Dartmouth
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
18  Will Geoghegan SR 31:14
149  John Bleday SR 32:04
186  Henry Sterling SR 32:11
243  Steve Mangan SR 32:22
291  Silas Talbot JR 32:30
339  Tim Gorman SO 32:39
547  Nathaniel Adams FR 33:05
555  Brian Masterson SO 33:06
618  Curtis King SO 33:14
704  Matt Herzig FR 33:22
763  Dylan O'Sullivan JR 33:29
806  Matt Klein SO 33:33
1,035  Matthew Pierce SR 33:54
1,147  Peter Geithner SO 34:04
1,206  Anthony Anzvino SO 34:08
1,471  Julian Heninger FR 34:29
1,552  Daniel Salas FR 34:37
1,566  Connor Clark FR 34:38
1,864  Taylor Neely SO 35:05
2,057  Luke Decker JR 35:25
2,261  Will Callan JR 35:51
2,403  Jack Terwilliger JR 36:08
2,411  John Emery FR 36:10
National Rank #28 of 311
Northeast Region Rank #5 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 80.7%
Most Likely Finish 26th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.3%
Top 10 at Nationals 3.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 29.6%


Regional Champion 3.0%
Top 5 in Regional 89.5%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Will Geoghegan John Bleday Henry Sterling Steve Mangan Silas Talbot Tim Gorman Nathaniel Adams Brian Masterson Curtis King Matt Herzig Dylan O'Sullivan
NEICAAA New England Championship 10/12 1120 33:21 33:16 33:32 33:05
Brown University Rothenberg Invitational 10/18 1198
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 764 32:36 32:03 32:19 32:30 32:15 32:55 33:11
Ivy League Championships 11/02 627 32:05 32:01 32:05 32:18 32:34 32:01 32:56 32:56 33:33 33:38 33:44
Northeast Region Championships 11/15 612 31:44 31:48 32:26 32:14 32:18 32:21 33:32
NCAA Championship 11/23 670 30:54 32:35 31:57 32:29 33:16 33:06 32:57





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 80.7% 21.8 509 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.7 1.7 2.2 2.7 2.6 3.0 3.7 4.1 4.0 4.7 5.1 5.0 6.1 6.0 6.4 5.7 4.8 3.7 2.4 1.1
Region Championship 100% 4.2 110 3.0 7.6 15.5 28.1 35.3 9.0 1.5 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Geoghegan 99.8% 23.2 0.0 0.4 0.6 1.3 2.1 2.1 2.8 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.1 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.1 1.7 1.8 1.7
John Bleday 84.7% 121.2 0.0
Henry Sterling 82.5% 137.4
Steve Mangan 81.1% 162.7
Silas Talbot 80.7% 181.2
Tim Gorman 80.7% 197.6
Nathaniel Adams 80.7% 230.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Geoghegan 1.8 17.2 41.1 10.9 6.9 4.7 3.5 2.6 2.1 1.8 1.3 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2
John Bleday 18.5 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.1 2.5 2.6 3.5 4.2 3.9 3.9 4.3 4.4 4.6 4.2 4.5 3.8 3.7 3.9 3.5 3.0 2.8 2.9
Henry Sterling 22.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.7 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.7 4.0 3.6 4.2 4.1 4.4 4.4 4.0 4.2 3.4 3.3 3.6
Steve Mangan 27.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.5 2.2 2.7 2.7 3.2 3.4 3.9 3.7 3.8 3.7 4.5
Silas Talbot 33.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.1 2.1 2.0 2.6 2.6 2.9 3.5
Tim Gorman 38.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.6 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.7
Nathaniel Adams 60.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 3.0% 100.0% 3.0 3.0 1
2 7.6% 100.0% 7.6 7.6 2
3 15.5% 94.7% 3.9 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.8 14.7 3
4 28.1% 92.2% 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.8 3.3 4.2 4.1 3.3 2.1 2.1 2.2 0.7 2.2 25.9 4
5 35.3% 72.0% 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.8 4.9 4.6 4.5 2.9 2.5 1.4 9.9 25.4 5
6 9.0% 40.4% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.7 5.3 3.6 6
7 1.5% 27.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.4 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 80.7% 3.0 7.6 3.9 1.7 1.5 1.8 3.3 5.5 8.3 9.9 8.8 7.9 6.5 6.5 4.4 19.3 10.6 70.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Harvard 65.7% 1.0 0.7
Florida 59.3% 1.0 0.6
Georgia 55.0% 1.0 0.6
Georgetown 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Tennessee 7.8% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 5.2% 1.0 0.1
UCLA 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Louisville 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 2.3
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 7.0