Dayton
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
780  Greg Roeth SR 33:26
926  Kyle Lowry SR 33:39
1,009  Jeremy Schiele SR 33:47
1,017  Eric Gruenbacher JR 33:48
1,357  Ryan Polman FR 34:16
1,391  Tyler Roeth JR 34:20
1,405  Stephen Mackell SR 34:21
1,799  Mike Russell 34:58
2,091  Antony Parnigoni FR 35:24
2,390  Derek Bornhorst SR 35:53
2,461  Matt Fakler SO 36:05
2,520  Nate Addessi SR 36:12
2,536  Doug Norris JR 36:15
National Rank #153 of 311
Great Lakes Region Rank #19 of 30
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 17th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 90.5%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Greg Roeth Kyle Lowry Jeremy Schiele Eric Gruenbacher Ryan Polman Tyler Roeth Stephen Mackell Mike Russell Antony Parnigoni Derek Bornhorst Matt Fakler
All-Ohio Championships 09/29 1173 33:30 34:05 33:55 33:38 34:17 34:01 35:16
Pre-Nationals Meet (Black) 10/13 1175 33:32 33:35 33:56 34:03 34:34 33:58 34:59 35:40 35:25 36:06
Atlantic 10 Championships 10/27 1147 33:11 33:44 33:46 33:39 33:42 34:38 35:33 36:32
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/09 1149 33:34 33:14 33:27 33:55 35:11 33:48 34:51





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 17.8 512 0.1 0.9 3.3 9.8 14.4 17.1 16.8 15.5 12.5 7.4 2.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Greg Roeth 83.8
Kyle Lowry 96.2
Jeremy Schiele 103.1
Eric Gruenbacher 103.9
Ryan Polman 126.2
Tyler Roeth 129.3
Stephen Mackell 130.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 0.9% 0.9 13
14 3.3% 3.3 14
15 9.8% 9.8 15
16 14.4% 14.4 16
17 17.1% 17.1 17
18 16.8% 16.8 18
19 15.5% 15.5 19
20 12.5% 12.5 20
21 7.4% 7.4 21
22 2.1% 2.1 22
23 0.0% 0.0 23
24 0.0% 0.0 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0