Pre-tourney Rankings
South Florida
American Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#231
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#248
Pace63.9#299
Improvement-1.3#227

Offense
Total Offense-7.8#347
First Shot-7.8#346
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#170
Layup/Dunks-2.7#289
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.5#355
Freethrows-1.4#296
Improvement-0.8#218

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#65
First Shot+4.7#45
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#223
Layups/Dunks+2.8#67
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#238
Freethrows+0.5#144
Improvement-0.5#220
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 81 - 13
Quad 33 - 64 - 19
Quad 44 - 48 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 343   Bethune-Cookman W 75-54 85%     1 - 0 +6.3 -0.6 +7.9
  Nov 13, 2021 258   Georgia Southern L 41-53 65%     1 - 1 -19.6 -24.1 +1.8
  Nov 15, 2021 298   N.C. A&T W 56-54 74%     2 - 1 -8.3 -18.4 +10.2
  Nov 19, 2021 11   Auburn L 52-58 5%     2 - 2 +9.0 -7.8 +16.3
  Nov 24, 2021 331   Hampton W 58-52 81%     3 - 2 -7.1 -10.3 +4.0
  Nov 29, 2021 120   @ Boston College L 49-64 20%     3 - 3 -9.6 -12.0 -0.3
  Dec 03, 2021 324   South Carolina St. L 64-65 80%     3 - 4 -13.7 -12.0 -1.7
  Dec 14, 2021 296   Austin Peay W 60-51 74%     4 - 4 -1.2 -13.6 +12.7
  Dec 18, 2021 47   Florida L 55-66 11%     4 - 5 -1.0 -10.0 +8.2
  Dec 22, 2021 61   BYU L 39-54 13%     4 - 6 -6.1 -23.1 +14.4
  Dec 23, 2021 164   @ Hawaii W 76-69 29%     5 - 6 +9.3 +7.1 +2.3
  Dec 25, 2021 74   Wyoming L 57-77 14%     5 - 7 -11.9 -8.6 -4.5
  Jan 05, 2022 5   Houston L 66-83 5%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -1.1 +6.9 -9.7
  Jan 08, 2022 96   @ Tulane L 54-68 14%     5 - 9 0 - 2 -6.1 -14.1 +7.5
  Jan 12, 2022 49   @ SMU L 65-77 8%     5 - 10 0 - 3 +0.1 +2.1 -2.7
  Jan 15, 2022 107   Central Florida W 75-51 28%     6 - 10 1 - 3 +26.5 +2.7 +23.6
  Jan 18, 2022 5   @ Houston L 55-74 2%     6 - 11 1 - 4 +1.3 -7.3 +8.2
  Jan 26, 2022 49   SMU L 54-74 15%     6 - 12 1 - 5 -12.3 -10.4 -3.6
  Jan 29, 2022 154   @ Tulsa L 45-76 26%     6 - 13 1 - 6 -28.0 -26.0 -2.4
  Feb 03, 2022 107   @ Central Florida L 49-68 16%     6 - 14 1 - 7 -12.1 -18.8 +6.1
  Feb 07, 2022 111   Temple W 52-49 31%     7 - 14 2 - 7 +4.7 -12.6 +17.6
  Feb 09, 2022 100   Cincinnati L 59-70 26%     7 - 15 2 - 8 -8.0 -9.1 +0.7
  Feb 12, 2022 92   @ Wichita St. L 69-73 14%     7 - 16 2 - 9 +4.2 +5.1 -1.1
  Feb 15, 2022 96   Tulane L 57-76 25%     7 - 17 2 - 10 -15.5 -12.1 -4.5
  Feb 17, 2022 168   East Carolina L 57-65 45%     7 - 18 2 - 11 -10.4 -13.0 +2.0
  Feb 19, 2022 154   Tulsa L 57-65 42%     7 - 19 2 - 12 -9.4 -13.8 +3.9
  Feb 23, 2022 168   @ East Carolina L 60-64 29%     7 - 20 2 - 13 -2.0 -10.9 +8.8
  Feb 26, 2022 100   @ Cincinnati W 56-54 15%     8 - 20 3 - 13 +9.4 -5.8 +15.4
  Mar 03, 2022 25   Memphis L 64-73 11%     8 - 21 3 - 14 +0.8 -1.4 +1.9
  Mar 06, 2022 111   @ Temple L 47-75 18%     8 - 22 3 - 15 -21.9 -17.9 -5.5
  Mar 10, 2022 107   Central Florida L 58-60 22%     8 - 23 +2.7 -10.0 +12.7
Projected Record 8 - 23 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%