Men - Women
Tournament Championship Summary
2014 - 2015 - 2016



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.


RankSchool Regional ChampionTop 5Top 10Top 20Advance to Nationals
1 Colorado Mountain 50.6% 98.0% 99.9% 100.0% 100.0%
2 Stanford West 24.3% 92.6% 99.2% 99.7% 99.7%
3 Syracuse Northeast 18.0% 91.0% 99.3% 100.0% 100.0%
4 Oregon West 4.4% 69.9% 95.8% 99.8% 99.9%
5 Arkansas South Central 2.0% 50.6% 87.1% 99.4% 100.0%
6 Washington West 0.2% 14.0% 51.8% 83.7% 89.4%
7 Louisville Southeast 0.0% 8.7% 51.0% 89.5% 94.6%
8 BYU Mountain 0.2% 20.8% 63.8% 94.9% 98.6%
9 Iona Northeast 0.2% 15.6% 56.8% 93.7% 99.9%
10 Oklahoma State Midwest 0.1% 10.3% 46.1% 85.1% 92.9%
11 Michigan Great Lakes 0.1% 10.4% 47.6% 91.2% 99.7%
12 UTEP Mountain 3.5% 29.5% 75.8% 86.8%
13 North Carolina St. Southeast 1.1% 18.4% 73.0% 92.5%
14 Virginia Southeast 4.6% 32.7% 83.8% 98.7%
15 Georgetown Mid-Atlantic 2.5% 23.0% 79.4% 98.4%
16 Oklahoma Midwest 0.9% 13.3% 55.6% 71.5%
17 Eastern Kentucky Southeast 1.4% 16.4% 63.4% 88.1%
18 Colorado St. Mountain 0.1% 5.4% 42.0% 64.9%
19 UCLA West 0.9% 12.7% 51.4% 69.6%
20 Boise State West 0.9% 10.0% 45.5% 64.8%
21 Tulsa Midwest 2.0% 36.6% 67.6%
22 Furman Southeast 0.9% 10.7% 54.3% 92.0%
23 Air Force Mountain 0.0% 1.6% 23.4% 55.4%
24 Villanova Mid-Atlantic 0.0% 1.3% 23.2% 50.7%
25 California West 0.0% 0.4% 6.0% 27.6% 44.2%
26 Michigan State Great Lakes 0.4% 6.2% 43.6% 92.1%
27 Southern Utah Mountain 0.1% 3.0% 24.7% 51.7%
28 Minnesota Midwest 0.1% 2.3% 20.9% 46.5%
29 Virginia Tech Southeast 0.0% 1.4% 25.6% 76.4%
30 Washington St. West 0.6% 6.2% 10.6%
31 Columbia Northeast 0.1% 1.1% 19.6% 72.2%
32 Eastern Michigan Great Lakes 0.0% 0.9% 12.9% 37.9%
33 Penn Mid-Atlantic 0.0% 0.2% 7.9% 30.3%
34 Illinois Midwest 0.6% 14.1% 55.5%
35 Indiana Great Lakes 0.0% 0.7% 15.8% 65.3%
36 Cornell Northeast 0.1% 3.8% 15.2%
37 Notre Dame Great Lakes 0.2% 5.1% 18.3%
38 Portland West 0.6% 4.6% 10.1%
39 Florida State South 0.2% 7.6% 91.6%
40 UC Santa Barbara West 0.0% 0.6% 2.7%
41 South Dakota St. Midwest 0.1%
42 Yale Northeast 0.0% 1.0% 5.1%
43 Wisconsin Great Lakes 2.0% 12.0%
44 Mississippi South 0.1% 5.7% 91.8%
45 Providence Northeast 0.0% 1.8% 20.5%
46 Northern Arizona Mountain 0.2% 2.8%
47 North Carolina Southeast 0.0% 0.3%
48 Purdue Great Lakes 0.2% 3.9%
49 San Francisco West 0.0% 0.1%
50 Dartmouth Northeast 1.3% 9.7%
51 Duke Southeast 0.1% 3.2%
52 Kentucky Southeast 0.3% 6.2%
53 Campbell Southeast
54 Texas A&M South Central 0.4% 50.4%
55 New Mexico Mountain 0.0% 1.5%
56 Princeton Mid-Atlantic 0.0% 1.3% 19.6%
57 Gonzaga West 0.0% 0.1%
58 Texas South Central 0.1% 38.6%
59 Florida South 0.0% 8.5%
60 Wyoming Mountain 0.4%
61 Iowa State Midwest 0.1% 2.3%
62 Penn State Mid-Atlantic 0.1% 3.4%
63 Kansas Midwest 0.0%
64 Lamar South Central 0.0% 9.0%
65 Cal Poly West 0.1%
66 Georgia South 6.3%
67 Navy Mid-Atlantic 1.5%
68 Stephen F. Austin South Central 3.0%
69 Ohio State Great Lakes 0.1%
70 Indiana State Great Lakes
71 Bradley Midwest
72 Butler Great Lakes
73 Akron Great Lakes
74 Alabama South
75 Harvard Northeast 0.0%
76 IUPUI Great Lakes 0.1%
77 Miami (Ohio) Great Lakes
78 UMBC Mid-Atlantic
79 Georgia Tech South 2.3%
80 Missouri Midwest
81 Arizona State West
82 Wichita State Midwest
83 Mid. Tenn. State South 0.0%
84 Houston South Central
85 William and Mary Southeast
86 George Mason Southeast
87 Utah Valley Mountain
88 Iowa Midwest
89 Liberty Southeast
90 North Texas South Central 0.5%
91 Lipscomb South
92 Illinois State Midwest
93 Auburn South 0.2%
94 UC Davis West
95 Brown Northeast
96 La Salle Mid-Atlantic
97 Central Michigan Great Lakes
98 Nebraska Midwest
99 Davidson Southeast
100 St. Joseph's (Pa.) Mid-Atlantic
101 San Jose St. West
102 Eastern Illinois Midwest
103 Clemson Southeast
104 Oakland Great Lakes
105 Samford South
106 UMKC Midwest
107 High Point Southeast
108 Southern Illinois Midwest
109 Binghamton Northeast
110 North Florida South
111 Canisius Northeast
112 Appalachian State Southeast
113 Boston U. Northeast
114 Youngstown St. Great Lakes
115 Texas-Arlington South Central
116 St. Mary's (Cal.) West
117 Cincinnati Great Lakes
118 Rice South Central
119 Fordham Northeast
120 Drake Midwest
121 Kansas State Midwest
122 South Alabama South
123 Baylor South Central
124 SIU-Edwardsville Midwest
125 American Mid-Atlantic
126 South Dakota Midwest
127 Buffalo Northeast
128 Lehigh Mid-Atlantic
129 UMass Amherst Northeast
130 Belmont South
131 Temple Mid-Atlantic
132 Connecticut Northeast
133 Charlotte Southeast
134 Stony Brook Northeast
135 Northeastern Northeast
136 Ohio U. Great Lakes
137 Maine Northeast
138 Weber State Mountain
139 Arizona West
140 Loyola Marymount West
141 Tennessee South
142 Miss State South
143 Duquesne Mid-Atlantic
144 Dayton Great Lakes
145 Santa Clara West
146 Army West Point Northeast
147 Texas Tech Mountain
148 UTSA South Central
149 Detroit Great Lakes
150 Loyola (Ill.) Midwest
151 Bucknell Mid-Atlantic
152 Pittsburgh Mid-Atlantic
153 Richmond Southeast
154 Boston College Northeast
155 Long Beach St. West
156 Eastern Washington West
157 Saint Louis Midwest
158 Central Connecticut Northeast
159 Va. Military Institute Southeast
160 North Dakota State Midwest
161 Utah State Mountain
162 Sam Houston St. South Central
163 Illinois-Chicago Midwest
164 McNeese State South Central
165 Rutgers Mid-Atlantic
166 George Washington Mid-Atlantic
167 Elon Southeast
168 Wake Forest Southeast
169 UC Riverside West
170 UC Irvine West
171 Marist Northeast
172 Maryland-Eastern Shore Mid-Atlantic
173 Monmouth Mid-Atlantic
174 Seattle U. West
175 Arkansas-Little Rock South Central
176 Wis.-Milwaukee Great Lakes
177 Morehead State Southeast
178 Montana State Mountain
179 Northern Iowa Midwest
180 Idaho State Mountain
181 Marquette Great Lakes
182 LSU South Central
183 East Tenn. St. South
184 Arkansas State South Central
185 Cal St. Fullerton West
186 Siena Northeast
187 Fresno State West
188 Central Arkansas South Central
189 Tulane South Central
190 Vermont Northeast
191 Texas State South Central
192 New Mexico St. Mountain
193 North Dakota Midwest
194 Albany Northeast
195 Bowling Green Great Lakes
196 Texas A&M-CC South Central
197 UL-Lafayette South Central
198 Quinnipiac Northeast
199 Houston Baptist South Central
200 New Hampshire Northeast
201 East Carolina Southeast
202 Kent State Great Lakes
203 Manhattan Northeast
204 Toledo Great Lakes
205 Fairfield Northeast
206 Florida Gulf Coast South
207 Montana Mountain
208 Rider Mid-Atlantic
209 Pepperdine West
210 Xavier (Ohio) Great Lakes
211 DePaul Midwest
212 South Florida South
213 Murray State Southeast
214 Vanderbilt South
215 SE Missouri Midwest
216 USC Upstate Southeast
217 UNC-Greensboro Southeast
218 Sacred Heart Northeast
219 Portland State West
220 Sacramento St. West
221 Louisiana Tech South Central
222 Creighton Midwest
223 Hartford Northeast
224 Hofstra Northeast
225 Holy Cross Northeast
226 Radford Southeast
227 Chattanooga South
228 Marshall Mid-Atlantic
229 Bryant Northeast
230 Seton Hall Mid-Atlantic
231 Lafayette Mid-Atlantic
232 Colgate Northeast
233 San Diego West
234 Cal St. Northridge West
235 UNC-Wilmington Southeast
236 Western Carolina Southeast
237 Col. of Charleston Southeast
238 N. Carolina A&T Southeast
239 Austin Peay South
240 Rhode Island Northeast
241 Idaho West
242 Tennessee-Martin South
243 Western Kentucky Southeast
244 UL-Monroe South Central
245 UNC-Asheville Southeast
246 Memphis South
247 Valparaiso Great Lakes
248 Citadel Southeast
249 Norfolk State Southeast
250 Niagara Northeast
251 Loyola (Md.) Mid-Atlantic
252 Tennessee Tech South
253 Wofford Southeast
254 Miami South
255 Troy South
256 Mount St. Mary's Mid-Atlantic
257 Mercer South
258 Wis.-Green Bay Great Lakes
259 St. Francis (N.Y.) Northeast
260 TCU South Central
261 Florida Atlantic South
262 Northern Colorado Mountain
263 IPFW Great Lakes
264 Wright State Great Lakes
265 VCU Southeast
266 Coppin State Mid-Atlantic
267 St. Bonaventure Northeast
268 Grambling South Central
269 New Orleans South Central
270 New Jersey Institute Mid-Atlantic
271 SE Louisiana South Central
272 Kennesaw State South
273 Northwestern St. South Central
274 Coastal Carolina Southeast
275 Jacksonville South
276 Wagner Northeast
277 Winthrop Southeast
278 Jacksonville St. South
279 Texas Southern South Central
280 Jackson State South
281 Stetson South
282 Fairleigh Dickinson Mid-Atlantic
283 Alabama State South
284 Western Illinois Midwest
285 Hampton Southeast
286 Gardner-Webb Southeast
287 Presbyterian Southeast
288 Oral Roberts Midwest
289 Longwood Southeast
290 Mississippi Valley South
291 Morgan State Mid-Atlantic
292 Evansville Great Lakes
293 Alcorn State South
294 Prairie View South Central
295 Florida A&M South
296 Chicago State Midwest
297 N.C. Central Southeast
298 Bethune-Cookman South
299 Howard Mid-Atlantic
300 Arkansas-Pine Bluff South Central
301 Charleston Southern Southeast
302 Savannah State South
303 South Carolina St. Southeast
304 Delaware State Mid-Atlantic
305 St. Peter's Mid-Atlantic
306 Tennessee St. South
307 Southern South Central
308 Nicholls State South Central
309 100.0%
310 100.0%
311 100.0%
312 100.0%
313 100.0%
314 100.0%
315 100.0%
316 100.0%
317 100.0%
318 100.0%
319 100.0%
320 100.0%
321 100.0%
322 100.0%
323 100.0%
324 100.0%
325 100.0%
326 100.0%
327 100.0%
328 100.0%
329 100.0%
330 100.0%
331 100.0%
332 100.0%
333 100.0%
334 100.0%
335 100.0%
336 100.0%
337 100.0%
338 100.0%
339 100.0%
340 100.0%
341 100.0%
342 100.0%
343 100.0%
344 100.0%
345 100.0%
346 100.0%
347 100.0%
348 100.0%
349 100.0%
350 100.0%
351 100.0%
352 100.0%
353 100.0%
354 100.0%
355 100.0%
356 100.0%
357 100.0%
358 100.0%
359 100.0%
360 100.0%
361 100.0%
362 100.0%
363 100.0%
364 100.0%
365 100.0%
366 100.0%
367 100.0%
368 100.0%
369 100.0%
370 100.0%
371 100.0%
372 100.0%
373 100.0%
374 100.0%
375 100.0%
376 100.0%
377 100.0%
378 100.0%
379 100.0%
380 100.0%
381 100.0%
382 100.0%
383 100.0%
384 100.0%
385 100.0%
386 100.0%
387 100.0%
388 100.0%
389 100.0%
390 100.0%
391 100.0%
392 100.0%
393 100.0%
394 100.0%
395 100.0%
396 100.0%
397 100.0%
398 100.0%
399 100.0%
400 100.0%