Lafayette
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,721  Thomas Day SO 34:51
2,283  Andrew Warshauer JR 35:54
2,513  Andrew Morra FR 36:25
2,690  Sam Brinton SR 37:02
2,698  Kevin Smith FR 37:03
2,875  Noah Krassin FR 37:50
3,044  Scott Baker FR 39:10
National Rank #263 of 311
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #26 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 27th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Thomas Day Andrew Warshauer Andrew Morra Sam Brinton Kevin Smith Noah Krassin Scott Baker
Lehigh Paul Short Run 10/05 1431 34:24 35:32 37:00 37:15 38:33 39:02
Leopard Invitational 10/19 1496 34:44 36:57 37:25 37:40 39:11
Patriot League Championships 11/02 1404 34:57 36:13 36:25 37:22 36:22 37:45 39:17
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/15 35:27 36:55





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 26.9 825 0.5 16.1 22.7 29.7 21.3 8.0 1.5 0.3



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Thomas Day 117.3
Andrew Warshauer 156.4
Andrew Morra 173.7
Sam Brinton 186.1
Kevin Smith 186.4
Noah Krassin 197.9
Scott Baker 211.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 0.5% 0.5 24
25 16.1% 16.1 25
26 22.7% 22.7 26
27 29.7% 29.7 27
28 21.3% 21.3 28
29 8.0% 8.0 29
30 1.5% 1.5 30
31 0.3% 0.3 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0