Georgia
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
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RankNameGradeRating
72  Lucas Baker SR 31:42
165  Brandon Lord SR 32:08
290  Charles Sparks SR 32:30
463  Zack Sims JR 32:55
593  Steven Spevacek SO 33:10
732  Brendan Hoban JR 33:26
938  Sid Vaughn SO 33:45
1,132  Brad Hort FR 34:03
1,151  Morgan Malanoski FR 34:04
1,428  Trevor Grant FR 34:25
National Rank #48 of 311
South Region Rank #2 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 55.5%
Most Likely Finish 31st at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.2%


Regional Champion 27.5%
Top 5 in Regional 99.2%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Lucas Baker Brandon Lord Charles Sparks Zack Sims Steven Spevacek Brendan Hoban Sid Vaughn Brad Hort Morgan Malanoski Trevor Grant
Roy Griak Invitational (Gold) 09/28 871 32:04 31:58 32:43 33:18 33:51 33:42 34:10 33:59 34:08 33:49
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 729 31:33 32:09 32:23 32:35 32:59 33:08 33:33 34:37
Berry Invitational 10/19 34:10
SEC Championships 11/01 811 31:38 32:22 32:31 33:05 33:09 33:28 32:55 34:03 34:37 34:46
South Region Championships 11/15 759 31:52 32:08 32:19 32:39 33:00 32:56 33:49
NCAA Championship 11/23 812 31:36 32:12 32:41 33:08 33:09 34:23 33:56





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 55.5% 29.2 685 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.6 2.0 3.4 5.8 9.0 12.8 18.5
Region Championship 100% 2.5 97 27.5 27.3 24.5 13.6 6.3 0.7 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lucas Baker 94.4% 71.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5
Brandon Lord 72.3% 129.4
Charles Sparks 57.8% 177.0
Zack Sims 55.5% 217.9
Steven Spevacek 55.5% 231.9
Brendan Hoban 55.8% 241.7
Sid Vaughn 56.2% 247.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lucas Baker 2.7 13.9 21.7 20.5 13.6 7.0 5.8 4.1 3.0 2.6 2.1 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Brandon Lord 7.4 0.2 1.5 4.9 8.9 11.6 10.2 9.8 8.1 7.4 6.2 4.8 4.1 3.3 3.0 2.4 2.0 1.4 1.6 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5
Charles Sparks 13.9 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.3 3.8 5.3 6.3 6.4 6.3 6.9 6.4 5.7 5.0 4.7 4.3 3.8 3.3 2.8 2.5 2.1 2.0 1.7 1.6
Zack Sims 26.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.4 2.2 2.2 2.9 3.6 3.7 3.9 4.0 3.8 3.9 3.5 3.6 3.8
Steven Spevacek 36.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.5
Brendan Hoban 49.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2
Sid Vaughn 66.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 27.5% 100.0% 27.5 27.5 1
2 27.3% 100.0% 27.3 27.3 2
3 24.5% 2.2% 0.0 0.1 0.4 23.9 0.5 3
4 13.6% 0.9% 0.0 0.1 13.5 0.1 4
5 6.3% 0.6% 0.0 0.0 6.3 0.0 5
6 0.7% 0.7 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 55.5% 27.5 27.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 44.5 54.8 0.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgetown 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Auburn 14.4% 1.0 0.1
Tennessee 7.8% 2.0 0.2
UCLA 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Louisville 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 0.7
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0