Alabama
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
Gilbert Kigen JR 30:28
Vincent Kiprop JR 30:33
Alfred Chelanga JR 30:39
720  Garrett Bull SR 33:14
868  James Brinyark SO 33:28
883  Andrew Bull SR 33:29
1,281  Chase Buckelew FR 34:02
1,424  Clay Austell JR 34:13
1,560  Hayden Blalock FR 34:24
1,814  Nathan Gamble FR 34:48
1,863  Evan Prizy SR 34:53
2,121  Paul Selden FR 35:22
2,125  Oliver Rigg SO 35:23
2,253  Jackson Reed FR 35:40
2,288  Colton Smith FR 35:46
National Rank #14 of 315
South Region Rank #1 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 38.9%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 38.8%


Regional Champion 1.6%
Top 5 in Regional 98.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Gilbert Kigen Vincent Kiprop Alfred Chelanga Garrett Bull James Brinyark Andrew Bull Chase Buckelew Clay Austell Hayden Blalock Nathan Gamble Evan Prizy
UCR Invitational 09/16 1158 33:34 33:16 33:40 33:59 34:11 34:44 35:46
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/29 424 30:35 30:36 30:39 33:41 34:22 34:20 35:34
Crimson Classic 10/13 465 30:37 30:26 30:47 33:16 33:17 33:47 34:24 34:10 34:55
SEC Championship 10/27 445 30:43 30:39 30:49 32:57 33:07 34:03 33:59 35:13 34:05
South Region Championships 11/10 421 30:21 30:41 30:23 32:51 33:05 33:17





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 38.9% 15.5 427 0.3 1.2 3.4 6.4 8.3 8.8 6.0 2.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
Region Championship 100% 3.1 138 1.6 27.4 37.6 25.2 6.3 1.4 0.6 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gilbert Kigen 100% 1.8 37.1 16.4 10.1 7.6 5.1 3.9 2.7 2.3 2.4 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2
Vincent Kiprop 100% 2.9 18.2 20.6 13.0 8.9 7.0 4.6 4.2 3.2 2.1 2.2 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5
Alfred Chelanga 100% 4.5 9.7 14.9 12.7 9.4 7.5 6.7 5.3 3.8 3.5 3.5 2.6 2.2 1.4 1.7 1.0 1.2 1.1 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.3
Garrett Bull 39.0% 239.6
James Brinyark 40.6% 244.4
Andrew Bull 39.4% 244.2
Chase Buckelew 44.6% 249.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gilbert Kigen 1.0 49.4 24.0 19.1 4.3 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Vincent Kiprop 1.5 31.9 36.5 22.2 5.8 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Alfred Chelanga 2.0 17.6 32.4 33.4 7.9 4.3 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Garrett Bull 61.1
James Brinyark 76.2
Andrew Bull 76.7
Chase Buckelew 112.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1.6% 100.0% 1.6 1.6 1
2 27.4% 100.0% 27.4 27.4 2
3 37.6% 20.0% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.2 1.5 3.4 30.1 7.5 3
4 25.2% 9.7% 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.0 22.8 2.5 4
5 6.3% 6.3 5
6 1.4% 1.4 6
7 0.6% 0.6 7
8 0.2% 0.2 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 38.9% 1.6 27.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.3 1.6 2.0 4.4 61.1 29.0 10.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Mississippi 98.0% 1.0 1.0
North Carolina St. 69.1% 1.0 0.7
Washington St. 42.1% 1.0 0.4
Florida State 23.7% 1.0 0.2
Eastern Michigan 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Tennessee 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.5% 2.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Butler 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Belmont 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Total 2.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0