Bradley
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
79  Michael Ward JR 31:45
176  Patrick Campbell SR 32:08
187  Jake Hoffert FR 32:11
274  Caleb Beck SR 32:26
345  Taylor FloydMews JR 32:37
697  Haran Dunderdale JR 33:17
805  William Anderson SO 33:28
854  Nyle Clinton SO 33:31
1,268  Steffen Uhrich SR 34:05
1,597  Kerry Gschwendtner FR 34:33
1,601  David Rodriguez FR 34:33
1,652  Nikolas Hess SO 34:38
2,122  Luke Versweyveld SO 35:24
2,553  Nick Porter FR 36:29
National Rank #32 of 312
Midwest Region Rank #4 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 20.3%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 5.8%


Regional Champion 2.3%
Top 5 in Regional 66.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Michael Ward Patrick Campbell Jake Hoffert Caleb Beck Taylor FloydMews Haran Dunderdale William Anderson Nyle Clinton Steffen Uhrich Kerry Gschwendtner David Rodriguez
Bradley Intercollegiate 09/16 779 31:55 32:18 32:50 32:22 32:33 33:36 33:07 33:22 34:32 34:03
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 708 31:45 32:15 32:23 32:18 32:34 33:23 32:58 33:21
Bradley "Pink" Classic (Red) 10/14 1178 33:00 33:18 34:26 34:58 34:40
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 668 31:29 32:04 32:01 32:38 32:50
Illini Open 10/21 1292 34:29 33:56 35:04
Missouri Valley Conference 10/29 586 31:49 31:56 31:51 32:21 32:14 33:01 33:43 33:24
Midwest Region Championships 11/11 673 31:51 31:57 32:01 32:17 33:02 33:18 34:17





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 20.3% 23.2 564 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.1 2.1 1.6 1.7 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 0.6
Region Championship 100% 4.8 144 2.3 7.2 14.1 18.5 24.7 20.2 8.3 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Ward 62.4% 76.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.4
Patrick Campbell 24.1% 115.8
Jake Hoffert 23.4% 124.5
Caleb Beck 20.3% 162.9
Taylor FloydMews 20.3% 191.1
Haran Dunderdale 20.5% 238.3
William Anderson 20.8% 243.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Ward 6.6 3.2 11.2 10.3 8.4 7.5 6.2 5.3 4.3 4.4 4.4 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.9 1.8 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.7 1.3 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.7 1.4
Patrick Campbell 20.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.5 2.1 1.9 2.3 3.0 3.5 2.9 4.4 3.4 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.3 2.9 3.5 3.3 2.6 2.5 3.1 3.0 2.1
Jake Hoffert 21.4 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.7 1.4 1.7 2.9 2.9 2.7 3.3 3.1 3.2 3.7 3.6 3.3 3.2 4.2 4.0 2.8 3.2 3.0 2.4 3.0
Caleb Beck 33.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.3 1.8 2.2 1.6 2.6 2.9 2.3 3.1
Taylor FloydMews 44.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.1 1.1
Haran Dunderdale 81.6
William Anderson 91.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 2.3% 100.0% 2.3 2.3 1
2 7.2% 100.0% 7.2 7.2 2
3 14.1% 55.5% 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.2 6.3 7.8 3
4 18.5% 10.5% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.1 16.6 2.0 4
5 24.7% 3.8% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.1 23.8 1.0 5
6 20.2% 0.5% 0.1 20.1 0.1 6
7 8.3% 8.3 7
8 3.4% 3.4 8
9 1.2% 1.2 9
10 0.3% 0.3 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 20.3% 2.3 7.2 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.8 1.7 0.4 79.8 9.5 10.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
North Carolina St. 81.2% 1.0 0.8
Texas 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Texas A&M 43.0% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Michigan 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Florida State 14.8% 1.0 0.1
Furman 4.4% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Alabama 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Baylor 0.2% 1.0 0.0
California 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Total 2.4
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 5.0