Men - Women
Tournament Championship Summary
2013 - 2014 - 2015



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.


RankSchool Regional ChampionTop 5Top 10Top 20Advance to Nationals
1 Colorado Mountain 74.3% 99.1% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2 Stanford West 16.5% 89.5% 98.8% 100.0% 100.0%
3 Oregon West 2.6% 65.6% 94.2% 99.8% 100.0%
4 Portland West 2.8% 57.7% 89.8% 99.5% 100.0%
5 Syracuse Northeast 2.5% 57.3% 89.9% 99.5% 100.0%
6 Northern Arizona Mountain 0.3% 34.3% 79.9% 99.0% 100.0%
7 Oklahoma State Midwest 12.0% 54.5% 94.4% 98.3%
8 Villanova Mid-Atlantic 0.2% 17.4% 57.9% 94.1% 97.0%
9 Wisconsin Great Lakes 0.3% 21.4% 63.7% 97.3% 100.0%
10 Iona Northeast 0.2% 11.4% 45.9% 92.2% 99.8%
11 New Mexico Mountain 2.0% 17.5% 72.7% 98.5%
12 BYU Mountain 0.1% 13.3% 50.1% 93.2% 99.8%
13 Michigan Great Lakes 0.0% 5.6% 32.7% 87.4% 99.6%
14 UCLA West 0.1% 5.2% 29.4% 82.3% 98.0%
15 Washington West 0.0% 1.8% 19.4% 77.7% 96.5%
16 Providence Northeast 1.8% 17.9% 78.4% 98.4%
17 Georgetown Mid-Atlantic 1.9% 15.1% 65.1% 91.5%
18 North Carolina Southeast 0.6% 9.9% 55.1% 79.3%
19 Michigan State Great Lakes 0.9% 8.4% 56.3% 95.4%
20 Virginia Southeast 0.8% 10.1% 60.1% 93.0%
21 Florida State South 5.2% 99.9%
22 Eastern Kentucky Southeast 0.0% 1.0% 14.8% 38.5%
23 North Carolina St. Southeast 0.0% 0.1% 4.7% 21.2%
24 Arkansas South Central 0.1% 1.1% 31.9% 99.2%
25 Indiana Great Lakes 0.2% 4.3% 47.6% 92.8%
26 Colorado St. Mountain 0.0% 1.8% 34.4% 91.3%
27 Furman Southeast 0.2% 3.1% 32.3% 75.2%
28 Iowa State Midwest 0.5% 13.4% 54.9%
29 Southern Utah Mountain 0.4% 22.9% 89.1%
30 Oklahoma Midwest 0.5% 19.8% 65.8%
31 Tulsa Midwest 0.2% 13.2% 43.6%
32 Minnesota Midwest 0.0% 0.5% 12.6% 49.0%
33 Texas South Central 0.2% 11.7% 91.8%
34 UC Santa Barbara West 0.1% 3.1% 7.1%
35 Boise State West 0.0% 1.2% 3.3%
36 Princeton Mid-Atlantic 0.0% 0.5% 6.7% 16.3%
37 Penn State Mid-Atlantic 0.1% 3.2% 9.8%
38 Arizona State West 0.1% 1.9% 4.2%
39 Louisville Southeast 0.0%
40 Eastern Michigan Great Lakes 0.2% 4.1% 18.4%
41 Mississippi South 0.0% 5.0% 91.2%
42 Illinois Midwest 2.8% 15.9%
43 UTEP Mountain 0.2% 2.4%
44 Cornell Northeast 0.0% 0.7% 3.5%
45 Weber State Mountain 0.5% 6.7%
46 Navy Mid-Atlantic 0.6% 3.2%
47 California West 0.1% 0.5%
48 Yale Northeast 0.1% 0.8%
49 Auburn South 0.2% 26.7%
50 Penn Mid-Atlantic 0.0% 0.2%
51 Virginia Tech Southeast 0.0% 0.2% 2.8%
52 Air Force Mountain 0.3% 6.6%
53 Columbia Northeast 0.0% 0.3% 1.9%
54 Notre Dame Great Lakes 0.0% 0.6%
55 Lamar South Central 0.1% 13.6%
56 Indiana State Great Lakes 0.1%
57 Arizona West
58 Washington St. West 0.0% 0.2%
59 Missouri Midwest 0.0% 0.8%
60 Dartmouth Northeast 0.0% 0.4%
61 Harvard Northeast 0.3%
62 Iowa Midwest 0.6%
63 San Francisco West
64 Butler Great Lakes
65 Gonzaga West 0.1%
66 High Point Southeast
67 Kansas Midwest 0.0%
68 Southern Illinois Midwest
69 North Texas South Central 0.8%
70 Bradley Midwest 0.1%
71 Cal Poly West 0.0%
72 Purdue Great Lakes
73 IUPUI Great Lakes 0.0%
74 Lehigh Mid-Atlantic
75 Drake Midwest
76 Loyola (Ill.) Midwest
77 Illinois State Midwest
78 South Alabama South 0.0%
79 Wyoming Mountain
80 Akron Great Lakes 0.0%
81 Brown Northeast
82 Texas-Arlington South Central 0.4%
83 Mid. Tenn. State South 2.3%
84 Montana State Mountain
85 UC Riverside West
86 Elon Southeast
87 St. Joseph's (Pa.) Mid-Atlantic
88 Utah State Mountain
89 Kentucky Southeast
90 Central Michigan Great Lakes
91 Texas A&M South Central 0.2%
92 Santa Clara West
93 Stephen F. Austin South Central 0.1%
94 UMBC Mid-Atlantic
95 Wichita State Midwest
96 Bucknell Mid-Atlantic
97 Canisius Northeast
98 Clemson Southeast
99 George Mason Southeast
100 Liberty Southeast
101 South Dakota Midwest
102 Army Northeast
103 Wake Forest Southeast
104 Miami (Ohio) Great Lakes
105 Ohio State Great Lakes
106 Stony Brook Northeast
107 Tennessee South
108 Eastern Washington West
109 Boston U. Northeast
110 Georgia Tech South 0.2%
111 Duquesne Mid-Atlantic
112 South Dakota St. Midwest
113 Rice South Central
114 Buffalo Northeast
115 Saint Louis Midwest
116 Utah Valley Mountain
117 William and Mary Southeast
118 Appalachian State Southeast
119 Texas A&M-CC South Central
120 Cincinnati Great Lakes
121 North Florida South 0.0%
122 Pittsburgh Mid-Atlantic
123 Binghamton Northeast
124 Idaho West
125 Lipscomb South
126 American Mid-Atlantic
127 North Dakota St. Midwest
128 Georgia South
129 Alabama South
130 Houston South Central
131 Duke Southeast
132 Wis.-Milwaukee Great Lakes
133 East Tenn. St. South
134 Northeastern Northeast
135 New Hampshire Northeast
136 St. Mary's (Cal.) West
137 Fordham Northeast
138 UC Davis West
139 San Jose St. West
140 Ohio U. Great Lakes
141 Miss State South
142 Loyola Marymount West
143 Northern Iowa Midwest
144 Nebraska Midwest
145 Va. Military Institute Southeast
146 McNeese State South Central
147 Central Connecticut Northeast
148 Detroit Great Lakes
149 Youngstown St. Great Lakes
150 Campbell Southeast
151 Richmond Southeast
152 Vermont Northeast
153 Kent State Great Lakes
154 Central Arkansas South Central
155 Samford South
156 Baylor South Central
157 Davidson Southeast
158 UMKC Midwest
159 Fresno State West
160 Maryland-Eastern Shore Mid-Atlantic
161 Florida South
162 Belmont South
163 Temple Mid-Atlantic
164 New Mexico St. Mountain
165 Morehead State Southeast
166 UMass Amherst Northeast
167 UC Irvine West
168 Texas Tech Mountain
169 Maine Northeast
170 Cal St. Fullerton West
171 UL-Lafayette South Central
172 Monmouth Mid-Atlantic
173 La Salle Mid-Atlantic
174 Eastern Illinois Midwest
175 Rider Mid-Atlantic
176 Albany Northeast
177 Quinnipiac Northeast
178 Marist Northeast
179 SIU-Edwardsville Midwest
180 Western Kentucky Southeast
181 Arkansas-Little Rock South Central
182 Oakland Great Lakes
183 Dayton Great Lakes
184 Long Beach St. West
185 Illinois-Chicago Midwest
186 Tulane South Central
187 Marquette Great Lakes
188 Connecticut Northeast
189 Boston College Northeast
190 Creighton Midwest
191 Memphis South
192 Norfolk State Southeast
193 Xavier (Ohio) Great Lakes
194 Toledo Great Lakes
195 Sam Houston St. South Central
196 Fairfield Northeast
197 Florida Gulf Coast South
198 Charlotte Southeast
199 North Dakota Midwest
200 Sacramento St. West
201 Siena Northeast
202 Seattle U. West
203 Montana Mountain
204 LSU South Central
205 George Washington Mid-Atlantic
206 Kansas State Midwest
207 Chattanooga South
208 SE Missouri Midwest
209 Holy Cross Northeast
210 East Carolina Southeast
211 DePaul Midwest
212 UTSA South Central
213 Portland State West
214 Col. of Charleston Southeast
215 Tennessee Tech South
216 Marshall Mid-Atlantic
217 Texas State South Central
218 Western Carolina Southeast
219 USC Upstate Southeast
220 Rutgers Mid-Atlantic
221 San Diego West
222 Idaho State Mountain
223 Vanderbilt South
224 St. Francis (Pa.) Mid-Atlantic
225 Rhode Island Northeast
226 Houston Baptist South Central
227 Arkansas State South Central
228 Manhattan Northeast
229 UNC-Asheville Southeast
230 Cal St. Northridge West
231 UNC-Wilmington Southeast
232 VCU Southeast
233 N. Carolina A&T Southeast
234 Colgate Northeast
235 Pepperdine West
236 UNC-Greensboro Southeast
237 Murray State Southeast
238 Bryant Northeast
239 Radford Southeast
240 Bowling Green Great Lakes
241 Louisiana Tech South Central
242 Texas-Pan American South Central
243 Valparaiso Great Lakes
244 UL-Monroe South Central
245 South Florida South
246 Mercer South
247 Howard Mid-Atlantic
248 Winthrop Southeast
249 Niagara Northeast
250 Lafayette Mid-Atlantic
251 Seton Hall Mid-Atlantic
252 Miami South
253 Wagner Northeast
254 Hofstra Northeast
255 Wis.-Green Bay Great Lakes
256 Coastal Carolina Southeast
257 Wofford Southeast
258 Hartford Northeast
259 TCU South Central
260 Longwood Southeast
261 Oral Roberts Midwest
262 Loyola (Md.) Mid-Atlantic
263 Mount St. Mary's Mid-Atlantic
264 Kennesaw State South
265 Citadel Southeast
266 Coppin State Mid-Atlantic
267 Prairie View South Central
268 Texas Southern South Central
269 St. Bonaventure Northeast
270 Sacred Heart Northeast
271 Northwestern St. South Central
272 Northern Colorado Mountain
273 SE Louisiana South Central
274 Wright State Great Lakes
275 Tennessee-Martin South
276 Austin Peay South
277 Troy South
278 Western Illinois Midwest
279 Florida Int'l South
280 IPFW Great Lakes
281 Hampton Southeast
282 Alabama State South
283 New Jersey Institute Mid-Atlantic
284 Florida Atlantic South
285 Jacksonville St. South
286 Evansville Great Lakes
287 New Orleans South Central
288 Stetson South
289 Chicago State Midwest
290 Jackson State South
291 Morgan State Mid-Atlantic
292 St. Francis (N.Y.) Northeast
293 N.C. Central Southeast
294 Mississippi Valley South
295 Fairleigh Dickinson Mid-Atlantic
296 Bethune-Cookman South
297 Alcorn State South
298 Nicholls State South Central
299 Grambling South Central
300 Delaware State Mid-Atlantic
301 Savannah State South
302 Florida A&M South
303 Jacksonville South
304 Gardner-Webb Southeast
305 Charleston Southern Southeast
306 Presbyterian Southeast
307 Arkansas-Pine Bluff South Central
308 St. Peter's Mid-Atlantic
309 Tennessee St. South
310 South Carolina St. Southeast
311 Southern South Central
312 100.0%
313 100.0%
314 100.0%
315 100.0%
316 100.0%
317 100.0%
318 100.0%
319 100.0%
320 100.0%
321 100.0%
322 100.0%
323 100.0%
324 100.0%
325 100.0%
326 100.0%
327 100.0%
328 100.0%
329 100.0%
330 100.0%
331 100.0%
332 100.0%
333 100.0%
334 100.0%
335 100.0%
336 100.0%
337 100.0%
338 100.0%
339 100.0%
340 100.0%
341 100.0%
342 100.0%
343 100.0%
344 100.0%
345 100.0%
346 100.0%
347 100.0%
348 100.0%
349 100.0%
350 100.0%
351 100.0%
352 100.0%
353 100.0%
354 100.0%
355 100.0%
356 100.0%
357 100.0%
358 100.0%
359 100.0%
360 100.0%
361 100.0%
362 100.0%
363 100.0%
364 100.0%
365 100.0%
366 100.0%
367 100.0%
368 100.0%
369 100.0%
370 100.0%
371 100.0%
372 100.0%
373 100.0%
374 100.0%
375 100.0%
376 100.0%
377 100.0%
378 100.0%
379 100.0%
380 100.0%
381 100.0%
382 100.0%
383 100.0%
384 100.0%
385 100.0%
386 100.0%
387 100.0%
388 100.0%
389 100.0%
390 100.0%
391 100.0%
392 100.0%
393 100.0%
394 100.0%
395 100.0%
396 100.0%
397 100.0%
398 100.0%
399 100.0%
400 100.0%