Air Force
Men
-
Women
2011
-
2012 -
2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
206 |
Jennifer Bremser |
SR |
20:23 |
339 |
Melissa Fuerst |
SR |
20:41 |
466 |
Morgan Mosby |
SR |
20:54 |
756 |
Heather Connick |
SO |
21:17 |
758 |
Rebecca Esselstein |
SO |
21:17 |
776 |
Anna Olesinski |
FR |
21:19 |
913 |
Kate Kanetzky |
SR |
21:27 |
915 |
Hannah Everson |
FR |
21:28 |
1,042 |
Annette Eichenberger |
JR |
21:37 |
|
National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Regional Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 in Regional |
5.8% |
Top 10 in Regional |
94.7% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
|
Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Jennifer Bremser |
Melissa Fuerst |
Morgan Mosby |
Heather Connick |
Rebecca Esselstein |
Anna Olesinski |
Kate Kanetzky |
Hannah Everson |
Annette Eichenberger |
Rim Rock Farm Classic |
09/29 |
1011 |
20:12 |
20:54 |
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21:13 |
21:15 |
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21:30 |
21:31 |
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Rocky Mountain Shootout |
09/29 |
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21:39 |
Pre-Nationals Meet (Red) |
10/13 |
958 |
20:16 |
20:41 |
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21:13 |
21:01 |
21:00 |
21:25 |
21:25 |
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Mountain West Championships |
10/26 |
985 |
20:36 |
20:28 |
20:56 |
21:24 |
21:14 |
21:39 |
21:13 |
21:28 |
21:18 |
Mountain Region Championships |
11/09 |
1086 |
20:32 |
|
20:51 |
21:21 |
22:02 |
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21:50 |
|
21:59 |
NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
0.1% |
29.7 |
689 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Region Championship |
100% |
8.3 |
237 |
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0.0 |
0.2 |
1.5 |
4.1 |
7.8 |
13.6 |
22.7 |
29.1 |
15.8 |
3.8 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
---|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Jennifer Bremser |
2.3% |
108.9 |
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Melissa Fuerst |
0.1% |
161.5 |
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Morgan Mosby |
0.1% |
208.0 |
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Heather Connick |
0.1% |
219.0 |
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Rebecca Esselstein |
0.1% |
227.0 |
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Anna Olesinski |
0.1% |
217.0 |
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Kate Kanetzky |
0.1% |
238.0 |
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Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Jennifer Bremser |
21.1 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
4.7 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
5.2 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
Melissa Fuerst |
36.7 |
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0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
Morgan Mosby |
48.4 |
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0.0 |
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0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
Heather Connick |
67.3 |
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0.0 |
Rebecca Esselstein |
67.5 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
Anna Olesinski |
68.3 |
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Kate Kanetzky |
75.7 |
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NCAA Championship Selection Detail
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Total |
|
Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
|
At Large Selection |
|
No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
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1 |
2 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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2 |
3 |
0.2% |
18.2% |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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0.2 |
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0.0 |
3 |
4 |
1.5% |
1.4% |
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0.0 |
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1.5 |
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0.0 |
4 |
5 |
4.1% |
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4.1 |
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5 |
6 |
7.8% |
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7.8 |
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6 |
7 |
13.6% |
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13.6 |
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7 |
8 |
22.7% |
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22.7 |
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8 |
9 |
29.1% |
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29.1 |
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9 |
10 |
15.8% |
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15.8 |
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10 |
11 |
3.8% |
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3.8 |
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11 |
12 |
1.0% |
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1.0 |
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12 |
13 |
0.2% |
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0.2 |
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13 |
14 |
0.2% |
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0.2 |
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14 |
15 |
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15 |
16 |
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16 |
17 |
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17 |
18 |
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18 |
19 |
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19 |
20 |
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20 |
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Total |
100% |
0.1% |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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99.9 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Received By Beating | Chance Received | Average If >0 | Average |
Tulsa |
0.5% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Baylor |
0.5% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Ohio U. |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
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Total |
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0.0 |
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Minimum |
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0.0 |
Maximum |
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2.0 |