Wake Forest
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
401  Connor Crowley JR 32:46
406  Alex Rose JR 32:47
741  Jake Poyner FR 33:27
748  Kyle Graves JR 33:28
1,802  Simon Holden FR 34:58
1,971  Ryan Horgan SO 35:16
2,110  Thomas Ross SR 35:31
2,365  Kent Garrett SO 36:05
2,709  William Fayette JR 37:05
National Rank #106 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #13 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 16th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.6%
Top 20 in Regional 97.2%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Connor Crowley Alex Rose Jake Poyner Kyle Graves Simon Holden Ryan Horgan Thomas Ross Kent Garrett William Fayette
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 1095 32:51 32:41 33:46 33:14 35:20 35:28 37:06
ACC Championships 11/01 1058 32:46 32:45 33:07 33:21 34:12 35:07 35:31 36:05
Southeast Region Championships 11/15 1121 32:44 33:00 33:32 34:10 35:14 35:32





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 15.8 464 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.8 7.9 11.9 18.1 20.1 16.5 9.1 4.6 2.9 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Connor Crowley 46.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8
Alex Rose 46.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6
Jake Poyner 87.7
Kyle Graves 88.2
Simon Holden 180.2
Ryan Horgan 197.6
Thomas Ross 211.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.5% 0.5 10
11 1.6% 1.6 11
12 3.8% 3.8 12
13 7.9% 7.9 13
14 11.9% 11.9 14
15 18.1% 18.1 15
16 20.1% 20.1 16
17 16.5% 16.5 17
18 9.1% 9.1 18
19 4.6% 4.6 19
20 2.9% 2.9 20
21 1.5% 1.5 21
22 0.7% 0.7 22
23 0.5% 0.5 23
24 0.1% 0.1 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0