Dartmouth
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
197  Daniel Salas SR 32:12
245  Matt Herzig SR 32:21
279  Nathaniel Adams SR 32:26
322  Connor Clark SR 32:34
389  Julian Heninger SR 32:42
501  Kyle Dotterer JR 32:55
615  Quinn Cooney FR 33:08
713  Alexander Kushen SO 33:19
925  Sean Laverty FR 33:37
1,052  Dominic Carrese SO 33:49
1,732  Henry Raymond FR 34:44
National Rank #46 of 312
Northeast Region Rank #5 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 8.0%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.3%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 76.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Daniel Salas Matt Herzig Nathaniel Adams Connor Clark Julian Heninger Kyle Dotterer Quinn Cooney Alexander Kushen Sean Laverty Dominic Carrese Henry Raymond
Coast-to-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/16 656 31:57 32:03 32:17 32:16 32:40 33:03 32:13 34:01
Paul Short Invitational (Gold) 10/01 825 32:49 32:20 32:09 32:27 32:53 32:39 33:49
NEICAAA Championship 10/08 1188 33:35 33:18
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 888 32:14 32:15 32:55 33:23 33:15 32:44 33:48
Ivy League Championship 10/29 824 32:22 32:29 32:41 32:51 32:02 33:08 33:11 33:18 33:40 33:39 34:44
Northeast Region Championships 11/11 652 31:45 32:10 32:12 32:09 32:46 32:32 34:01





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 8.0% 26.9 659 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 0.8
Region Championship 100% 4.8 159 0.7 13.4 26.2 36.6 15.9 5.1 2.0 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Daniel Salas 45.0% 141.0
Matt Herzig 23.8% 158.9
Nathaniel Adams 17.2% 157.7
Connor Clark 10.2% 177.8
Julian Heninger 8.2% 189.3
Kyle Dotterer 8.0% 212.2
Quinn Cooney 8.1% 227.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Daniel Salas 17.8 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.5 2.2 3.8 3.9 4.7 5.2 5.1 5.8 4.9 4.5 4.2 4.2 3.8 2.9 2.7 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.0
Matt Herzig 24.5 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.4 2.2 3.6 2.9 3.0 3.7 4.0 4.4 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.2 2.8 3.6 2.8
Nathaniel Adams 27.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.1 2.7 2.8 3.2 4.0 4.2 3.4 3.6 2.7 3.2 3.7
Connor Clark 34.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.6 1.2 1.7 2.4 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.6 3.3
Julian Heninger 41.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.6 1.0 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.4
Kyle Dotterer 54.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3
Quinn Cooney 68.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.7% 100.0% 0.7 0.7 2
3 13.4% 52.6% 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.2 6.4 7.1 3
4 26.2% 1.1% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 25.9 0.3 4
5 36.6% 36.6 5
6 15.9% 15.9 6
7 5.1% 5.1 7
8 2.0% 2.0 8
9 0.3% 0.3 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 8.0% 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 92.0 0.7 7.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Arkansas 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Providence 78.3% 1.0 0.8
Georgia 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Total 1.8
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 4.0