Syracuse
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
5  Justyn Knight SR 30:43
23  Colin Bennie SR 31:16
68  Philo Germano SR 31:37
79  Aidan Tooker SO 31:39
159  Joe Dragon FR 32:01
199  Iliass Aouani JR 32:09
206  Dominic Hockenbury FR 32:10
387  Kevin James SO 32:37
563  Simon Smith SO 32:57
925  Noah Affolder FR 33:32
National Rank #6 of 315
Northeast Region Rank #1 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Nationals


National Champion 0.5%
Top 5 at Nationals 39.4%
Top 10 at Nationals 83.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 99.5%


Regional Champion 84.6%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Justyn Knight Colin Bennie Philo Germano Aidan Tooker Joe Dragon Iliass Aouani Dominic Hockenbury Kevin James Simon Smith Noah Affolder
Coast-To-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/22 565 31:47 31:48 31:48 32:20 32:28 32:19 32:25
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 240 30:46 31:06 31:25 31:05 32:08 33:01 33:56
ACC Championship 10/27 268 31:05 31:10 31:40 31:27 31:44 32:12 32:09 33:14 32:46 33:17
Northeast Region Championships 11/10 330 31:17 31:18 31:43 31:39 31:53 32:12 31:49





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 7.1 255 0.5 3.2 8.4 13.0 14.3 13.7 11.2 8.9 6.4 4.4 4.0 3.8 2.4 1.8 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.2 30 84.6 15.3 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justyn Knight 100% 5.3 8.6 9.7 10.0 10.1 9.3 7.2 5.3 4.3 4.2 3.5 2.6 2.7 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.7 1.3 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.6
Colin Bennie 100% 29.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.6 1.6 2.7 1.9 1.9 3.1 2.4 3.0 2.7 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.6 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.4 2.2
Philo Germano 100% 67.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.9
Aidan Tooker 100% 71.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.5
Joe Dragon 100% 128.4
Iliass Aouani 100% 146.5
Dominic Hockenbury 100% 151.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justyn Knight 1.0 89.6 6.3 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Colin Bennie 1.7 8.3 55.9 11.1 8.1 4.4 2.2 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Philo Germano 4.4 0.3 9.3 21.7 15.1 9.1 6.6 5.8 5.1 3.3 3.0 2.5 2.6 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.0 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Aidan Tooker 5.2 0.2 7.2 17.5 14.2 10.0 6.6 5.6 5.1 4.6 4.5 2.9 2.5 2.4 1.6 1.9 1.8 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.5
Joe Dragon 13.7 0.4 1.7 4.4 3.8 5.2 5.6 5.8 5.6 5.4 5.1 4.6 3.9 4.5 3.7 3.4 3.5 2.8 2.8 2.1 1.9 2.5 2.6 1.6
Iliass Aouani 16.8 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.7 2.6 2.9 3.7 4.2 4.5 4.2 5.0 6.1 5.9 4.3 4.3 3.7 4.0 3.3 3.1 2.2 2.3 2.5 1.7
Dominic Hockenbury 17.7 0.2 0.8 1.8 2.0 3.0 4.0 3.8 4.9 4.2 3.7 5.7 5.9 4.0 4.0 3.6 3.8 2.8 2.9 4.0 2.1 2.5 1.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 84.6% 100.0% 84.6 84.6 1
2 15.3% 100.0% 15.3 15.3 2
3 0.2% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.2 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 100.0% 84.6 15.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Furman 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Colorado St. 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Southern Utah 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Michigan 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Stanford 99.7% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 99.4% 1.0 1.0
Virginia Tech 99.4% 1.0 1.0
Air Force 98.3% 1.0 1.0
Iona 97.0% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 95.0% 1.0 1.0
UCLA 88.5% 1.0 0.9
Minnesota 88.2% 1.0 0.9
Washington 71.7% 1.0 0.7
North Carolina St. 69.1% 2.0 1.4
Illinois 56.1% 2.0 1.1
Washington St. 42.1% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Kentucky 38.0% 1.0 0.4
Penn 37.5% 1.0 0.4
Boise State 37.1% 1.0 0.4
Wisconsin 26.1% 1.0 0.3
Florida State 23.7% 2.0 0.5
Purdue 22.8% 1.0 0.2
San Francisco 20.6% 1.0 0.2
Tulsa 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 4.0% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 3.8% 2.0 0.1
Indiana 1.0% 2.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.6% 1.0 0.0
California 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Total 17.9
Minimum 12.0
Maximum 24.0