Vermont
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
886  Ethan McBrien SR 33:36
1,219  Aaron Szotka JR 34:05
1,259  Dylan Souder SO 34:09
1,452  Dan Moroney FR 34:25
2,089  Erik Buser FR 35:24
2,339  Fletcher Hazlehurst FR 35:47
2,488  Tucker Nixon JR 36:09
2,560  Jamie Love JR 36:19
2,618  Thomas O'Leary FR 36:29
2,735  Aaron Anderstrom FR 36:53
2,788  Mike Baccari SO 37:05
2,929  Maurie Clark SO 37:47
3,083  Oliver Scofield FR 38:51
National Rank #187 of 311
Northeast Region Rank #27 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 26th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 6.8%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ethan McBrien Aaron Szotka Dylan Souder Dan Moroney Erik Buser Fletcher Hazlehurst Tucker Nixon Jamie Love Thomas O'Leary Aaron Anderstrom Mike Baccari
All New England Championship 10/07 1275 34:04 34:08 34:09 36:12 36:19 36:14
America East Championships 10/27 1232 33:33 34:15 34:21 35:26 34:51 36:02 37:10 36:53 37:54
Norhteast Region Championships 11/09 1234 33:14 33:49 34:32 35:20 36:53 36:14 35:49





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 25.6 709 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.7 3.2 4.4 5.8 8.3 8.7 10.9 12.8 11.7 11.2 9.1 5.5 3.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan McBrien 85.5
Aaron Szotka 120.3
Dylan Souder 124.4
Dan Moroney 147.8
Erik Buser 214.1
Fletcher Hazlehurst 233.0
Tucker Nixon 247.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 0.2% 0.2 16
17 0.6% 0.6 17
18 1.1% 1.1 18
19 1.7% 1.7 19
20 3.2% 3.2 20
21 4.4% 4.4 21
22 5.8% 5.8 22
23 8.3% 8.3 23
24 8.7% 8.7 24
25 10.9% 10.9 25
26 12.8% 12.8 26
27 11.7% 11.7 27
28 11.2% 11.2 28
29 9.1% 9.1 29
30 5.5% 5.5 30
31 3.0% 3.0 31
32 1.1% 1.1 32
33 0.5% 0.5 33
34 0.2% 0.2 34
35 0.0% 0.0 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0