UNC-Asheville
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,250  Kevin Paradise SO 34:08
1,807  Skyler Winchester FR 34:59
1,826  Jeremy Gower FR 35:00
1,970  Andy Thornburg FR 35:13
2,199  David Ryland FR 35:31
2,634  Ryan Catrine FR 36:32
2,742  Elliot Pahel-Short SR 36:53
2,744  Ryan Blackmon SR 36:53
2,875  Sebastian Paniagua SR 37:30
2,942  Patrick Osborne FR 37:50
National Rank #224 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #31 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 30th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Kevin Paradise Skyler Winchester Jeremy Gower Andy Thornburg David Ryland Ryan Catrine Elliot Pahel-Short Ryan Blackmon Sebastian Paniagua Patrick Osborne
UNC-Ashville/ACA Combine Meet 09/29 1298 34:24 36:13 34:58 35:17 35:38 35:45 35:57 36:19 38:12 38:12
Pre-Nationals Meet (Black) 10/13 1269 34:44 34:40 34:49 34:57 35:27 36:30 37:07 37:05 37:17 37:41
Big South Championship 10/27 1267 33:45 34:55 35:04 35:15 35:21 37:04 36:11
Southeast Region Championships 11/09 1297 33:55 35:07 35:22 35:35 35:50 38:12





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 31.7 925 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.6 5.1 24.0 21.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kevin Paradise 133.3
Skyler Winchester 182.9
Jeremy Gower 184.4
Andy Thornburg 196.7
David Ryland 213.3
Ryan Catrine 254.5
Elliot Pahel-Short 263.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 0.0% 0.0 24
25 0.1% 0.1 25
26 0.3% 0.3 26
27 0.5% 0.5 27
28 1.6% 1.6 28
29 5.1% 5.1 29
30 24.0% 24.0 30
31 21.1% 21.1 31
32 16.1% 16.1 32
33 12.3% 12.3 33
34 9.2% 9.2 34
35 5.0% 5.0 35
36 3.0% 3.0 36
37 1.3% 1.3 37
38 0.4% 0.4 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0