Fairfield
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
869  Connor Kelley SO 33:34
897  Howard Rosas JR 33:37
1,488  John Lobo JR 34:28
1,848  Kyle Short SR 35:02
1,946  Brian Cleary JR 35:10
2,021  Jake Ruskan SO 35:17
2,251  Keith DeBlock FR 35:37
2,402  Gregory Chase SR 35:56
2,513  Matthew Boley SR 36:11
2,518  Dylan Fisher SR 36:12
2,559  Nicholas Carapezza FR 36:18
2,679  Frank Segreto FR 36:41
2,714  Kyle Wegner SO 36:47
2,842  Frank Sergreto FR 37:21
3,106  Ernest Lustenring SR 39:06
National Rank #189 of 311
Northeast Region Rank #28 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 27th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 3.9%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Connor Kelley Howard Rosas John Lobo Kyle Short Brian Cleary Jake Ruskan Keith DeBlock Gregory Chase Matthew Boley Dylan Fisher Nicholas Carapezza
All New England Championship 10/07 1236 33:59 33:29 35:07 35:05 34:59 36:27 35:46
Father O'Neil Invitational 10/13 1352 35:18 35:38 36:17 35:21 36:11
MAAC Championships 10/27 1218 33:32 33:40 34:23 35:11 34:52 35:18 35:40 36:06 37:16 36:28
Norhteast Region Championships 11/09 1215 33:14 33:45 34:06 34:51 36:19 35:51 36:41





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 26.1 720 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 1.2 1.9 3.2 5.1 6.0 8.1 11.3 13.5 14.2 13.2 10.1 6.9 2.9



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Connor Kelley 83.8
Howard Rosas 87.3
John Lobo 151.1
Kyle Short 192.2
Brian Cleary 200.1
Jake Ruskan 207.6
Keith DeBlock 224.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 0.0% 0.0 14
15 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 0.3% 0.3 17
18 0.4% 0.4 18
19 1.2% 1.2 19
20 1.9% 1.9 20
21 3.2% 3.2 21
22 5.1% 5.1 22
23 6.0% 6.0 23
24 8.1% 8.1 24
25 11.3% 11.3 25
26 13.5% 13.5 26
27 14.2% 14.2 27
28 13.2% 13.2 28
29 10.1% 10.1 29
30 6.9% 6.9 30
31 2.9% 2.9 31
32 1.1% 1.1 32
33 0.4% 0.4 33
34 0.0% 0.0 34
35 0.0% 0.0 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0