Cornell
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
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RankNameGradeRating
221  Nick Wade SR 32:16
278  Max Groves JR 32:25
343  Brett Kelly SR 32:34
603  Matt McCullough SR 33:07
622  Gabe Heck JR 33:09
811  John Schilkowsky JR 33:29
939  Ben Potts SO 33:41
977  Ben Rainero FR 33:44
1,000  Connor Herr FR 33:46
1,038  Tyler Eustance SO 33:49
1,068  Andrew Herring JR 33:53
1,179  David Melly SO 34:02
1,314  Sam Baxter FR 34:13
1,323  Brian Eimstad FR 34:14
1,584  Chris Christoff JR 34:35
1,654  Jonathan Phillips SO 34:42
3,045  Adam Custer JR 38:28
National Rank #63 of 311
Northeast Region Rank #7 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.2%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 11.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Nick Wade Max Groves Brett Kelly Matt McCullough Gabe Heck John Schilkowsky Ben Potts Ben Rainero Connor Herr Tyler Eustance Andrew Herring
Lehigh Paul Short Run (Gold) 09/28 868 32:10 32:18 32:24 33:15 37:04 34:06 33:41 33:48 33:03
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 1062 33:10 32:34 33:19 33:59 33:09 33:36 34:54
Princeton Invitational 10/13 1170 33:09 33:45
Ivy League Championships 10/27 749 32:05 32:09 32:19 32:24 32:43 33:17 33:43 33:55 33:45 33:52
Norhteast Region Championships 11/09 915 32:06 32:42 32:33 32:59 33:30 33:51 33:59





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.2% 28.3 682 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Region Championship 100% 6.8 206 0.0 0.2 2.6 8.9 20.7 44.7 21.7 1.1 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Wade 22.8% 142.4
Max Groves 9.1% 158.1
Brett Kelly 2.1% 168.8
Matt McCullough 0.2% 213.0
Gabe Heck 0.2% 231.0
John Schilkowsky 0.2% 235.0
Ben Potts 0.2% 242.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Wade 20.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.8 3.4 3.1 3.4 3.9 4.2 4.4 4.3 4.2 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.3 3.1 2.7 2.4
Max Groves 25.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.4 3.1 2.7 3.3 3.7 3.7 4.3 4.3 3.8 3.7 3.0 3.2
Brett Kelly 31.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.4 2.4 2.6 2.3 2.8 2.9 3.4 3.4 3.5
Matt McCullough 58.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Gabe Heck 59.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
John Schilkowsky 79.2
Ben Potts 91.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 2
3 0.2% 83.3% 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 3
4 2.6% 0.8% 0.0 2.6 0.0 4
5 8.9% 8.9 5
6 20.7% 20.7 6
7 44.7% 44.7 7
8 21.7% 21.7 8
9 1.1% 1.1 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 0.2% 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0 0.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Harvard 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Lehigh 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0