Manhattan
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
653  Amir Khaghani JR 33:07
710  John Dove SR 33:14
1,026  Christopher Orlando SR 33:40
1,173  Chad Maier JR 33:53
1,257  Andrew Reda SR 34:00
1,320  Nick Matson JR 34:05
1,428  Patrick Hennelly SO 34:13
1,678  Christian McLaughlin JR 34:35
2,298  Jemar Ortega FR 35:48
2,432  Rory Grady FR 36:11
2,446  Chris Emerson FR 36:14
2,495  Liam O'Brien JR 36:23
2,861  Dawud Abdur-Rashid JR 38:47
2,881  Michael Belay FR 39:08
National Rank #153 of 315
Northeast Region Rank #18 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 16th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.2%
Top 20 in Regional 83.9%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Amir Khaghani John Dove Christopher Orlando Chad Maier Andrew Reda Nick Matson Patrick Hennelly Christian McLaughlin Jemar Ortega Rory Grady Chris Emerson
Fordham Fiasco Invitational 09/09 1152 33:26 33:21 33:27 34:09 34:21 33:41 34:03 34:32 35:42 35:52
Paul Short Gold 09/29 1129 33:29 33:09 33:20 33:29 33:39 34:03 35:07 34:33 36:55
NYC Metropolitan Championship 10/13 1115 32:58 32:54 33:46 34:00 34:01 35:26 34:09 35:17 36:12 36:49
MAAC Championship 10/28 1101 32:30 33:23 33:42 34:02 33:59 33:51 34:00 35:51 35:48
Northeast Region Championships 11/10 1146 33:11 33:23 33:59 33:34 34:52 35:20 33:51





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 17.6 520 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.0 2.8 6.3 11.3 18.3 15.8 12.6 8.6 6.6 5.3 4.2 2.3 1.4 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Amir Khaghani 64.4 0.1 0.1
John Dove 74.5
Christopher Orlando 109.6
Chad Maier 129.0
Andrew Reda 138.4
Nick Matson 147.1
Patrick Hennelly 158.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 0.6% 0.6 11
12 1.0% 1.0 12
13 2.8% 2.8 13
14 6.3% 6.3 14
15 11.3% 11.3 15
16 18.3% 18.3 16
17 15.8% 15.8 17
18 12.6% 12.6 18
19 8.6% 8.6 19
20 6.6% 6.6 20
21 5.3% 5.3 21
22 4.2% 4.2 22
23 2.3% 2.3 23
24 1.4% 1.4 24
25 1.1% 1.1 25
26 1.2% 1.2 26
27 0.4% 0.4 27
28 0.2% 0.2 28
29 0.2% 0.2 29
30 0.1% 0.1 30
31 0.1% 0.1 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0