 - 4 -3.5 -10.2 +6.8
  Feb 10, 2022 265   Pepperdine W 105-61 96%     19 - 6 7 - 4 +35.8 +17.7 +13.5
  Feb 12, 2022 71   @ Santa Clara W 74-58 59%     20 - 6 8 - 4 +26.4 +3.6 +22.8
  Feb 17, 2022 20   @ St. Mary's L 64-69 39%     20 - 7 8 - 5 +10.6 +1.9 +8.7
  Feb 21, 2022 277   @ Pacific W 104-71 94%     21 - 7 9 - 5 +28.6 +21.9 +3.9
  Feb 24, 2022 1   Gonzaga L 73-89 20%     21 - 8 9 - 6 +5.7 +6.0 +0.5
  Feb 26, 2022 208   @ San Diego W 78-62 88%     22 - 8 10 - 6 +15.9 +11.9 +4.7
  Mar 05, 2022 61   BYU W 75-63 65%     23 - 8 +20.9 +5.8 +15.0
  Mar 07, 2022 1   Gonzaga L 71-81 15%     23 - 9 +13.9 +6.2 +8.0
Projected Record 23 - 9 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 97.3% 97.3% 8.4 0.0 0.7 4.5 15.6 29.8 31.3 14.1 1.4 2.7 97.3%
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 97.3% 0.0% 97.3% 8.4 0.0 0.7 4.5 15.6 29.8 31.3 14.1 1.4 2.7 97.3%