Pre-tourney Rankings
Wisconsin
Big Ten
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.7#30
Expected Predictive Rating+16.7#11
Pace66.2#230
Improvement-2.7#287

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#47
First Shot+4.1#62
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#79
Layup/Dunks+1.9#100
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#147
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#201
Freethrows+2.3#27
Improvement-1.9#271

Defense
Total Defense+6.3#31
First Shot+4.7#41
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#51
Layups/Dunks+1.7#116
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#337
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#57
Freethrows+2.9#16
Improvement-0.8#233
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 1.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 84.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round74.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen35.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight10.6% n/a n/a
Final Four3.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.9% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a7 - 27 - 2
Quad 1b2 - 19 - 3
Quad 27 - 216 - 5
Quad 34 - 220 - 7
Quad 44 - 024 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 323   St. Francis Brooklyn W 81-58 98%     1 - 0 +10.4 +1.1 +8.9
  Nov 12, 2021 337   Green Bay W 72-34 98%     2 - 0 +24.3 +2.4 +26.4
  Nov 15, 2021 38   Providence L 58-63 61%     2 - 1 +3.7 -8.0 +11.3
  Nov 22, 2021 42   Texas A&M W 69-58 54%     3 - 1 +21.6 +5.9 +16.2
  Nov 23, 2021 5   Houston W 65-63 27%     4 - 1 +20.1 +7.6 +12.7
  Nov 24, 2021 20   St. Mary's W 61-55 43%     5 - 1 +19.4 +5.5 +14.7
  Dec 01, 2021 142   @ Georgia Tech W 70-66 77%     6 - 1 +7.9 +8.6 -0.2
  Dec 04, 2021 40   Marquette W 89-76 62%     7 - 1 +21.5 +14.0 +6.5
  Dec 08, 2021 33   Indiana W 64-59 59%     8 - 1 1 - 0 +14.2 +4.3 +10.4
  Dec 11, 2021 27   @ Ohio St. L 55-73 40%     8 - 2 1 - 1 -3.8 -15.6 +12.1
  Dec 15, 2021 224   Nicholls St. W 71-68 93%     9 - 2 -2.4 -1.2 -1.0
  Dec 29, 2021 178   Illinois St. W 89-85 OT 91%     10 - 2 +1.2 +12.8 -11.6
  Jan 03, 2022 14   @ Purdue W 74-69 26%     11 - 2 2 - 1 +23.4 +9.7 +13.9
  Jan 06, 2022 10   Iowa W 87-78 37%     12 - 2 3 - 1 +24.1 +15.7 +8.3
  Jan 09, 2022 64   @ Maryland W 70-69 53%     13 - 2 4 - 1 +11.8 +3.2 +8.6
  Jan 13, 2022 27   Ohio St. W 78-68 57%     14 - 2 5 - 1 +19.7 +7.1 +12.8
  Jan 18, 2022 78   @ Northwestern W 82-76 57%     15 - 2 6 - 1 +15.8 +14.3 +1.4
  Jan 21, 2022 32   Michigan St. L 74-86 59%     15 - 3 6 - 2 -2.7 +5.7 -8.4
  Jan 27, 2022 116   @ Nebraska W 73-65 72%     16 - 3 7 - 2 +13.4 -1.8 +14.8
  Jan 30, 2022 105   Minnesota W 66-60 81%     17 - 3 8 - 2 +8.6 -0.8 +9.9
  Feb 02, 2022 15   @ Illinois L 67-80 31%     17 - 4 8 - 3 +3.8 +2.6 +1.1
  Feb 05, 2022 73   Penn St. W 51-49 71%     18 - 4 9 - 3 +8.0 -9.8 +18.1
  Feb 08, 2022 32   @ Michigan St. W 70-62 42%     19 - 4 10 - 3 +21.7 +8.5 +13.8
  Feb 12, 2022 59   Rutgers L 65-73 67%     19 - 5 10 - 4 -1.0 +0.6 -2.0
  Feb 15, 2022 33   @ Indiana W 74-69 42%     20 - 5 11 - 4 +18.6 +7.6 +10.8
  Feb 20, 2022 24   Michigan W 77-63 57%     21 - 5 12 - 4 +23.9 +7.5 +16.6
  Feb 23, 2022 105   @ Minnesota W 68-67 67%     22 - 5 13 - 4 +8.0 +8.4 -0.3
  Feb 26, 2022 59   @ Rutgers W 66-61 51%     23 - 5 14 - 4 +16.4 +5.7 +11.2
  Mar 01, 2022 14   Purdue W 70-67 41%     24 - 5 15 - 4 +17.0 +5.1 +12.1
  Mar 06, 2022 116   Nebraska L 73-74 84%     24 - 6 15 - 5 +0.0 +2.7 -2.7
  Mar 11, 2022 32   Michigan St. L 63-69 50%     24 - 7 +5.5 -0.8 +6.0
Projected Record 24 - 7 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.8 0.0 1.1 32.5 50.4 15.4 0.5 100.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.8 0.0 1.1 32.5 50.4 15.4 0.5 100.0%