Arkansas
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
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RankNameGradeRating
18  Kemoy Campbell JR 31:08
31  Solomon Haile JR 31:20
45  Eric Fernandez SR 31:27
162  Layne Nixon SR 32:06
287  Cale Wallace FR 32:26
377  David Flynn JR 32:38
411  Cameron Efurd SR 32:42
1,117  Arch Robertson FR 33:56
2,970  Raymond Joseph SO 38:03
3,030  Anthony Lieghio SR 38:22
3,043  Drew Butler JR 38:27
3,336  Anton Kokorin SR 46:19
National Rank #8 of 311
South Central Region Rank #2 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 12.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 52.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 93.8%


Regional Champion 23.0%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Kemoy Campbell Solomon Haile Eric Fernandez Layne Nixon Cale Wallace David Flynn Cameron Efurd Arch Robertson Raymond Joseph Anthony Lieghio Drew Butler
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 431 31:23 31:21 31:14 32:16 33:16 32:39 32:24
Chile Pepper Festival 10/13 2166 33:57 46:20 46:20 46:20
SEC Championships 10/26 428 31:38 31:27 31:33 32:03 32:07 32:32 32:24 33:26 33:44 33:48
South Central Region Championships 11/09 333 30:42 31:07 31:20 31:48 32:26 33:17
NCAA Championship 11/17 440 30:51 31:26 31:49 32:21 32:10 33:00 33:05





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 11.1 344 0.0 0.7 2.1 3.6 5.6 7.4 7.7 9.1 8.0 7.8 7.5 6.6 5.8 4.8 4.6 3.3 3.1 2.6 2.1 1.4 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Region Championship 100% 1.8 54 23.0 72.5 4.3 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kemoy Campbell 100% 21.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.6 3.3 3.1 3.4 3.9 3.5 3.5 3.7 3.5 3.2 2.4 3.1 2.6 2.2 2.6 2.0 2.3 1.9
Solomon Haile 100% 34.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.4 2.1 1.7 1.8 1.8 2.5 2.0 2.3 2.1 1.9 2.7 2.3
Eric Fernandez 100% 44.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.5 1.3 1.7 1.2 1.6 1.5 2.0
Layne Nixon 100% 131.7
Cale Wallace 100% 180.3
David Flynn 100% 205.1
Cameron Efurd 100% 213.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kemoy Campbell 3.3 6.1 17.5 21.6 14.4 10.2 8.2 6.5 5.2 3.6 2.3 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Solomon Haile 5.1 0.9 5.0 12.6 15.4 14.9 12.8 10.2 8.0 5.7 3.8 3.1 1.7 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Eric Fernandez 6.4 0.3 1.7 5.6 11.2 12.2 14.0 13.1 10.8 8.5 5.9 4.8 3.3 1.9 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Layne Nixon 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 3.3 6.2 7.0 9.0 8.6 7.9 7.3 7.2 5.7 5.2 4.6 4.3 3.2 3.3 2.6 1.8 1.7
Cale Wallace 20.8 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.3 3.1 4.6 5.7 5.7 7.0 7.6 6.8 6.4 5.8 5.4 4.2 4.3
David Flynn 25.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.3 3.1 4.2 5.9 5.1 5.8 7.4 6.2 5.4
Cameron Efurd 26.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.1 3.0 3.4 5.2 5.7 5.6 6.2 6.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 23.0% 100.0% 23.0 23.0 1
2 72.5% 100.0% 72.5 72.5 2
3 4.3% 100.0% 1.0 2.1 1.0 0.2 4.3 3
4 0.2% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 100.0% 23.0 72.5 1.0 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.5 4.5




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Wisconsin 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Princeton 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Northern Arizona 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Michigan 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Syracuse 99.7% 1.0 1.0
Georgia 99.2% 2.0 2.0
Eastern Kentucky 98.9% 1.0 1.0
Indiana 98.6% 1.0 1.0
New Mexico 98.4% 1.0 1.0
Portland 92.2% 1.0 0.9
Notre Dame 88.9% 1.0 0.9
UCLA 84.5% 1.0 0.8
Virginia 82.0% 1.0 0.8
Iowa State 53.5% 1.0 0.5
Texas A&M 52.7% 2.0 1.1
Kansas 41.8% 1.0 0.4
Arizona State 38.4% 1.0 0.4
North Carolina St. 20.7% 1.0 0.2
Florida 12.5% 1.0 0.1
Minnesota 10.7% 1.0 0.1
Washington 7.0% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 5.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 4.6% 2.0 0.1
Illinois 2.5% 1.0 0.0
Penn State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Providence 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 0.3% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 16.5
Minimum 11.0
Maximum 22.0