Providence
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
56  Shane Quinn JR 31:37
74  Benjamin Connor JR 31:44
115  Julian Saad SR 31:55
159  Brian Doyle JR 32:07
329  Harvey Dixon SO 32:37
744  Liam Hillery JR 33:28
775  Julian Oakley SO 33:30
797  Trevor Crawley FR 33:32
933  Christian Costello SO 33:45
1,252  Jonathan Estrada FR 34:12
1,399  Stephen Robertson SO 34:23
1,477  Hugh Armstrong FR 34:29
1,499  Billy Bragg FR 34:32
1,518  Jake Feinstein FR 34:33
1,531  Joseph Vercollone SO 34:35
1,614  Brendan Sullivan SO 34:42
National Rank #22 of 311
Northeast Region Rank #4 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 94.9%
Most Likely Finish 23rd at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 7.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 46.1%


Regional Champion 6.4%
Top 5 in Regional 92.3%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Shane Quinn Benjamin Connor Julian Saad Brian Doyle Harvey Dixon Liam Hillery Julian Oakley Trevor Crawley Christian Costello Jonathan Estrada Stephen Robertson
Coast-to-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/27 714 31:50 32:47 31:48 32:12 32:59 33:00 33:28 33:28 33:50 34:24
NEICAAA New England Championship 10/12 1237 34:29 34:41
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 585 31:12 31:37 32:23 32:19 32:31 33:47 33:45
CCSU Mini Meet 10/25 1197 33:35 33:55
Big East Championships 11/02 605 32:10 31:46 32:04 31:44 32:44 33:30 33:46 33:39 34:03
Northeast Region Championships 11/15 576 31:46 31:57 32:01 31:51 32:32 33:34 33:15
NCAA Championship 11/23 498 31:20 31:24 31:35 32:34 32:28 33:48 33:08





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 94.9% 20.1 482 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.9 1.8 2.4 2.7 3.3 3.2 3.5 4.3 4.0 4.5 5.5 5.3 5.4 5.7 6.2 5.2 5.8 5.1 4.8 4.4 3.0 2.2 0.9
Region Championship 100% 3.8 103 6.4 11.2 19.3 28.5 26.9 6.6 1.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shane Quinn 98.4% 61.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8
Benjamin Connor 97.2% 75.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4
Julian Saad 96.1% 102.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Brian Doyle 95.0% 131.8
Harvey Dixon 94.9% 196.9
Liam Hillery 94.9% 243.1
Julian Oakley 94.9% 244.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shane Quinn 6.6 1.2 6.4 12.8 10.3 8.4 7.0 5.9 5.5 4.9 4.3 3.5 3.5 3.1 2.6 2.4 2.1 1.6 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.7
Benjamin Connor 9.3 0.2 2.3 6.3 7.4 7.3 7.1 6.9 5.8 5.2 5.0 4.8 4.2 4.1 3.3 2.9 3.3 2.5 2.4 2.2 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.0
Julian Saad 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 3.2 4.2 4.1 5.0 4.7 4.8 5.3 5.2 4.5 4.4 4.6 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.2 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.4 1.9
Brian Doyle 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.5 3.4 4.2 3.9 4.5 4.5 4.2 4.6 4.2 4.4 4.2 4.7 3.3 3.4 3.3 2.6
Harvey Dixon 38.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.2 2.0 1.7
Liam Hillery 82.8
Julian Oakley 85.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 6.4% 100.0% 6.4 6.4 1
2 11.2% 100.0% 11.2 11.2 2
3 19.3% 100.0% 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.5 3.7 4.6 3.4 2.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 19.3 3
4 28.5% 98.8% 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.7 4.9 5.9 5.3 3.7 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.3 28.2 4
5 26.9% 91.7% 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.8 4.7 4.5 3.2 2.1 1.7 1.9 2.2 24.7 5
6 6.6% 74.5% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.7 1.7 4.9 6
7 1.1% 20.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.2 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 94.9% 6.4 11.2 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.9 7.0 11.5 13.3 13.2 9.6 6.0 4.3 3.1 3.2 5.1 17.6 77.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Wisconsin 99.7% 1.0 1.0
Indiana 99.6% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 95.9% 1.0 1.0
Air Force 68.6% 1.0 0.7
Harvard 65.7% 1.0 0.7
Florida 59.3% 1.0 0.6
Georgia 55.0% 1.0 0.6
Dartmouth 23.0% 1.0 0.2
Georgetown 17.7% 2.0 0.4
Minnesota 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Washington 10.2% 1.0 0.1
Arizona State 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Tennessee 7.8% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 5.2% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Butler 1.4% 1.0 0.0
UCLA 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Louisville 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 7.6
Minimum 3.0
Maximum 13.0