UCLA
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
27  Lane Werley SO 31:19
104  Dustin Fay JR 31:54
125  David McDonald SR 31:58
194  Nohe Lema JR 32:13
293  Daniel Herrera SO 32:27
327  Sergey Sushchickh FR 32:32
450  Chase Zukerman SO 32:48
614  Chase Zuckerman SO 33:08
720  Jacob Wood SO 33:19
777  Patrick Douglas JR 33:26
979  Daniel Rosales SO 33:44
984  Alec Govi SR 33:45
1,310  Sean Davis FR 34:12
2,733  Tommy Lopez FR 36:52
National Rank #19 of 311
West Region Rank #3 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 87.1%
Most Likely Finish 16th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 10.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 54.0%


Regional Champion 8.6%
Top 5 in Regional 87.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Lane Werley Dustin Fay David McDonald Nohe Lema Daniel Herrera Sergey Sushchickh Chase Zukerman Chase Zuckerman Jacob Wood Patrick Douglas Daniel Rosales
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 549 31:36 31:41 32:04 32:23 32:04 32:46 33:08
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/13 1143 33:13 33:11 33:23
Titan Invitational 10/19 1113
Pac-12 Championships 10/27 540 31:09 32:08 31:53 32:07 32:43 32:19 32:48 33:19 33:43 34:10
West Region Championships 11/09 616 31:37 32:06 32:07 32:05 33:11 32:34 33:07
NCAA Championship 11/17 499 31:00 31:49 31:51 32:22 32:11 32:33 33:47





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 87.1% 18.3 458 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.5 2.3 3.4 3.6 4.0 4.4 4.7 5.1 4.8 5.0 4.2 4.6 4.3 4.3 4.1 4.1 3.7 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.1 1.3 0.6
Region Championship 100% 3.5 121 8.6 22.0 23.8 20.2 13.1 7.9 2.8 1.1 0.4 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lane Werley 99.0% 33.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.1 2.0 1.6 2.1 1.8 2.3 2.4 2.8 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.1 2.0 2.1
Dustin Fay 87.6% 95.6 0.0 0.0
David McDonald 87.4% 105.8 0.0
Nohe Lema 87.1% 146.1
Daniel Herrera 87.2% 181.0
Sergey Sushchickh 87.1% 188.9
Chase Zukerman 87.1% 218.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lane Werley 4.1 0.8 25.9 22.4 13.7 8.4 5.7 3.9 2.5 2.5 1.8 1.9 1.4 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
Dustin Fay 15.3 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.8 4.2 5.3 6.0 5.4 5.0 5.2 4.7 4.4 4.1 3.7 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.3 2.1 1.8 2.1 2.0 1.8
David McDonald 17.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.9 2.7 3.4 4.7 4.4 4.6 4.8 4.4 4.9 3.9 3.8 3.4 2.8 2.7 2.9 2.0 2.4 1.7 2.1 2.1
Nohe Lema 29.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.2 3.0 2.7 3.6 2.8 2.8 2.4 2.9 2.4 2.8 2.8
Daniel Herrera 44.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.6
Sergey Sushchickh 49.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.1 0.8
Chase Zukerman 64.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 8.6% 100.0% 8.6 8.6 1
2 22.0% 100.0% 22.0 22.0 2
3 23.8% 100.0% 0.3 6.7 7.9 5.3 2.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 23.8 3
4 20.2% 99.3% 0.1 2.8 4.0 3.5 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.1 20.1 4
5 13.1% 80.3% 0.0 0.8 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 1.3 2.6 10.5 5
6 7.9% 24.7% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 6.0 2.0 6
7 2.8% 6.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.7 0.2 7
8 1.1% 1.1 8
9 0.4% 0.4 9
10 0.0% 0.0 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 87.1% 8.6 22.0 0.3 6.7 10.7 10.1 7.4 4.7 3.6 3.1 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.3 2.6 12.9 30.6 56.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Wisconsin 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Princeton 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Northern Arizona 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Syracuse 99.7% 1.0 1.0
Georgia 99.2% 1.0 1.0
Indiana 98.6% 1.0 1.0
Portland 92.2% 1.0 0.9
Notre Dame 88.9% 1.0 0.9
Virginia 82.0% 1.0 0.8
Iowa State 53.5% 1.0 0.5
Texas A&M 52.7% 1.0 0.5
Kansas 41.8% 1.0 0.4
Arizona State 38.4% 1.0 0.4
North Carolina St. 20.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 10.7% 1.0 0.1
Washington 7.0% 2.0 0.1
Dartmouth 5.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 2.5% 1.0 0.0
Penn State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Washington St. 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Providence 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 0.3% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 11.1
Minimum 6.0
Maximum 16.0