Western Carolina
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
616  Mara Smith SR 21:07
772  Jocelyn Keen SO 21:18
1,146  Aleshia Reese SO 21:44
2,313  Kaitlyn Shetler FR 23:00
2,479  Kaylan Lance JR 23:13
2,662  Lena Elliott SO 23:27
2,712  Hayley Tomlinson JR 23:31
3,106  Michelle Provost SO 24:15
3,365  Mackenzie Jensen FR 24:58
3,465  Sarah Spanbauer FR 25:20
3,720  Holly Gaines FR 27:03
3,764  Stephanie Burris FR 27:40
National Rank #204 of 339
Southeast Region Rank #30 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 25th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 3.3%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Mara Smith Jocelyn Keen Aleshia Reese Kaitlyn Shetler Kaylan Lance Lena Elliott Hayley Tomlinson Michelle Provost Mackenzie Jensen Sarah Spanbauer Holly Gaines
Charlotte Invitational (Gold) 09/28 1256 21:34 21:14 21:52 22:50 23:14 24:04
Charlotte Invitational (Green) 09/28 1792 23:59 25:13 25:41 27:25
Queens Royals Challenge 10/12 1260 21:33 21:18 21:48 23:11 22:56 23:16 23:58 24:26 25:02 26:45
Southern Conference Championships 10/27 1199 20:50 21:08 21:41 22:55 23:17 22:59 23:49 25:03 24:42
Southeast Region Championships 11/09 1221 20:42 21:39 21:37 22:57 24:32 23:42 25:59





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 25.6 732 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.4 4.8 7.9 8.9 11.5 12.8 12.7 11.5 10.2 7.3 4.5 2.4



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mara Smith 61.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
Jocelyn Keen 77.7 0.0
Aleshia Reese 121.4
Kaitlyn Shetler 228.4
Kaylan Lance 240.8
Lena Elliott 253.8
Hayley Tomlinson 257.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 0.2% 0.2 18
19 0.6% 0.6 19
20 2.4% 2.4 20
21 4.8% 4.8 21
22 7.9% 7.9 22
23 8.9% 8.9 23
24 11.5% 11.5 24
25 12.8% 12.8 25
26 12.7% 12.7 26
27 11.5% 11.5 27
28 10.2% 10.2 28
29 7.3% 7.3 29
30 4.5% 4.5 30
31 2.4% 2.4 31
32 1.3% 1.3 32
33 0.6% 0.6 33
34 0.3% 0.3 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0