Pre-tourney Rankings
SMU
American Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.9#49
Expected Predictive Rating+10.8#47
Pace70.3#113
Improvement+4.1#49

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#52
First Shot+5.4#40
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#211
Layup/Dunks+2.8#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#329
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#61
Freethrows+2.2#34
Improvement-1.2#246

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#50
First Shot+7.7#9
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#348
Layups/Dunks+2.4#79
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#80
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#100
Freethrows+2.2#39
Improvement+5.3#6
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 39.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 39.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four26.6% n/a n/a
First Round25.6% n/a n/a
Second Round9.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.8% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 12 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 12 - 2
Quad 24 - 46 - 6
Quad 310 - 116 - 7
Quad 47 - 123 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 326   McNeese St. W 86-62 97%     1 - 0 +11.3 -6.8 +14.7
  Nov 12, 2021 70   @ Oregon L 63-86 48%     1 - 1 -12.6 -5.9 -6.4
  Nov 15, 2021 339   Northwestern St. W 95-48 98%     2 - 1 +32.9 +13.1 +19.9
  Nov 18, 2021 286   SE Louisiana W 78-61 96%     3 - 1 +7.3 -6.7 +13.2
  Nov 21, 2021 113   Missouri L 75-80 OT 73%     3 - 2 -1.4 -4.5 +3.7
  Nov 22, 2021 183   Loyola Marymount L 70-76 85%     3 - 3 -7.0 +3.5 -11.3
  Nov 24, 2021 145   Sam Houston St. W 75-66 84%     4 - 3 +8.1 +5.3 +2.9
  Nov 28, 2021 270   Louisiana Monroe W 74-67 95%     5 - 3 -1.3 -4.8 +3.4
  Dec 01, 2021 86   UNLV W 83-64 71%     6 - 3 +23.3 +14.1 +9.5
  Dec 04, 2021 60   Vanderbilt W 84-72 62%     7 - 3 +18.8 +20.5 -1.1
  Dec 08, 2021 63   Dayton W 77-69 63%     8 - 3 +14.5 +9.2 +5.5
  Dec 19, 2021 155   @ New Mexico W 90-72 75%     9 - 3 +20.9 +14.2 +6.2
  Dec 29, 2021 154   @ Tulsa W 74-69 75%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +8.0 +6.4 +1.9
  Jan 02, 2022 107   Central Florida W 72-60 76%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +14.5 +0.4 +14.1
  Jan 06, 2022 100   @ Cincinnati L 60-77 60%     11 - 4 2 - 1 -9.6 -6.0 -4.2
  Jan 12, 2022 231   South Florida W 77-65 92%     12 - 4 3 - 1 +6.2 +11.8 -4.9
  Jan 15, 2022 96   @ Tulane W 75-66 58%     13 - 4 4 - 1 +16.9 +4.3 +12.5
  Jan 20, 2022 25   @ Memphis W 70-62 34%     14 - 4 5 - 1 +22.3 +4.0 +18.2
  Jan 26, 2022 231   @ South Florida W 74-54 85%     15 - 4 6 - 1 +18.6 +12.7 +7.6
  Jan 29, 2022 111   Temple W 69-61 78%     16 - 4 7 - 1 +9.7 +3.0 +7.1
  Feb 05, 2022 92   @ Wichita St. L 57-72 57%     16 - 5 7 - 2 -6.8 -8.8 +1.7
  Feb 09, 2022 5   Houston W 85-83 28%     17 - 5 8 - 2 +17.9 +17.4 +0.4
  Feb 12, 2022 168   @ East Carolina W 80-66 77%     18 - 5 9 - 2 +16.0 +8.6 +7.4
  Feb 16, 2022 111   @ Temple L 57-64 65%     18 - 6 9 - 3 -0.9 -11.9 +11.1
  Feb 20, 2022 25   Memphis W 73-57 50%     19 - 6 10 - 3 +25.8 +6.5 +19.6
  Feb 23, 2022 154   Tulsa W 75-61 85%     20 - 6 11 - 3 +12.6 +2.6 +10.2
  Feb 27, 2022 5   @ Houston L 61-75 16%     20 - 7 11 - 4 +6.3 +1.9 +3.4
  Mar 03, 2022 100   Cincinnati W 76-71 75%     21 - 7 12 - 4 +8.0 +5.3 +2.6
  Mar 06, 2022 96   Tulane W 74-68 73%     22 - 7 13 - 4 +9.5 +2.9 +6.6
  Mar 11, 2022 154   Tulsa W 83-58 81%     23 - 7 +25.8 +13.6 +13.2
  Mar 12, 2022 25   Memphis L 63-70 42%     23 - 8 +5.1 -5.1 +10.3
Projected Record 23 - 8 13 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 39.1% 39.1% 11.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 3.8 19.4 14.5 0.3 60.9 39.1%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 39.1% 0.0% 39.1% 11.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 3.8 19.4 14.5 0.3 60.9 39.1%